Search found 36 matches

by kiero
Wed May 20, 2009 12:42 am
Forum: Amethyst
Topic: RESULTS - Amethyst 4
Replies: 44
Views: 6527

Re: RESULTS - Amethyst 4

Well, I finally got around to putting my predictions into percent form! Here they are: Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS) (57.2%) - Minase Nayuki (KN) (42.8%) Holo (OtK) (55.99%) - Kawasumi Mai (KN) (44.01%) Kirisame Marisa (TMK) (53.79%) - Ryogi Shiki (KnK) (46.21%) Aisaka Taiga (TD) (46.07%) - Hiiragi Kagami (L...
by kiero
Fri May 15, 2009 4:13 am
Forum: Amethyst
Topic: RESULTS - Amethyst 2
Replies: 39
Views: 6218

Re: RESULTS - Amethyst 2

I don't think there's too much multivoting (probably within normal levels), but the Haruhi match had a pretty weird margin of victory: (First column - actual vote1/vote2; Second column - predicted strength1/strength2) Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) Maria (HnG) - 1.1227786752827 1.671394222291 The script I w...
by kiero
Wed May 13, 2009 1:35 am
Forum: Amethyst
Topic: ISML Fantasy: Amethyst
Replies: 183
Views: 18367

Re: ISML Fantasy: Amethyst

I'm not looking forward to the scores (but I'm still curious)... 4 wrong, not a great start (Mikoto <-> Hayate, Nagi <-> Ryogi, Misuzu <-> Chii, and of course the C.C. match)
by kiero
Sat May 09, 2009 4:36 am
Forum: Amethyst
Topic: ISML Fantasy: Amethyst
Replies: 183
Views: 18367

Re: ISML Fantasy: Amethyst

Ahh, what's with the lack of love for Kagami for necklace? Does everyone really think she's certainly going to lose to Tomoyo?...
It's a pretty close match, so it can't hurt at least to put Kagami in as a backup.
by kiero
Fri May 08, 2009 2:50 am
Forum: Amethyst
Topic: ISML Fantasy: Amethyst
Replies: 183
Views: 18367

Re: ISML Fantasy: Amethyst

That took a while! Nagato Yuki (SHnY): 9 Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY): 9 Hiiragi Kagami (LS): 9 Shana (SnS): 9 Asahina Mikuru (SHnY): 8 Fate Testarossa (MSLN): 8 Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG): 8 Suigintou (RM): 8 Sakagami Tomoyo (CL): 8 Katsura Hinagiku (HnG): 8 Tosaka Rin (FSN): 8 Fujibayashi Kyo (CL): 8 Holo (Ot...
by kiero
Mon May 04, 2009 12:22 am
Forum: Topaz
Topic: ISML 2009 Fantasy: Topaz
Replies: 185
Views: 19492

Re: ISML Fantasy: Topaz

Difference of 0 - 27 0 Fujibayashi Kyo (CL) - 9 63 0 Sakagami Tomoyo (CL) - 9 117 0 Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) - 9 108 0 Shana (SnS) - 9 126 0 Fate Testarossa (MSLN) - 8 90 0 Aisaka Taiga (TD) - 8 96 0 Hiiragi Kagami (LS) - 8 120 0 Izumi Konata (LS) - 8 105 0 Suigintou (RM) - 7 60 0 Furude Hanyu (HNKN) ...
by kiero
Sun Apr 26, 2009 1:10 am
Forum: Topaz
Topic: ISML 2009 Fantasy: Topaz
Replies: 185
Views: 19492

Re: ISML Fantasy: Topaz

Yay! I finally beat the Simul!

Other notes:
Sakura wins a lot more than I'd guess
Kallen Won! :biggrin:
C.C. lost to Konata... (I know I like LS, but C.C. is better)
by kiero
Fri Apr 24, 2009 3:57 am
Forum: Topaz
Topic: ISML 2009 Fantasy: Topaz
Replies: 185
Views: 19492

Re: ISML Fantasy: Topaz

Hmm, easy round (only 1 match in my predictions were even remotely close): Hayate vs Suiseiseki. Well, I didn't know much about Rozen Maiden, so I guessed wrong... Doing fantasy really helps you see voting trends. Next round will be harder: a whole host of maybe wins Ryogi Shiki (KnK) Konjiki no Yam...
by kiero
Sun Apr 19, 2009 1:32 am
Forum: Topaz
Topic: RESULTS - Topaz 3
Replies: 27
Views: 4831

Re: RESULTS - Topaz 3

Argh, predicted 5 of the 7 close matches wrong, and C.C. lost :frown:

That's pretty much the news here, but I guess the new HnG season is helping stuff. Must rewrite algorithms (yeah, I have to agree, they're pretty bad).
by kiero
Fri Apr 17, 2009 1:48 am
Forum: Topaz
Topic: RESULTS - Topaz 2
Replies: 32
Views: 5640

Re: RESULTS - Topaz 2

Well, that was better than the first round, and I got 30 of 32: Wrong... 50.89% - #36 Kawashima Ami (TD) > #09 Furude Rika (HNKN) Well, I guess I could've guessed this would happen seeing that Rika nearly lost in the first round to #39 Konjiki no Yami. 52.32% - #28 Suiseiseki (RM) > #35 Chii (CH) Ok...
by kiero
Tue Apr 14, 2009 2:40 am
Forum: Topaz
Topic: ISML 2009 Fantasy: Topaz
Replies: 185
Views: 19492

Re: ISML Fantasy: Topaz

I also looked over my stats once more, and just adjusted for Kagami (although I changed pretty much everything yesterday). I think pretty much everything is in place now.
by kiero
Mon Apr 13, 2009 6:10 am
Forum: Aquamarine
Topic: RESULTS: 2009 Aquamarine 9
Replies: 183
Views: 21337

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

I admit that Geass wasn't that well written but it was just a load of fun to watch (especially the first season). For the pure entertainment value, I would've given it a nine (maybe a ten for S1; maybe ). I watched Geass for the random stuff, cliffhangers, and Lelouch rage, and I was pretty satisfied.
by kiero
Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:38 am
Forum: Topaz
Topic: ISML 2009 Fantasy: Topaz
Replies: 185
Views: 19492

Re: ISML Fantasy: Topaz

Hmm, forgot about that Haruhi loss last year... Ah well, maybe the rerun news will help things a bit for her.
by kiero
Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:23 am
Forum: Topaz
Topic: ISML 2009 Fantasy: Topaz
Replies: 185
Views: 19492

Re: ISML Fantasy: Topaz

Okay, thanks again for clearing that up.
I've got my necklace winners down on my post too now.
BTW, why does everyone think Fate will win? She's not doing nearly as well as Haruhi right now.
by kiero
Mon Apr 13, 2009 2:24 am
Forum: Topaz
Topic: ISML 2009 Fantasy: Topaz
Replies: 185
Views: 19492

Re: ISML Fantasy: Topaz

Hi, I'm pretty much done my necklace prediction, but I have a question about the rules. I expect Shana to actually get the highest SDO, but she lost to Tomoyo in the first round. Does that mean she'll automatically get lower than all the other people who win all their matches this round (according t...
by kiero
Fri Apr 10, 2009 1:44 am
Forum: Topaz
Topic: ISML 2009 Fantasy: Topaz
Replies: 185
Views: 19492

Re: ISML Fantasy: Topaz

Hi, I've been reading ISML for a while, but I've never posted. I got bored yesterday and ran my own simulation. Here's what I got: Fujibayashi Kyo (CL): 9 Sakagami Tomoyo (CL): 9 Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY): 9 Shana (SnS): 9 Fate Testarossa (MSLN): 8 Furude Rika (HNKN): 8 Ichinose Kotomi (CL): 8 Aisaka T...