FANTASY: 2011 Aquamarine 8 [READ first post]

[bluemage]

So yeah, Lucy won, Happy beat Ton-chan.

Worst Fantasy predictions ever.

And Vocaloid is practically a franchise.

[sirwence]

woo semi fail?

[imbehindyou]

So yeah, Mikoto and Lucy won, Happy beat Ton-chan.

Worst Fantasy predictions ever.

And Vocaloid is practically a franchise.

I thought Mikoto was the "right" choice for this round since it was for predicting who would get 2nd in the match, not who would be 2nd in necklace standings, right?

[Eclairs]

SpoilerShow

So, is Kanade considered runners up or winner ? Since i picked her to be 2nd after i thought this round would be votes X SDO :< As for other arena, massive fail

[Kiopi]

Got Misaka and Happy correct. Had an opportunity to get the last match correct since my preference was Ayanami but for some unknown reason, went for Chidori.

[bluemage]

I thought Mikoto was the "right" choice for this round since it was for predicting who would get 2nd in the match, not who would be 2nd in necklace standings, right?

You're absolutely right. Mikoto winning the Necklace threw me for a loop there, but she was 2nd in the match.

[Team Rocket Elite]

For those interested, here are my character rankings from before Aquamarine 1 and after Aquamarine 7:

Before Aquamarine 1:

Character Ranking before Aquamarine 1Show

Tachibana Kanade - 66
Misaka Mikoto - 60
Nakano Azusa - 58.8
Akiyama Mio - 57.77
Shana - 57.47
Aisaka Taiga - 55.79
Eucliwood Hellscythe - 54.5
Nagato Yuki - 54.21
Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko) - 54.2
Katsura Hinagiku - 53.74
Suzumiya Haruhi - 53.57
Charlotte Dunois - 52.09
Yui - 51.86
Hirasawa Yui - 50.2
Kōsaka Kirino - 49.8
Nakamura Yuri - 49
Victorique de Blois - 48
Senjōgahara Hitagi - 45.97
Saber - 45.23
Sengoku Nadeko - 45.19
Sakagami Tomoyo - 44.87
Hiiragi Kagami - 43.56
Fujibayashi Kyō - 43.54
Holo - 42.08
Sanzen'in Nagi - 41.82
C.C. - 41.54
Last Order - 41.43
Index L. Prohibitorum - 41
Shiina Mafuyu - 40.95
Aragaki Ayase - 40.75
Shinonono Hōki - 40.74
Izumi Konata - 40.73
Kotobuki Tsumugi - 40.68
Haruna - 40.34
Tōsaka Rin - 39.88
Kuroi Mato - 39.7
Fate Testarossa - 39.61
Louise Vallière - 39.54
Laura Bodewig - 39.45
Hirasawa Ui - 39.41
Asahina Mikuru - 39.38
Konjiki no Yami - 39.25
Seraphim - 39.19
Furukawa Nagisa - 39.07
Shirai Kuroko - 38.75
Nymph - 38.6
Kasugano Sora - 38.44
Iwasawa Asami - 38
Huang Lingyin - 37.88
Shiina - 37.05

After Aquamarine 7:

Character Ranking after Aquamarine 7Show

Tachibana Kanade - 70.02
Misaka Mikoto - 59.4
Nakano Azusa - 59.29
Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko) - 59.04
Shana - 57.1
Aisaka Taiga - 56.26
Eucliwood Hellscythe - 56.01
Akiyama Mio - 55.7
Nagato Yuki - 55.69
Suzumiya Haruhi - 54.06
Katsura Hinagiku - 53.2
Nakamura Yuri - 51.56
Yui - 50.81
Charlotte Dunois - 49.67
Hirasawa Yui - 48.63
Kōsaka Kirino - 48.39
Senjōgahara Hitagi - 48.08
Sengoku Nadeko - 47.74
Victorique de Blois - 46.63
Saber - 46.3
Sakagami Tomoyo - 45.69
Fujibayashi Kyō - 44.49
Hiiragi Kagami - 43.28
Sanzen'in Nagi - 42.82
Asahina Mikuru - 42.09
Holo - 42.02
C.C. - 41.42
Konjiki no Yami - 41.38
Izumi Konata - 40.95
Index L. Prohibitorum - 40.82
Furukawa Nagisa - 40.81
Hirasawa Ui - 40.55
Aragaki Ayase - 40.49
Shiina Mafuyu - 40.49
Haruna - 40.44
Kuroi Mato - 40.02
Kotobuki Tsumugi - 39.85
Shirai Kuroko - 39.8
Last Order - 39.66
Fate Testarossa - 39.36
Louise Vallière - 39.05
Iwasawa Asami - 38.81
Huang Lingyin - 38.68
Tōsaka Rin - 38.5
Nymph - 38.47
Laura Bodewig - 38.3
Shinonono Hōki - 38.05
Seraphim - 37.73
Kasugano Sora - 37.55
Shiina - 36.35

Well my stats didn't do very well in predicting match results so don't take these numbers too seriously. They should give a general idea of where the characters stands in relation to each other. Based on my stats, the character that improved the most since the start of Aquamarine is Kuroneko. That's not too surprising considering the recent Ore no Imouto OVA episodes that started coming out near the end of preliminaries. The second biggest improvement went to Asahina Mikuru. It's more of a return to former strength than a boost in power. I think I was just too harsh on her for her lacking performances in the Seeding Rounds. You see how Kanade started way ahead of everyone else in my initial stats? You see how she's even further ahead in my post Aquamarine 7 stats? It's just unreal how insanely powerful Kanade is. She could be massively overrated in my stats and still smack everyone else around with ease. Considering her necklace showdown performance which isn't taken into account in my stats, she really does look way ahead of everyone else. Other characters that seemed to improve by quite are Nadeko, Yami, Yuri, Hitagi and Nagisa.

In terms of characters that weren't as strong as I thought, Houki and Charlotte from Infinite Stratos take the top 2 spots. This is perhaps not too unexpected with their series ending for now. I had Houki as being ahead of the non-Charlotte IS characters but it seems like all three of them are about equal in strength. Charlotte's expectations may have just been too high to start with. Perhaps also victims of their current anime series ending, Seraphim and Last Order don't look as good as they used to. Last Order seems to be a bit behind Index now rather than a bit ahead. Seraphim has also fallen from roughly being Haruna's equal. The last character to take a fair sized drop is Akiyama Mio. I guess winning a Tiara does produce a sizable hit to your strength. There are now a few characters that look like they can beat Mio. Hirasawa Yui and Tōsaka Rin were two other characters that seemed to fall since Preliminaries.

[Miku]

I think I've got 2 matches correct.

[lihuazou]

I am a beginner, just starting to learn.
My character rankings after Aquamarine 7:

SpoilerShow

Tachibana Kanade 222.32
Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko) 160.38
Nakano Azusa 159.45
Shana 159.24
Misaka Mikoto 158.70
Akiyama Mio 150.61
Aisaka Taiga 145.90
Eucliwood Hellscythe 145.39
Nagato Yuki 143.75
Katsura Hinagiku 137.79
Suzumiya Haruhi 137.23
Nakamura Yuri 131.50
Yui 122.87
Hirasawa Yui 121.59
Charlotte Dunois 118.73
Sengoku Nadeko 114.05
Senjōgahara Hitagi 110.39
Kōsaka Kirino 107.53
Sakagami Tomoyo 107.42
Saber 107.41
Victorique de Blois 100.79
Sanzen'in Nagi 95.87
Fujibayashi Kyō 93.99
Holo 92.22
Shiina Mafuyu 88.52
Hirasawa Ui 88.49
Hiiragi Kagami 87.60
Konjiki no Yami 86.60
Asahina Mikuru 85.78
Kuroi Mato 85.31
C.C. 85.24
Shirai Kuroko 84.63
Aragaki Ayase 84.57
Furukawa Nagisa 84.27
Izumi Konata 83.93
Kotobuki Tsumugi 83.85
Last Order 80.62
Index L. Prohibitorum 80.57
Haruna 80.25
Iwasawa Asami 79.42
Fate Testarossa 77.87
Louise Vallière 77.26
Huang Lingyin 74.84
Laura Bodewig 74.66
Seraphim 71.59
Kasugano Sora 70.69
Shinonono Hōki 70.43
Nymph 70.07
Shiina 69.47
Tōsaka Rin 69.14

[Cassiopeia]

got 3 out 5. Not bad

[xcrossfacekillahx]

So yeah, Mikoto and Lucy won, Happy beat Ton-chan.

Worst Fantasy predictions ever.

And Vocaloid is practically a franchise.

I thought Mikoto was the "right" choice for this round since it was for predicting who would get 2nd in the match, not who would be 2nd in necklace standings, right?

That's why I hesitated on choosing Kanade or Misaka.

[Toady]

Got 2/5.
I'll give you my characters rankings too as some people seem to do it. No numbers though, it's done manually xD (That could explain some bad rankings...)

SpoilerShow

Tachibana Kanade
Misaka Mikoto
Nakano Azusa
Shana
Akiyama Mio
Nagato Yuki
Katsura Hinagiku
Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko)
Aisaka Taiga
Eucliwood Hellscythe
Suzumiya Haruhi
Charlotte Dunois
Kōsaka Kirino
Victorique de Blois
Yui
Nakamura Yuri
Hirasawa Yui
Senjōgahara Hitagi
Sengoku Nadeko
Saber
Sakagami Tomoyo
Fujibayashi Kyō
Hiiragi Kagami
Holo
Sanzen'in Nagi
Izumi Konata
Konjiki no Yami
C.C.
Asahina Mikuru
Index L. Prohibitorum
Haruna
Shiina Mafuyu
Kotobuki Tsumugi
Furukawa Nagisa
Aragaki Ayase
Last Order
Shinonono Hōki
Tōsaka Rin
Hirasawa Ui
Shirai Kuroko
Kuroi Mato
Louise Vallière
Seraphim
Fate Testarossa
Iwasawa Asami
Laura Bodewig
Nymph
Kasugano Sora
Huang Lingyin
Shiina

[Chocola]

Sorry for the wait. The scores for Aquamarine 8 are:



Max: 0.42
01 - 0.15
02 - 0.07
03 - 0.07
04 - 0.07
05 - 0.07

And the cumulative score, only counting those with a positive score:



Congratulations to kotozuki, Tomoyo, and Kevin! Each winner will have one character exhibited in ISML, and the winner (kotozuki) will have something to do with the Seitokai if he/she wishes.

Prizes
-Each winner (kotozuki, Tomoyo, Kevin) needs to send me a PM with a list of 5 characters, in order of preference, of the characters you want exhibited in ISML. I will pick the one that is available from the top down.
-Characters already in regular season cannot be picked, and they must still pass the screentime check. Be smart -- if you choose to exhibit an obscure character, she'll likely lose badly, so it won't be a pleasant experience.
-Your picks should be private and cannot be revealed to others or else they are void.

[Alexander]

I knew I did bad.

[Toady]

24th for my final ranking. It's not that bad and I'll try to do better in Topaz.

Also, congratulations to the winners of this period !

[Dusk252]

Hum... Finished in 27th. Kinda disappointing but I'm completely aware of how much I suck at predicting anyway. Hoping I'll do better in Topaz. Congrats to the winners^^

[Cassiopeia]

heh still made to top 10. XD

[Umi]

I suck hurhur.
Congrats to the winners! =D

[Yakuman]

Barely missed out on the TOP 10, too bad. Congrats to the winners.

[Tomoyo]

Time to think up 5 characters.