RESULTS: 2009 Aquamarine 7

User avatar
Team Rocket Elite
Moon princess
Moon princess
Posts: 3211
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 2:43 am
Badges:
Image
Worships: Bernkastel
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: dried plums to go with the tea.

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Team Rocket Elite » Wed Apr 01, 2009 1:48 am

Missed 3 matches this time:

Predicted: Kirisame Marisa (TMK) [50.98%] vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [49.02%]
Actual: Kirisame Marisa (TMK) [48.8%] vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [51.2%]
Difference: 2.18

Predicted: Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [48.25%] vs Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [51.75%]
Actual: Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [55.33%] vs Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [44.67%]
Difference: 7.08

Predicted: Tōsaka Rin (FSN) [48.89%] vs Ibuki Fūko (CL) [51.11%]
Actual: Tōsaka Rin (FSN) [52.67%] vs Ibuki Fūko (CL) [47.33%]
Difference: 3.79

It's been a while since I've had significant problems with Touhou. It seems Reimu is starting to drop off in power like the other Touhou characters did. Mispredicting Fuuko isn't too surprising since I think all the Clannad characters had inflated performances in Aquamarine 6 which meant they got overestimated in Aquamarine 7. It also seems that underestimate Fate/Stay Night characters a lot.


Prediction accuracy stayed relatively constant compared to last round. On average I was 2.98 off as opposed to 2.90 last round. However, my stats had a couple particularly bad predictions:

My 4 worst predictions:

Predicted: Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [39.25%] vs Suigintou (RM) [60.75%]
Actual: Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [30.63%] vs Suigintou (RM) [69.37%]
Difference: 8.63

Predicted: Tsukimiya Ayu (KN) [36.42%] vs Nagato Yuki (SHnY) [63.58%]
Actual: Tsukimiya Ayu (KN) [44.12%] vs Nagato Yuki (SHnY) [55.88%]
Difference: 7.70

Predicted: Ryōgi Shiki (KnK) [32.03%] vs Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) [67.97%]
Actual: Ryōgi Shiki (KnK) [39.38%] vs Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) [60.62%]
Difference: 7.35

Predicted: Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [48.25%] vs Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [51.75%]
Actual: Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [55.33%] vs Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [44.67%]
Difference: 7.08

2 Touhou character and 2 Haruhi character underperforming. Actually all of the Touhou characters underperformed, Reimu and Remelia just underperformed the most. Reimu did pretty well early on but I guess she's going to make her way to the bottom like the other Touhou characters. Yuki has had an unusualy amount of trouble with Key characters in the past so underperforming may not be too big a surprise. It's hard to say why Haruhi did poorly. It was still a solid win so I guess Haruhi was just having a hard time completely smashing her opponent.

8 of my predictions were within 1 percent of the actual result. I had two particularly good ones:

Predicted: Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) [71.7%] vs Minase Nayuki (KN) [28.3%]
Actual: Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) [71.61%] vs Minase Nayuki (KN) [28.39%]
Difference: 0.09

Predicted: Anya Alstreim (CG) [59.89%] vs Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD) [40.11%]
Actual: Anya Alstreim (CG) [59.8%] vs Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD) [40.2%]
Difference: 0.09

As expected, Nagisa and Fuuko didn't quite live up to what they did in Aquamarine 6. Kyou and Kotomi had SFF matches against against another Key character so it's hard to say if they truly underperformed or not. Tomoyo didn't show much of an overperformance in Aquamarine 6 actually overperformed this round. I'm defintely looking forward to Shana versus Tomoyo in Aquamarine 9.
A miracle that you believe in when you know it won't happen......... is hope.
User avatar
Fate
Moon princess
Moon princess
Posts: 3378
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 3:44 am
Badges:
Image
Worships: Fate Testarossa
Melon Pan: 105
2019 Female Favorite: Aisaka Taiga
2019 Male Favorite: Sakata Gintoki
2018 Female Favorite: Aisaka Taiga
2018 Male Favorite: Sakata Gintoki
2017 Female Favorite: Fate Testarossa
2017 Male Favorite: Sakata Gintoki
Wish: Perpetual joy for friends and family
Location: Fate's bed
Contact:

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Fate » Wed Apr 01, 2009 2:04 am

I don't think there's a need to predict anymore. Too faulty.
Image
ImageALL HAIL FATE T. HARLAOWN!Image
[url=irc://irc.rizon.net/Feitoism]#Feitoism @ irc.rizon.net[/url]
User avatar
frustra
Dango
Dango
Posts: 53
Joined: Fri Feb 20, 2009 3:55 pm
Melon Pan: 50
Location: pearl of the orient

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by frustra » Wed Apr 01, 2009 2:18 am

15-14-3 this time, but some of my picks got crushed bad... poor Amu and Eva ;_;
Image
User avatar
Seishi
Familiar
Familiar
Posts: 259
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 12:34 am
Worships: Takamachi Nanoha
Melon Pan: 50
2017 Female Favorite: Aisaka Taiga
2017 Male Favorite: Emiya Kiritsugu
Wish: The past to not weigh me down
Location: British Columbia, Canada
Contact:

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Seishi » Wed Apr 01, 2009 2:31 am

Arrgh, I wish I had more than one undefeated top-tier character. Go Nanoha and Sakura, in any case!
ImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImage
User avatar
chaosprophet
Shinigami
Shinigami
Posts: 2415
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 8:33 pm
Badges:
Image
Worships: Evangeline McDowell
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: Future UQ Holder anime adaptation is done right.
Location: Brasil
Contact:

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by chaosprophet » Wed Apr 01, 2009 2:35 am

Ahh... Eva, Yami and Kirino were destroyed... and Minori lost too. ::Goes to a corner and hugs Fate and Yuki:: You're the ones saving me from total despair so don't lose on me!

Well on a second note I'm happy Rin won.. even if it was against Fu-chan.
Image
User avatar
Manuel71
Nekomimi meido
Nekomimi meido
Posts: 30
Joined: Fri Mar 20, 2009 7:44 pm
Melon Pan: 50

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Manuel71 » Wed Apr 01, 2009 2:36 am

Fuko and Hanyuu lost, and Tomoyo took Shana's 1st place in the rankings. No good...
User avatar
overfunk
Pokémon trainer
Pokémon trainer
Posts: 22
Joined: Tue Feb 24, 2009 1:59 pm
Badges:
Melon Pan: 50

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by overfunk » Wed Apr 01, 2009 2:44 am

Fuck yeah Saber came close.

Fuck you haters.
User avatar
maikun
Meganekko
Meganekko
Posts: 161
Joined: Fri Feb 20, 2009 6:14 am
Worships: Kotori Shirakawa
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: Finding the legendary tree :)
Location: MAL
Contact:

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by maikun » Wed Apr 01, 2009 2:53 am

Manuel71 wrote:Fuko and Hanyuu lost, and Tomoyo took Shana's 1st place in the rankings. No good...

its good for me :D
ImageImageImageImageImageImageImage
User avatar
Fate
Moon princess
Moon princess
Posts: 3378
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 3:44 am
Badges:
Image
Worships: Fate Testarossa
Melon Pan: 105
2019 Female Favorite: Aisaka Taiga
2019 Male Favorite: Sakata Gintoki
2018 Female Favorite: Aisaka Taiga
2018 Male Favorite: Sakata Gintoki
2017 Female Favorite: Fate Testarossa
2017 Male Favorite: Sakata Gintoki
Wish: Perpetual joy for friends and family
Location: Fate's bed
Contact:

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Fate » Wed Apr 01, 2009 2:55 am

It's indifferent for me.
Image
ImageALL HAIL FATE T. HARLAOWN!Image
[url=irc://irc.rizon.net/Feitoism]#Feitoism @ irc.rizon.net[/url]
User avatar
Seishi
Familiar
Familiar
Posts: 259
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 12:34 am
Worships: Takamachi Nanoha
Melon Pan: 50
2017 Female Favorite: Aisaka Taiga
2017 Male Favorite: Emiya Kiritsugu
Wish: The past to not weigh me down
Location: British Columbia, Canada
Contact:

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Seishi » Wed Apr 01, 2009 2:57 am

Am I going to have to hear that all season from Saber fans? Seriously...I can't speak for anyone else, but just because I don't like a character doesn't mean I am voting AGAINST them, hate voting, or any ludicrous thing like that.
ImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImage
User avatar
Cecaniah
Artisan
Artisan
Posts: 791
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 2:06 am
Melon Pan: 50

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Cecaniah » Wed Apr 01, 2009 3:07 am

I'll stand up to the Geass hate. Especially when they hate without knowing.

IT IS UNJUST!!!

Btw. Can anyone upload Clannad onto youtube so I can watch it? Cause I can't always get on a computer to watch anime, so I use my Wii. Same with Aria, Kara no Kyoukai, Haruhi, and some others.
Signature by Me.
Image
Ikaros is <3~! Please support her in ISML with nominations and votes~!
User avatar
-synchronizer-
Hunter
Hunter
Posts: 108
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 2:53 am
Melon Pan: 50
Contact:

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by -synchronizer- » Wed Apr 01, 2009 3:44 am

Cecaniah wrote:Btw. Can anyone upload Clannad onto youtube so I can watch it? Cause I can't always get on a computer to watch anime, so I use my Wii. Same with Aria, Kara no Kyoukai, Haruhi, and some others.
That's a lot of splitting + uploading so it's pretty impractical (plus it'll be taken down immediately) and visuals are a big portion of those series, especially Clannad, Aria, and Kara no Kyoukai. Although it is probably also impractical, buy a laptop? Even the really cheap ones should play HD stuff. If not, try finding a different site.

As for the results, eh, not much to really RAGE about, most went as I expected, although Tsukasa>Hanyū is definitely disappointing. Looks like I overestimated Reimu and underestimated Mikoto; did the same for Fūko and Rin (I highly approve of that though :biggrin: ).
User avatar
Motoyama
Sacred jewel
Sacred jewel
Posts: 352
Joined: Fri Feb 27, 2009 4:38 am
Worships: Yyk Saigyouji
Melon Pan: 50
Contact:

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Motoyama » Wed Apr 01, 2009 3:56 am

Cecaniah wrote:I'll stand up to the Geass hate. Especially when they hate without knowing.

IT IS UNJUST!!!

Btw. Can anyone upload Clannad onto youtube so I can watch it? Cause I can't always get on a computer to watch anime, so I use my Wii. Same with Aria, Kara no Kyoukai, Haruhi, and some others.
Need to watch Pizza Hut Geass later this week.
&Youtube is the last place i would go to watch an Anime. &it's licensed so good luck finding a site to dl/stream xD. Just lurk around the Internet a bit, and you'll probably find them. *Google is your friend =P
User avatar
Talec
Dojikko
Dojikko
Posts: 154
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 3:03 pm
Melon Pan: 50
Location: Switzerland

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Talec » Wed Apr 01, 2009 7:40 am

Close Saber - Fate fight.

Makes me hope this year we'll have a new champion.
...
But if this champion is from overrated Clannad, afterward I would have been happier with Fate ~
User avatar
Demi.
Intelligent device
Intelligent device
Posts: 1371
Joined: Sat Feb 21, 2009 2:27 am
Worships: Fate Testarossa
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: To hug Fate-chan

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Demi. » Wed Apr 01, 2009 7:44 am

hah, you won't have to worry about getting your new champion,(repeat winner just Isn't possible in these things) what you might want to worry about is whether or not the top 16 will change from last year...Well, I guess Suigintou will be replaced with Taiga, and Mai will be replaced with Nagisa. Saber's got a very believable shot at replacing Rika too. Oh wait, the top 16 just got worse.
Image
User avatar
Talec
Dojikko
Dojikko
Posts: 154
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 3:03 pm
Melon Pan: 50
Location: Switzerland

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Talec » Wed Apr 01, 2009 7:49 am

I'll be back in 3 years to see happily overrated Clannad fall like my beloved Kanon now.

What's airing of animes in this season, Fate will stay as champion for another couple of years.

everything used to be better...
User avatar
ithekro
Strike witch
Strike witch
Posts: 1229
Joined: Thu Feb 19, 2009 6:44 pm
Badges:
Image
Melon Pan: 50

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by ithekro » Wed Apr 01, 2009 7:57 am

Such pessimism.
Image
Space Opera
User avatar
Chocola
Hikarin's Kitty
Hikarin's Kitty
Posts: 7450
Joined: Tue Feb 17, 2009 3:31 am
Worships: Kousaka Reina
Melon Pan: 50
2017 Female Favorite: Karasuma Chitose
2017 Male Favorite: Killua Zoldyck
Wish: Hikachu to not hate me

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Chocola » Wed Apr 01, 2009 8:58 am

I'm guessing you guys don't need to know that Fate, Kagami, and Tsukasa lost before we took off the illegal votes right? Someone out there is "campaigning" very "actively."
ImageImageImage
ImageImageImage
MAL Ratings ISML Chat, Saimoe Blog, Saimoe Wiki
A tall, towering wall looms in front of me. Beyond that is something that I could never to see on my own.
And that is...the view from the top.
User avatar
Smasher
Alchemist
Alchemist
Posts: 119
Joined: Fri Feb 20, 2009 11:55 pm
Melon Pan: 50

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by Smasher » Wed Apr 01, 2009 9:00 am

Overall, pretty decent results for me. Taiga doing so well again, makes me kinda happy :love: Chii winning over Alice Carroll is a big fail tho... :mad:
Last edited by Smasher on Wed Apr 01, 2009 9:18 am, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
ithekro
Strike witch
Strike witch
Posts: 1229
Joined: Thu Feb 19, 2009 6:44 pm
Badges:
Image
Melon Pan: 50

Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 7

Post by ithekro » Wed Apr 01, 2009 9:12 am

Chii is love thought :(
Image
Space Opera
Locked