RESULTS: 2009 Aquamarine 7

[Team Rocket Elite]

Missed 3 matches this time:

Predicted: Kirisame Marisa (TMK) [50.98%] vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [49.02%]
Actual: Kirisame Marisa (TMK) [48.8%] vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [51.2%]
Difference: 2.18

Predicted: Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [48.25%] vs Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [51.75%]
Actual: Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [55.33%] vs Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [44.67%]
Difference: 7.08

Predicted: Tōsaka Rin (FSN) [48.89%] vs Ibuki Fūko (CL) [51.11%]
Actual: Tōsaka Rin (FSN) [52.67%] vs Ibuki Fūko (CL) [47.33%]
Difference: 3.79

It's been a while since I've had significant problems with Touhou. It seems Reimu is starting to drop off in power like the other Touhou characters did. Mispredicting Fuuko isn't too surprising since I think all the Clannad characters had inflated performances in Aquamarine 6 which meant they got overestimated in Aquamarine 7. It also seems that underestimate Fate/Stay Night characters a lot.


Prediction accuracy stayed relatively constant compared to last round. On average I was 2.98 off as opposed to 2.90 last round. However, my stats had a couple particularly bad predictions:

My 4 worst predictions:

Predicted: Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [39.25%] vs Suigintou (RM) [60.75%]
Actual: Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [30.63%] vs Suigintou (RM) [69.37%]
Difference: 8.63

Predicted: Tsukimiya Ayu (KN) [36.42%] vs Nagato Yuki (SHnY) [63.58%]
Actual: Tsukimiya Ayu (KN) [44.12%] vs Nagato Yuki (SHnY) [55.88%]
Difference: 7.70

Predicted: Ryōgi Shiki (KnK) [32.03%] vs Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) [67.97%]
Actual: Ryōgi Shiki (KnK) [39.38%] vs Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) [60.62%]
Difference: 7.35

Predicted: Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [48.25%] vs Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [51.75%]
Actual: Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [55.33%] vs Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [44.67%]
Difference: 7.08

2 Touhou character and 2 Haruhi character underperforming. Actually all of the Touhou characters underperformed, Reimu and Remelia just underperformed the most. Reimu did pretty well early on but I guess she's going to make her way to the bottom like the other Touhou characters. Yuki has had an unusualy amount of trouble with Key characters in the past so underperforming may not be too big a surprise. It's hard to say why Haruhi did poorly. It was still a solid win so I guess Haruhi was just having a hard time completely smashing her opponent.

8 of my predictions were within 1 percent of the actual result. I had two particularly good ones:

Predicted: Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) [71.7%] vs Minase Nayuki (KN) [28.3%]
Actual: Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) [71.61%] vs Minase Nayuki (KN) [28.39%]
Difference: 0.09

Predicted: Anya Alstreim (CG) [59.89%] vs Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD) [40.11%]
Actual: Anya Alstreim (CG) [59.8%] vs Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD) [40.2%]
Difference: 0.09

As expected, Nagisa and Fuuko didn't quite live up to what they did in Aquamarine 6. Kyou and Kotomi had SFF matches against against another Key character so it's hard to say if they truly underperformed or not. Tomoyo didn't show much of an overperformance in Aquamarine 6 actually overperformed this round. I'm defintely looking forward to Shana versus Tomoyo in Aquamarine 9.

[Fate]

I don't think there's a need to predict anymore. Too faulty.

[frustra]

15-14-3 this time, but some of my picks got crushed bad... poor Amu and Eva ;_;

[Seishi]

Arrgh, I wish I had more than one undefeated top-tier character. Go Nanoha and Sakura, in any case!

[chaosprophet]

Ahh... Eva, Yami and Kirino were destroyed... and Minori lost too. ::Goes to a corner and hugs Fate and Yuki:: You're the ones saving me from total despair so don't lose on me!

Well on a second note I'm happy Rin won.. even if it was against Fu-chan.

[Manuel71]

Fuko and Hanyuu lost, and Tomoyo took Shana's 1st place in the rankings. No good...

[overfunk]

Fuck yeah Saber came close.

Fuck you haters.

[maikun]

Fuko and Hanyuu lost, and Tomoyo took Shana's 1st place in the rankings. No good...

its good for me

[Fate]

It's indifferent for me.

[Seishi]

Am I going to have to hear that all season from Saber fans? Seriously...I can't speak for anyone else, but just because I don't like a character doesn't mean I am voting AGAINST them, hate voting, or any ludicrous thing like that.

[Cecaniah]

I'll stand up to the Geass hate. Especially when they hate without knowing.

IT IS UNJUST!!!

Btw. Can anyone upload Clannad onto youtube so I can watch it? Cause I can't always get on a computer to watch anime, so I use my Wii. Same with Aria, Kara no Kyoukai, Haruhi, and some others.

[-synchronizer-]

Btw. Can anyone upload Clannad onto youtube so I can watch it? Cause I can't always get on a computer to watch anime, so I use my Wii. Same with Aria, Kara no Kyoukai, Haruhi, and some others.

That's a lot of splitting + uploading so it's pretty impractical (plus it'll be taken down immediately) and visuals are a big portion of those series, especially Clannad, Aria, and Kara no Kyoukai. Although it is probably also impractical, buy a laptop? Even the really cheap ones should play HD stuff. If not, try finding a different site.

As for the results, eh, not much to really RAGE about, most went as I expected, although Tsukasa>Hanyū is definitely disappointing. Looks like I overestimated Reimu and underestimated Mikoto; did the same for Fūko and Rin (I highly approve of that though ).

[Motoyama]

I'll stand up to the Geass hate. Especially when they hate without knowing.

IT IS UNJUST!!!

Btw. Can anyone upload Clannad onto youtube so I can watch it? Cause I can't always get on a computer to watch anime, so I use my Wii. Same with Aria, Kara no Kyoukai, Haruhi, and some others.

Need to watch Pizza Hut Geass later this week.
&Youtube is the last place i would go to watch an Anime. &it's licensed so good luck finding a site to dl/stream xD. Just lurk around the Internet a bit, and you'll probably find them. *Google is your friend

[Talec]

Close Saber - Fate fight.

Makes me hope this year we'll have a new champion.
...
But if this champion is from overrated Clannad, afterward I would have been happier with Fate ~

[Demi.]

hah, you won't have to worry about getting your new champion,(repeat winner just Isn't possible in these things) what you might want to worry about is whether or not the top 16 will change from last year...Well, I guess Suigintou will be replaced with Taiga, and Mai will be replaced with Nagisa. Saber's got a very believable shot at replacing Rika too. Oh wait, the top 16 just got worse.

[Talec]

I'll be back in 3 years to see happily overrated Clannad fall like my beloved Kanon now.

What's airing of animes in this season, Fate will stay as champion for another couple of years.

everything used to be better...

[ithekro]

Such pessimism.

[Chocola]

I'm guessing you guys don't need to know that Fate, Kagami, and Tsukasa lost before we took off the illegal votes right? Someone out there is "campaigning" very "actively."

[Smasher]

Overall, pretty decent results for me. Taiga doing so well again, makes me kinda happy Chii winning over Alice Carroll is a big fail tho...

[ithekro]

Chii is love thought