RESULTS: 2009 Aquamarine 9

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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Demi. » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:15 am

KholdStare88 wrote:
Eater-of-All wrote:lol @ the multi-vote thing for Hina and Kagami.
Yeah seriously. If I catch you guys doing it again you will fear my wrath. :evil:
What?
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Permidian » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:15 am

I'm happy that Tomoyo won rather than Shana (Even tho i like Shana too), but i'm sad Kotomi lost her match ><
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Meimi132 » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:18 am

uis wrote:Anyway how C.C. become powerful in Aquamarine 9...
It make me wonder... i need an answer ^^
Same here.... Kotomi has been all powerful before now....
Permidian wrote:I'm happy that Tomoyo won rather than Shana (Even tho i like Shana too), but i'm sad Kotomi lost her match ><
Same here...
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Xellos » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:18 am

Teiran wrote:Wait until I tell LC what happened to our favorite Clannad girl!

On second thought, I'd better not. I guess I'll just stick to celebrating the fact that my number one choice successfully defended her Aqua--...
Haha...here's looking to Topaz.
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Cecaniah » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:20 am

KholdStare88 wrote:
Cecaniah wrote:Can we start predicting Topaz as soon as the results are released?

Also, I see LOTS of Rage in the future. Not for me, since I'm immune, but for everyone else.
Hold on. :( We have to prepare lots of things first! At least give us until the end of today. ^^;
Sorry... I don't mean to rush you.
uis wrote:Anyway how C.C. become powerful in Aquamarine 9...
It make me wonder... i need an answer ^^
I swear it wasn't my fault, I was too lazy to try.

Well, I'm going to do a pre-prediction (That I actually started already ^^') before my actual prediction
Meimi132 wrote:7. 7 votes.... my poor little Makoto lost by that little.... If only I'd asked my friends to vote for her *sob*. That'd be unfair though.... Damn Anya!!!

Yay for Fuuko though! And Chii! And Yami! And Nagisa, Ayu, Nagi!

But Kotomi-chan.... you bet thats an upset.... Damn C.C.... She'll get her back..
Btw, last year Kotomi beat her twice. Is that not enough for your greedy hands?
KholdStare88 wrote:
Eater-of-All wrote:lol @ the multi-vote thing for Hina and Kagami.
Yeah seriously. If I catch you guys doing it again you will fear my wrath. :evil:
It wasn't me. I neither voted for Hinagiku or Kagami.

Okay, I have to stop quoting in this post...
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Eisdrache » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:22 am

Seriously, there were some very wrong results. Whatever is not commented is taken as approved or I simply dont care.

69.92% - #39 Sunohara Mei (CL) > #56 Shameimaru Aya (TMK)
lol Mei
61.28% - #36 Hakurei Reimu (TMK) > #35 Remilia Scarlet (TMK)
Remi :\
58.34% - #51 Kurata Sayuri (KN) > #58 Misaka Shiori (KN)
lolwut
56.05% - #26 Tōsaka Rin (FSN) > #19 Suigintou (RM)
ahahaha
56.03% - #29 Kawasumi Mai (KN) > #52 Yagami Hayate (MSLN)
x_x
53.81% - #03 Fate Testarossa (MSLN) > #07 Katsura Hinagiku (HnG)
Hell yes
53.79% - #08 Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN) > #38 Holo (OtK)
x_x
52.71% - #28 Louise Vallière (ZnT) > #40 Index Prohibitorum (TAMI)
wtf
51.93% - #01 Sakagami Tomoyo (CL) > #02 Shana (SnS)
LOLWUT NOT APPROVED /DESPAIR
51.24% - #18 Ryūgū Rena (HNKN) > #20 Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG)
GODDAMN NOT APPROVED
51.01% - #22 C.C. (CG) > #06 Ichinose Kotomi (CL)
omg no
50.16% - #41 Anya Alstreim (CG) > #49 Sawatari Makoto (KN)
Makotooooooooo O_O
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Fate » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:24 am

Er, well, this is going to be a long year.
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by imbehindyou » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:24 am

God, with today's result, there goes my hope for this year.
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Demi. » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:25 am

Wait, you have...hope?
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Corni » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:25 am

Demi. wrote:
KholdStare88 wrote:
Eater-of-All wrote:lol @ the multi-vote thing for Hina and Kagami.
Yeah seriously. If I catch you guys doing it again you will fear my wrath. :evil:
What?
Okay what going here.... Hina and Kagami get multi-voting but they still lose... Maybe god punishment for breaks the rule...
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Cecaniah » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:27 am

Demi. wrote:Wait, you have...hope?
This made me lol.

Also, I don't need hope. Just luck, which I have lots of.
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by imbehindyou » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:31 am

Demi. wrote:Wait, you have...hope?
LOL

Yes, yes I do.
There goes my hope of at least one doll making Top 16.
There goes my hope of Hayate-chan getting over 0.500.
There goes my hope of Maria-san getting over 0.500.
If Tohsaka Rin beats Gin-sama by 300 votes, I don't know how she can survive this year.
If Kawasumi Mai beats Hayate-chan by roughly 250 votes, I don't know how she can survive this year, even if Mai is indeed the strongest Kanon girl.
If Shinku, the weakest of the dolls beats Maria-san by 100 votes, I don't know how she can survive this year.

And obviously, with Clannad dominance, I don't know how I can survive this year with a sane mind.
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Team Rocket Elite » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:37 am

5 matches wrong this time:

Predicted: Furude Hanyū (HNKN) [49.82%] vs Illyasviel von Einzbern (FSN) [50.18%]
Actual: Furude Hanyū (HNKN) [52.23%] vs Illyasviel von Einzbern (FSN) [47.77%]
Difference: 2.42

Predicted: Nagi (KNG) [47.77%] vs Mizunashi Akari (ARIA) [52.23%]
Actual: Nagi (KNG) [52.9%] vs Mizunashi Akari (ARIA) [47.1%]
Difference: 5.13

Predicted: Maria (HnG) [54.46%] vs Shinku (RM) [45.54%]
Actual: Maria (HnG) [47.99%] vs Shinku (RM) [52.01%]
Difference: 6.47

Predicted: Ichinose Kotomi (CL) [55.75%] vs C.C. (CG) [44.25%]
Actual: Ichinose Kotomi (CL) [48.99%] vs C.C. (CG) [51.01%]
Difference: 6.76

Predicted: Tōsaka Rin (FSN) [48.04%] vs Suigintou (RM) [51.96%]
Actual: Tōsaka Rin (FSN) [56.05%] vs Suigintou (RM) [43.95%]
Difference: 8.01

I had predicted narrow wins for all but one of these matches so the result not going as expected wasn't too surprising. C.C. beating Kotomi was a shock to me, though. Kotomi has always looked better than C.C. and lately Kotomi had been performing exceptionally well. C.C. had been performing relatively close to expectations since Aquamarine 2. I guess C.C. decided to go all out for once and managed to beat Kotomi by just a little bit.

Prediction accuracy for this round was pretty lousy. On average I was 3.46 percentage points off the correct result. That's just a bit over 1 percetnage point worse than last round.

My 4 worst predictions were:

Predicted: Izumi Konata (LS) [52.78%] vs Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS) [47.22%]
Actual: Izumi Konata (LS) [62.88%] vs Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS) [37.12%]
Difference: 10.10

Predicted: Shameimaru Aya (TMK) [39.93%] vs Sunohara Mei (CL) [60.07%]
Actual: Shameimaru Aya (TMK) [30.08%] vs Sunohara Mei (CL) [69.92%]
Difference: 9.85

Predicted: Kōzuki Kallen (CG) [38.32%] vs Asahina Mikuru (SHnY) [61.68%]
Actual: Kōzuki Kallen (CG) [29.98%] vs Asahina Mikuru (SHnY) [70.02%]
Difference: 8.35

Predicted: Tōsaka Rin (FSN) [48.04%] vs Suigintou (RM) [51.96%]
Actual: Tōsaka Rin (FSN) [56.05%] vs Suigintou (RM) [43.95%]
Difference: 8.01

My stats completely fall flat on their face for SFF matches. Konata vs Tsukasa is a good example of it. A Touhou character underperformed again. No real surprise there. While C.C. performed impressively, Kallen decided to take a dive. 29.98% against Mikuru is something I would expected Patchouli or Osaka to do. Kallen should have done a lot better. I'm not sure how many times I've had to adjust Suigintou's rank. She can't seem to decided if she wants to be make a run at the Top 16 or be happy with being a strong midcarder. Probably somewhere in the middle.

Dispite the poor average, I still managed to call 9 of the matches within 1 percentage point of the actual result. My best one was:

Predicted: Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [38.69%] vs Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [61.31%]
Actual: Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [38.72%] vs Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [61.28%]
Difference: 0.03

It's hard to get any closer than that.


Predicted: Shana (SnS) [48.3%] vs Sakagami Tomoyo (CL) [51.7%]
Actual: Shana (SnS) [48.07%] vs Sakagami Tomoyo (CL) [51.93%]
Difference: 0.23

The showdown for the Aquamarine necklace went just as planned.
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by chaosprophet » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:38 am

Crongratz for the necklace Tomoyo-chan. Congratz to Fate too (I'm glad she's already done with Hina before she becomes too powerfull).

Eva, Yuki, Kirino and Nagi S. lost by so little... There goes my fist victory for Eva-chan... and what about Yuki?? Did Haruhi-chan actually have the opposite effect on her...

Well at least Minori, Konata, Louise, Yami and Tohsaka won.
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Demi. » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:40 am

imbehindyou wrote:
Demi. wrote:Wait, you have...hope?
If Shinku, the weakest of the dolls beats Maria-san by 100 votes, I don't know how she can survive this year.
I didn't notice that. Wonder how Shinku can defeat Ayu and Maria, and yet fall flat on her face during easier matchups. Not to mention Gin and Suisei kind of underperformed in aqua 9.

Based on MAL stats, not too many people are viewing Haruhi-chan, so I imagine It's just not having much affect for, or against her. Kyou is just that powerful...and Tomoyo.
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Fate » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:44 am

So much controversy, why.
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by chaosprophet » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:53 am

Well Clannad are even stronger this year because of AS but even so Haruhi destroyed Nagisa... Is Haruhi that much stronger than Nagato or is Kyou and Kotmi that are that stronger than Nagisa?

Forgot about Osaka... that was terrible... Saber have no pity...
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by Chocola » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:54 am

uis wrote:
Demi. wrote:
KholdStare88 wrote:
Eater-of-All wrote:lol @ the multi-vote thing for Hina and Kagami.
Yeah seriously. If I catch you guys doing it again you will fear my wrath. :evil:
What?
Okay what going here.... Hina and Kagami get multi-voting but they still lose... Maybe god punishment for breaks the rule...
Well...they lost because we didn't count the multi-voting.
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by imbehindyou » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:56 am

chaosprophet wrote:Well Clannad are even stronger this year because of AS but even so Haruhi destroyed Nagisa... Is Haruhi that much stronger than Nagato or is Kyou and Kotmi that are that stronger than Nagisa?

Forgot about Osaka... that was terrible... Saber have no pity...
I thought Nagato was stronger than Haruhi in anywhere besides Korea, seeing how she beat Haruhi every time in Moe Tournaments except for Best Moe Tournament :lol:

I guess Kyou and Kotomi are stronger than Nagisa, but I expected some Nagisa boost from AS. I guess people still favor Kyou and Tomoyo over Nagisa (other way around for me).
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Re: RESULTS - Aquamarine 9

Post by maikun » Sun Apr 05, 2009 1:58 am

weee just woke up and a happy morning :D :D :D :D Yay congrats for Tomoyo X) X) X) :!: :!: :bigsmile: :touched: lol
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