RESULTS - Topaz 4

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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Chocola » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:26 am

Lol prediction results...

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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by -synchronizer- » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:28 am

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66.97% - #22 Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS) > #55 Mizunashi Akari (ARIA)
:/ Not surprising though.
53.09% - #06 Furukawa Nagisa (CL) > #35 Konjiki no Yami (TLR)
Even though she's done better recently, I'm kinda surprised Yami got this close.
52.75% - #15 Furude Rika (HNKN) > #39 Kurata Sayuri (KN)
Too close, Rika is still having problems. For now, a win is a win.
51.69% - #56 Alice Carroll (ARIA) > #48 Nagi (KNG)
Alice!!! :biggrin:
50.93% - #19 Asahina Mikuru (SHnY) > #16 Tōsaka Rin (FSN)
More moeblob failure. I'll never fully understand the attraction here. :arrow:
Some other good and bad results, but I don't have much to say right now.
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Eater-of-All » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:31 am

Overall, a pretty predictable round, right down to this repetitive statement of mine. The rape were to be expected, though it never serves to cushion the impact when I look at the match sheet. Poor Makoto, Vita, and Akari. :arrow:

Notable matches for me:
Saber > Kotomi - Could've gone either way, so not really a surprise. This 170 vote victory over a Clannad character may serve as a catalyst to Saber's eventual downfall in the long run, however....
Yuki > Taiga - Good match, go Yuki, good job Taiga, etc.
Alice > Nagi - Yay Alice!
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by BurnWithPassion » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:32 am

Hooray for Yuki beating Taiga! Also, lol Saber beat Kotomi. And WTF C.C. beat Hanyuu?
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Chocola » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:34 am

Eater-of-All wrote:Overall, a pretty predictable round, right down to this repetitive statement of mine.
It was so predictable that your fantasy predictions went down two points.
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Team Rocket Elite » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:39 am

Continuing the pattern, 2 incorrect predictions again:

Predicted: Suigintou (RM) [48.37%] vs Ibuki Fūko (CL) [51.63%]
Actual: Suigintou (RM) [56.28%] vs Ibuki Fūko (CL) [43.72%]
Difference: 7.91

Predicted: Ichinose Kotomi (CL) [50.04%] vs Saber (FSN) [49.96%]
Actual: Ichinose Kotomi (CL) [46.63%] vs Saber (FSN) [53.37%]
Difference: 3.41

Ouch for Clannad. Saber has been on a rise while a while now and now she's above even Kotomi. A general Clannad decline wasn't helping Kotomi either. Every Clannad character fell short of my predictions. Suigintou has never been one to follow what my stats predict and she defys my expectations yet again. Even if Fuuko underperformed, that's a big difference between my prediction and the actual result. Kotomi is one of my top characters so it's sad to see her lose another match she could have won.


My predictions fairly accurately predicted the percentages this time. On average I was 2.03 points off. I think this is my second best ever. Only 3 predictions more than 5 off:

Predicted: Suigintou (RM) [48.37%] vs Ibuki Fūko (CL) [51.63%]
Actual: Suigintou (RM) [56.28%] vs Ibuki Fūko (CL) [43.72%]
Difference: 7.91

Predicted: Hiiragi Kagami (LS) [67.54%] vs Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [32.46%]
Actual: Hiiragi Kagami (LS) [73.31%] vs Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [26.69%]
Difference: 5.77

Predicted: Furukawa Nagisa (CL) [58.45%] vs Konjiki no Yami (TLR) [41.55%]
Actual: Furukawa Nagisa (CL) [53.09%] vs Konjiki no Yami (TLR) [46.91%]
Difference: 5.36

Two Clannad characters on the fall. I guess Remilia couldn't keep up what she did last round. I guess I'll be taking away the boost in stats I gave her.


My predictions predicted 40.62% or 13 out of 32 of the matches within 1%. My two best:

Predicted: Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) [50.22%] vs Maria (HnG) [49.78%]
Actual: Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) [50.17%] vs Maria (HnG) [49.83%]
Difference: 0.05

Predicted: Sunohara Mei (CL) [46.7%] vs Kawashima Ami (TD) [53.3%]
Actual: Sunohara Mei (CL) [46.65%] vs Kawashima Ami (TD) [53.35%]
Difference: 0.05


Predicted: Furude Rika (HNKN) [54.75%] vs Kurata Sayuri (KN) [45.25%]
Actual: Furude Rika (HNKN) [52.75%] vs Kurata Sayuri (KN) [47.25%]
Difference: 2.00

Rika won which is what matters I guess, but this is 4 in a row that Rika has performed like a character who is ranked in the high twenties to low thirties. I guess this depowered Rika is here to stay for a while.


My 30 > KS's 29
My 2.03 > KS's 3.10

My win this time. =D KS's closest prediction was better than mine, though. We both got hurt by Nagisa and Fate's matches. Suiseiseki's match was a toss up as we both predicted so I was lucky to be on the right side.
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Permidian » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:41 am

RAGE
That's all i have to say regarding these results...
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Cecaniah » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:43 am

Lol. From what I remember. I'm the only one who predicted Saber beating Kotomi. Very ironic.
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Fate » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:47 am

Cecaniah wrote:Lol. From what I remember. I'm the only one who predicted Saber beating Kotomi. Very ironic.
Actually, I don't think you're the only one, or else I don't know what caused my sudden increase in Fantasy Topaz.
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by imbehindyou » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:48 am

Cecaniah wrote:Lol. From what I remember. I'm the only one who predicted Saber beating Kotomi. Very ironic.
You're not the only one.

Mispredicted three matches:
1. Suigintou vs Fuuko
2. Alice vs Nagi
3. Hayate vs Anya

Yay Saber for saving my butt? LOL
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Motoyama » Wed Apr 22, 2009 1:49 am

Shiki & Remilia lost =/. (&Patch too, duh.)
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Eater-of-All » Wed Apr 22, 2009 2:01 am

I actually predicted Saber would win too, taking into account her building... momentum, for a lack of better word. I think Ami is the one who is screwing with my predictions.
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Demi. » Wed Apr 22, 2009 2:03 am

Cecaniah wrote:Lol. From what I remember. I'm the only one who predicted Saber beating Kotomi. Very ironic.
Kevo has Saber predicted to win the necklace, lol.

I more or less sucked with predictions this time, every close call I could have mis-predicted, I did mis-predict, leaving me with four mis-predicted matches.

Edit: Also, I just don't get how some arenas have so many more than others? Why would Haruhi > Vita have 150 more votes than Nagato > Taiga?
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Manuel71 » Wed Apr 22, 2009 4:30 am

I don't really like the results... for all the 4 rounds of topaz. Mainly because of Rika performing poorly.
I'll only feel better if Shana, Hina, Nagisa and/or Nanoha keep doing well.
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Talec » Wed Apr 22, 2009 7:13 am

Baaaaah, shitty round.

All Kanoncast lost, Kotomi lost...

I try to cheer up... Hayate won and Shiori was actually pretty close to her opponent.
Hirragis won too, that's at least a little backup in almost every round.
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by chaosprophet » Wed Apr 22, 2009 8:48 am

Surprised with Saber victory... while Tohsaka lost... Eva lost but at least it was a victory for Nagi. Yami did great too even if she lost O.O. Kirino and Louise were crushed though XD.
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by walyi » Wed Apr 22, 2009 12:31 pm

继续惊现天子头

SABER GOOD JOB

期待下一轮……
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Re: RESULTS - Topaz 4

Post by Signum » Wed Apr 22, 2009 12:39 pm

Very statisfied with the results :D
That my favourite characters crushed their opponents was obvious, but it's very nice to see that Ami and Saber won their fights too.
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