RESULTS - Topaz 5

[Chocola]

Post your discussions about results here. This post will be updated with graphics when they become available. Results are released 12 hours after the end of the match, which is at 0000 GMT on 24 April (or 5 PM PDT, 8 PM EDT on 23 April). For more time translations, please refer to this thread.

By PercentageShow

Cumulative StatisticsShow

Performance RatingsShow

Juice's Performance RatingsShow

Text Results for RagingShow

72.97% - #33 Holo (OtK) > #64 Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD)
70.97% - #02 Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) > #56 Mizunashi Akari (ARIA)
69.95% - #23 Ibuki Fūko (CL) > #62 Patchouli Knowledge (TMK)
69.52% - #04 Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) > #47 Anya Alstreim (CG)
69.23% - #11 Nagato Yuki (SHnY) > #63 Kirisame Marisa (TMK)
68.44% - #22 Tōsaka Rin (FSN) > #50 Ryōgi Shiki (KnK)
68.40% - #36 Maria (HnG) > #58 Shameimaru Aya (TMK)
---
66.29% - #14 Izumi Konata (LS) > #51 Alice Carroll (ARIA)
65.63% - #18 Ryūgū Rena (HNKN) > #52 Kōzuki Kallen (CG)
65.63% - #16 C.C. (CG) > #48 Nagi (KNG)
65.62% - #19 Suigintou (RM) > #61 Vita (MSLN)
65.19% - #03 Fate Testarossa (MSLN) > #55 Kawazoe Tamaki (BB)
64.70% - #15 Furude Rika (HNKN) > #46 Katagiri Yūhi (AISS)
64.23% - #01 Sakagami Tomoyo (CL) > #31 Hakurei Reimu (TMK)
63.61% - #10 Ichinose Kotomi (CL) > #42 Index Prohibitorum (TAMI)
63.33% - #24 Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG) > #54 Misaka Shiori (KN)
63.11% - #06 Shana (SnS) > #39 Sunohara Mei (CL)
62.40% - #12 Hiiragi Kagami (LS) > #38 Kamio Misuzu (AIR)
61.16% - #25 Furude Hanyū (HNKN) > #60 Hinamori Amu (SC)
60.94% - #09 Katsura Hinagiku (HnG) > #34 Chii (CH)
60.85% - #41 Kurata Sayuri (KN) > #53 Sawatari Makoto (KN)
59.69% - #08 Saber (FSN) > #40 Tsukimiya Ayu (KN)
58.88% - #13 Aisaka Taiga (TD) > #30 Kawasumi Mai (KN)
---
55.08% - #17 Asahina Mikuru (SHnY) > #37 Konjiki no Yami (TLR)
53.91% - #20 Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) > #29 Misaka Mikoto (TAMI)
53.86% - #05 Furukawa Nagisa (CL) > #27 Kawashima Ami (TD)
53.18% - #44 Remilia Scarlet (TMK) > #57 Chiba Kirino (BB)
52.83% - #21 Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS) > #26 Illyasviel von Einzbern (FSN)
52.48% - #07 Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN) > #32 Shinku (RM)
52.34% - #49 Minase Nayuki (KN) > #59 Evangeline McDowell (NG)
51.56% - #28 Suiseiseki (RM) > #43 Yagami Hayate (MSLN)
50.06% - #45 Kushieda Minori (TD) > #35 Louise Vallière (ZnT)

Decisive Matches (7)
ARENA 30 - #33 Holo (OtK) > #64 Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD), 72.97%
ARENA 09 - #02 Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) > #56 Mizunashi Akari (ARIA), 70.97%
ARENA 29 - #23 Ibuki Fūko (CL) > #62 Patchouli Knowledge (TMK), 69.95%
ARENA 22 - #04 Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) > #47 Anya Alstreim (CG), 69.52%
ARENA 13 - #11 Nagato Yuki (SHnY) > #63 Kirisame Marisa (TMK), 69.23%
ARENA 03 - #22 Tōsaka Rin (FSN) > #50 Ryōgi Shiki (KnK), 68.44%
ARENA 07 - #36 Maria (HnG) > #58 Shameimaru Aya (TMK), 68.40%

Close Matches (9)
ARENA 31 - #17 Asahina Mikuru (SHnY) > #37 Konjiki no Yami (TLR), 55.08%
ARENA 21 - #20 Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) > #29 Misaka Mikoto (TAMI), 53.91%
ARENA 27 - #05 Furukawa Nagisa (CL) > #27 Kawashima Ami (TD), 53.86%
ARENA 25 - #44 Remilia Scarlet (TMK) > #57 Chiba Kirino (BB), 53.18%
ARENA 17 - #21 Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS) > #26 Illyasviel von Einzbern (FSN), 52.83%
ARENA 20 - #07 Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN) > #32 Shinku (RM), 52.48%
ARENA 19 - #49 Minase Nayuki (KN) > #59 Evangeline McDowell (NG), 52.34%
ARENA 12 - #28 Suiseiseki (RM) > #43 Yagami Hayate (MSLN), 51.56%
ARENA 18 - #45 Kushieda Minori (TD) > #35 Louise Vallière (ZnT), 50.06%

Upsets (1)
ARENA 18 - #45 Kushieda Minori (TD) > #35 Louise Vallière (ZnT), 50.06%

Notable Events
-The only upset of this match was by a margin of 3 votes.
-Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) still has a negative Vote Differential despite having a [10-4] record.
-Sunohara Mei (CL) is the lowest ranked character [#42] to have a decisive win, which she has two of.

Statistics
-The contestants who increased most in rankings, [+5], are Kurata Sayuri (KN) and Remilia Scarlet (TMK).
-The contestants who decreased most in rankings, [-3], are Sunohara Mei (CL) and Tsukimiya Ayu (KN).
-The contestant with the best rating performance , [93.78], is Shana (SnS).
-The contestant with the worst rating performance, [8.36], is Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD).
-The total valid votes for Topaz 5 is 3198, 89.3% accepted.

[Cecaniah]

You're late.

[Demi.]

MEHHHHHHHH~

[imbehindyou]

First time I got 32/32 on prediction
Yay.

Minori vs Louise was extremely close,
Shinku chased Nanoha until the end (wow Shinku).
Hayate chased Desu until the end (wow Hayate). (and lol at this coincidence).

Another pretty surprising one is Nayuki > Eva.. nice fight Eva!

[Meimi132]

You're late.

My god... your right.... First time since it started isn't it? 25 minutes late... I wanna start playing Mahjong lol..... have got Greys Anatomy on in the bg too lol. Denny's dead....season 3....*sob*.... new season 5 ep 2mro!! :woooop!: Finally after like a month of waiting... (I ranted... I'm sorry..... tv obsessed right here...)

[Fate]

Woo, Fate won.

[Chocola]

You're late.

Yeah well I had something called work. And I had to take the bus home.

[Meimi132]

Woo, Fate won.

Not really that suprising is it? Bamboo Blade had one series... Nanoha had three.... much more screen time...

[Fate]

Woo, Fate won.

Not really that suprising is it? Bamboo Blade had one series... Nanoha had three.... much more screen time...

I'm not surprised. It's more of rejoicing.

[Meimi132]

Yay for Fuuko, Kotomi, Nagisa, Sakura.

And I'm glad I was one of the folks who helped bring Louise's downfall in this round. Heheheh.

[Motoyama]

You're late.

Yeah well I had something called work. And I had to take the bus home.

lolWork.

Shiki lost =/.
Also Remilia won xD.

[Cecaniah]

You're late.

Yeah well I had something called work. And I had to take the bus home.

I know. Maybe I could post the topics for you if you're too busy. I have way too much time.

[Chocola]

Prediction Results:



I'm pretty sure TRE did better, and I'm hoping to do better next time.

And yeah, next time if there isn't a topic when the results are released, you can create one. However, I'm pretty sure I'll never be late again. I can't risk Crisu spanking me.

[Demi.]

Good job Fate and Nanoha~ Nice try Yami. ;_;

Nanoha is slowly falling apart to only win by a little over 100 vs. some one like Shinku..

[chaosprophet]

Congratz Yuki and Fate! Eva-chan lost but at least she did well against Nayuki... Yami did very well too considering her opponent. And Minorin did great!!
Now Nanoha was a surprise... wasn't Shinku doing quite bad?

[Team Rocket Elite]

100% accuracy. I broke my pattern of getting 2 matches wrong each time by finally getting all of them right. =D With that said there were very few close matches so I guess this wasn't too hard to do. There's likely quite a few people who called things perfectly today.


Percentage prediction accuracy wasn't quite as good as last round. 2.17 off is still really good, though. Only one prediction was off by more than 5 and it wasn't by much:

Predicted: Shinku (RM) [41.92%] vs Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN) [58.08%]
Actual: Shinku (RM) [47.52%] vs Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN) [52.48%]
Difference: 5.60

I guess Nanoha can win when it matters, but would it really hurt to put a little more distance in your wins? 52% isn't too close, but you want 55+% before you can be considered anywhere near safe.


I did pretty poorly in terms of super accurate predictions. Only 7 predictions within 1% of the true result. But I did get my second perfect prediction!

Predicted: Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) [53.91%] vs Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [46.09%]
Actual: Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) [53.91%] vs Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [46.09%]
Difference: 0.00

Actual difference was 0.0038. Still a really, really good prediction.


And onto the usual Rika status report...

Predicted: Furude Rika (HNKN) [61.28%] vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [38.72%]
Actual: Furude Rika (HNKN) [64.7%] vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [35.3%]
Difference: 3.42

Rika beat expectations for once! Yay Rika! It's a long way back to where she used to be but hopefully this is a start.

My 32 = KS's 32
My 2.17 > KS's 3.53

We both tied with perfect prediction of the winners. My win this time in terms of predicting percentages. My stats tend to do worst on Friday matches so we'll see who wins next time.

[mrjpark]

Good fight Ami-chan =[

[Talec]

Boooooooooo!

[Blacksmith_Tony]

Pretty much expected, the majority of the girls I'm really supporting lost. With the usual exception of Shana.

However...

60.85% - #41 Kurata Sayuri (KN) > #53 Sawatari Makoto (KN)

I do not understand this, I really like Sayuri , but I can't believe she beat Makoto.

[chaosprophet]

Khold you didn't posted it this time so... what was the number of valid votes of this round?