Topaz 9 - 1 May

[Crisu]

Happy May Day

ARENA 01	Furude Rika	Abs	Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02	Fate Testarossa	Abs	Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03	Maria	Abs	Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 04	Sunohara Mei	Abs	Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05	Suiseiseki	Abs	Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 06	Fujibayashi Kyō	Abs	Katsura Hinagiku
ARENA 07	Hinamori Amu	Abs	Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08	Alice Carroll	Abs	Evangeline McDowell
ARENA 09	Kōzuki Kallen	Abs	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 10	Nagato Yuki	Abs	Sakagami Tomoyo
ARENA 11	C.C.	Abs	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 12	Kinomoto Sakura	Abs	Tōsaka Rin
ARENA 13	Sawatari Makoto	Abs	Kawazoe Tamaki
ARENA 14	Hiiragi Kagami	Abs	Shana
ARENA 15	Louise Vallière	Abs	Illyasviel von Einzbern
ARENA 16	Furukawa Nagisa	Abs	Holo
ARENA 17	Shinku	Abs	Ibuki Fūko
ARENA 18	Minase Nayuki	Abs	Vita
ARENA 19	Tsukimiya Ayu	Abs	Nagi
ARENA 20	Asahina Mikuru	Abs	Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21	Ichinose Kotomi	Abs	Izumi Konata
ARENA 22	Chiba Kirino	Abs	Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23	Anya Alstreim	Abs	Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 24	Yagami Hayate	Abs	Furude Hanyū
ARENA 25	Ryōgi Shiki	Abs	Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 26	Kawasumi Mai	Abs	Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27	Hakurei Reimu	Abs	Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28	Shameimaru Aya	Abs	Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29	Sanzen'in Nagi	Abs	Suigintou
ARENA 30	Chii	Abs	Aisaka Taiga
ARENA 31	Misaka Mikoto	Abs	Saber
ARENA 32	Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu	Abs	Mizunashi Akari

[BurnWithPassion]

WHAT?! Yuki vs. Tomoyo?! Curses!! Why does this have to happen?!!

[imbehindyou]

Watch me drop tremendously for Topaz Fantasy.

Prediction made before Topaz. Some crazy ones in there (really crazy ones).
I wonder if Rika can beat Tsukasa and Rena can beat Desu. I hope they do.

Bold is vote, A>B or B<A denotes prediction. A=winning contestant. B=losing contestant.

SpoilerShow

ARENA 01 Furude Rika > Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02 Fate Testarossa < Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03 Maria > Prohibitorum
ARENA 04 Sunohara Mei < Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05 Suiseiseki < Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 06 Fujibayashi Kyō < Katsura Hinagiku
- I hope Hayate no Gotoku!! gives a big boost for Hinagiku.
ARENA 07 Hinamori Amu > Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08 Alice Carroll > Evangeline McDowell
- Evangeline seems to have gotten stronger in Topaz. Let's see what she can pull off.
ARENA 09 Kōzuki Kallen < Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 10 Nagato Yuki > Sakagami Tomoyo
- I hope Tomoyo's underperformance today wasn't a fluke. I need this prediction to be right to keep my fantasy score up (lol).
ARENA 11 C.C. > Takamachi Nanoha
- Let's see if C.C. can manage to stay above 0.500 for Topaz.
ARENA 12 Kinomoto Sakura < Tōsaka Rin
- I hope I'm wrong.
ARENA 13 Sawatari Makoto > Kawazoe Tamaki
ARENA 14 Hiiragi Kagami < Shana
ARENA 15 Louise Vallière < Illyasviel von Einzbern
ARENA 16 Furukawa Nagisa > Holo
- Holo got strong in Topaz, but I don't think she's ready to handle Nagisa yet.
ARENA 17 Shinku < Ibuki Fūko
- I hope I'm wrong part 2.
ARENA 18 Minase Nayuki > Vita
ARENA 19 Tsukimiya Ayu > Nagi
ARENA 20 Asahina Mikuru > Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21 Ichinose Kotomi > Izumi Konata
- Recent Clannad performance suggests a close match but I don't know.
ARENA 22 Chiba Kirino < Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23 Anya Alstreim > Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 24 Yagami Hayate < Furude Hanyū
- Recent Hayate performance suggests my defeat.
ARENA 25 Ryōgi Shiki > Kurata Sayuri
- LOL, why did I do this.
ARENA 26 Kawasumi Mai > Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27 Hakurei Reimu > Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28 Shameimaru Aya < Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29 Sanzen'in Nagi < Suigintou
- I hope recent HnG!! boost doesn't help Nagi toooo much
ARENA 30 Chii < Aisaka Taiga
ARENA 31 Misaka Mikoto < Saber
ARENA 32 Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu < Mizunashi Akari
-OhgodpleaseletAkariwinthisoneplease

[Team Rocket Elite]

Prediction and votes:

My predictions for Topaz 9Show

Furude Rika (HNKN) [49.08%] vs Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS) [50.92%]
Fate Testarossa (MSLN) [45.19%] vs Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) [54.81%]
Maria (HnG) [59.8%] vs Index Prohibitorum (TAMI) [40.2%]
Sunohara Mei (CL) [50.59%] vs Kushieda Minori (TD) [49.41%]
Suiseiseki (RM) [45.89%] vs Ryūgū Rena (HNKN) [54.11%]
Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) [53.59%] vs Katsura Hinagiku (HnG) [46.41%]
Hinamori Amu (SC) [46.77%] vs Kirisame Marisa (TMK) [53.23%]
Alice Carroll (ARIA) [47.98%] vs Evangeline McDowell (NG) [52.02%]
Kōzuki Kallen (CG) [36.32%] vs Konjiki no Yami (TLR) [63.68%]
Nagato Yuki (SHnY) [53.84%] vs Sakagami Tomoyo (CL) [46.16%]
C.C. (CG) [50.11%] vs Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN) [49.89%]
Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) [43.83%] vs Tōsaka Rin (FSN) [56.17%]
Sawatari Makoto (KN) [50.09%] vs Kawazoe Tamaki (BB) [49.91%]
Hiiragi Kagami (LS) [45.92%] vs Shana (SnS) [54.08%]
Louise Vallière (ZnT) [43.77%] vs Illyasviel von Einzbern (FSN) [56.23%]
Furukawa Nagisa (CL) [51.41%] vs Holo (OtK) [48.59%]
Shinku (RM) [48.99%] vs Ibuki Fūko (CL) [51.01%]
Minase Nayuki (KN) [52.46%] vs Vita (MSLN) [47.54%]
Tsukimiya Ayu (KN) [58.24%] vs Nagi (KNG) [41.76%]
Asahina Mikuru (SHnY) [63.83%] vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) [36.17%]
Ichinose Kotomi (CL) [52.86%] vs Izumi Konata (LS) [47.14%]
Chiba Kirino (BB) [35.75%] vs Kawashima Ami (TD) [64.25%]
Anya Alstreim (CG) [52.69%] vs Remilia Scarlet (TMK) [47.31%]
Yagami Hayate (MSLN) [46.56%] vs Furude Hanyū (HNKN) [53.44%]
Ryōgi Shiki (KnK) [48.34%] vs Kurata Sayuri (KN) [51.66%]
Kawasumi Mai (KN) [58.75%] vs Misaka Shiori (KN) [41.25%]
Hakurei Reimu (TMK) [61.72%] vs Patchouli Knowledge (TMK) [38.28%]
Shameimaru Aya (TMK) [39.67%] vs Kamio Misuzu (AIR) [60.33%]
Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG) [49.95%] vs Suigintou (RM) [50.05%]
Chii (CH) [38.48%] vs Aisaka Taiga (TD) [61.52%]
Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) [38.93%] vs Saber (FSN) [61.07%]
Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD) [41.51%] vs Mizunashi Akari (ARIA) [58.49%]

VotesShow

Furude Rika (HNKN) vs Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS)
Fate Testarossa (MSLN) vs Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY)
Maria (HnG) vs Index Prohibitorum (TAMI)
Sunohara Mei (CL) vs Kushieda Minori (TD)
Suiseiseki (RM) vs Ryūgū Rena (HNKN)
Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) vs Katsura Hinagiku (HnG)
Hinamori Amu (SC) vs Kirisame Marisa (TMK)
Alice Carroll (ARIA) vs Evangeline McDowell (NG)
Kōzuki Kallen (CG) vs Konjiki no Yami (TLR)
Nagato Yuki (SHnY) vs Sakagami Tomoyo (CL)
C.C. (CG) vs Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN)
Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) vs Tōsaka Rin (FSN)
Sawatari Makoto (KN) vs Kawazoe Tamaki (BB)
Hiiragi Kagami (LS) vs Shana (SnS)
Louise Vallière (ZnT) vs Illyasviel von Einzbern (FSN)
Furukawa Nagisa (CL) vs Holo (OtK)
Shinku (RM) vs Ibuki Fūko (CL)
Minase Nayuki (KN) vs Vita (MSLN)
Tsukimiya Ayu (KN) vs Nagi (KNG)
Asahina Mikuru (SHnY) vs Katagiri Yūhi (AISS)
Ichinose Kotomi (CL) vs Izumi Konata (LS)
Chiba Kirino (BB) vs Kawashima Ami (TD)
Anya Alstreim (CG) vs Remilia Scarlet (TMK)
Yagami Hayate (MSLN) vs Furude Hanyū (HNKN)
Ryōgi Shiki (KnK) vs Kurata Sayuri (KN)
Kawasumi Mai (KN) vs Misaka Shiori (KN)
Hakurei Reimu (TMK) vs Patchouli Knowledge (TMK)
Shameimaru Aya (TMK) vs Kamio Misuzu (AIR)
Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG) vs Suigintou (RM)
Chii (CH) vs Aisaka Taiga (TD)
Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) vs Saber (FSN)
Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD) vs Mizunashi Akari (ARIA)

[maglor]

I guess you all know why I don't post my predictions, because I often let my bias cloud my judgement. Here is my vote plan for the most important day of ISML to this date.

1: Tsukasa over Rika : I owe this to a fellow Anizone member.
2: Fate over Haruhi : I don't like Haruhi much. This is the match that will reveal the relative power between KyoAni Empire and the Alliance
3: Maria over Index : I have suspicion that Maria can perform magic better than Index if someone lend her some spell books.
4: Minori over Mei : I like Mei, but Minori wins due to screen time.
5: Abstain : can't decide
6: Hinagiku over Kyou : Hinagiku will remain my #1 girl unless they do something really special for Kyou special. This match will really show whether Hinagiku is receiving some boost from recent episode or it was just that her schedule was easy.
7: Amu over Marisa : Amu deserves better. She should not go winless in ISML.
8: Alice over Eva : See my signature
9: Yami over Kallen : My revenge for the last preliminary round
10. Tomoyo over Yuki : It will take a 2nd season of Haruhi to change this. Victory by Tomoyo will mean we have at least one large group absolutely crazy about Tomoyo and actively campaigning for her, somewhere.
11. Nanoha over C.C. : Not much a fan of C.C.
12. Sakura over Rin : This was painful. It came down to a coin toss + Sakura having more screen time
13. Tamaki over Makoto : Bamboo Blade really deserves better
14. Kagami over Shana : I think Kagami has more reasonable personality compared to Shana. This match will not only decide the necklace, it will show how much chance Kagami or Shana has on winning the double elimination phase.
15. Abstain : Don't like them both.
16. Holo over Nagisa : See the newest Spice and Wolf release. If Holo wins, somehow, it will mean that Clannad faction is in rapid decline AND Holo will receive significant boost once the 2nd season starts.
17. Shinku over Fuko : Calm, analytic mind over crazy. Shinku's victory will really mean that Clannad storm is dying out.
18. Vita over Nayuki : Obligatory anti-KyoAni vote
19. Nagi over Ayu : I feel bad for not being able to vote for Nagi more often, and I was never a much fan of Ayu.
20. Yuhi over Mikuru : Yuhi is too underrated here. Mikuru may be overrated
21. Konata over Kotomi : Konata has much more lines compared to Kotomi. A win by Konata will place her in good standing to secure her place in top 16
22. Kirino over Ami : This was tough, but I owe it to Bamboo Blades
23. Scarlet over Anya : Got to pay homage to Touhou
24. Hayate over Hanyuu : Hayate may also be underrated
25. Shiki over Sayuri : Shiki can really handle the blade
26. Shiori over Mai : Shiori has became my #1 Kanon girl
27. Knowledge over Reimu : Coin toss
28. Misuzu over Aya : just felt like it
29. Suigintou over Nagi : Suigintou deserves better. Never a much fan of Nagi. Both needs a win here for a shot into top 16.
30. Taiga over Chii : Trash-talker is better than former trash.
31. Mikoto over Saber : Coin toss + Saber need to be stopped
32. Akari over Osaka : It is very likely I'm going to vote for Akari in more than 90% of the matches, and this has no chance of being that other 10%.

[Team Rocket Elite]

The quest for the Topaz necklace

Right now I would say Nagato Yuki is the one the beat for the Topaz Necklace.

For Yuki to win the necklace Kagami has to lose to Shana and Yuki needs to beat Tomoyo. Both of these outcomes are considered to be highly likely. If this happens, Yuki is pretty much a lock to take the necklace. Fate can try and intevene. However, Haruhi is on Yuki's side to block Fate's intervention. You can never count out the reigning champion but I consider Haruhi to be the favorite to beat Fate. Even if Fate manages to get past Haruhi, she needs her former opponents to get wins for her SDO rating. The three characters that she is relying on to pull upsets are Holo, Kushieda Minori and Kawazoe Tamaki. To block these wins Yuki is relying on the power of the rest of the KyoAni empire. Nagisa, Mei and Makoto will be giving their all to block Fate's opponents from scoring wins. And if this wasn't enough, Yuki is trying to convince Sayuri and Tsukasa to throw their matches to further weaken Fate's SDO rating. The other characters are too far behind in SDO to take the necklace from Yuki.

Kagami losing to Shana and Yuki beating Tomoyo aren't locks. If Kagami beats Shana, Kagami wins the necklace. Maria, Misuzu, Rin, Yami and Ami are all very likely to win their matches. If 3 of them come through Kagami has a high enough SDO to have a complete lock on the necklace. Yami and Ami are pretty much locks to win. I can't see Maria, Misuzu and Rin all failing. Chances are all of them will win. With that said, Kagami is at a heavy disadvantage against Shana so this probably won't happen.

So if Kagami wins, she gets the necklace. If Kagami loses and Yuki wins, Yuki gets the necklace. What if they both lose? Fate, Tomoyo and Shana become the front runners for the necklace. Fate still has to deal with Haruhi while this scenario assumes Tomoyo and Shana have already won. If Fate loses, she's out. If Fate wins, she is slightly ahead of Tomoyo in SDO but behind in VD. That means a single flip in results could lead to Tomoyo winning her second necklace. Interestingly, Tomoyo's 8 old opponents are fighting each other. This means exactly 4 wins for Tomoyo. The flip will have to come from Fate's side. The two most likely are Sayuri losing to Shiki or Tsukasa losing to Rika.

Shana needs two favorable flips to stop Tomoyo. Interestingly they are the exact same two flips that would have made Fate drop below Tomoyo: Rika beating Tsukasa and Shiki beating Sayuri. Furthermore, since these flips furt Fate, even if Fate beats Haruhi, Shana takes the necklace with her absurdly high VD.

Unless we start we start getting into ties that causes mutual destruction amoung the higher ups, Hinagiku, Haruhi and Kyou are likely out of the running.

Kagami's route to the Topaz Necklace
-Beat Shana

Yuki's route to the Topaz Necklace
-Shana beats Kagami
-Haruhi beats Fate
-If Haruhi loses, the KyoAni forces need to prevent Fate from getting the SDO to beat Yuki

Fate's route to the Topaz Necklace
-Shana beats Kagami
-Tomoyo beats Yuki
-Sayuri and Tsukasa win or Holo, Kushieda Minori or Kawazoe Tamaki win for each loss Sayuri and Tsukasa get.

Tomoyo's route to the Topaz Necklace
-Shana beats Kagami
-Tomoyo beats Yuki
-Haruhi beats Fate and either Sayuri or Tsukasa or both win
-If Haruhi loses, Sayuri or Tsukasa has to lose(not both or Shana wins)

Shana's route to the Topaz Necklace
-Beat Kagami
-Tomoyo beats Yuki
-Rika and Shiki win
-Makoto, Mei and Nagisa don't lose

Hinagiku and Kyou's route to the Topaz Necklace
-Pray to a higher power

Haruhi's route to the Topaz Necklace
-Pray to uhh... yourself, I guess? <_<

[maglor]

Well, I know there will be scenarios and tactical votings, but for my favorite character, I will repeat the famous saying, 'Just Win, Baby!"

[Chocola]

TRE's analysis is pretty good, although I would like to add one a few thing. Yuki has a very good chance to win the necklace if Shana beats Kagami. This is because if Yuki beats Tomoyo and Fate beats Haruhi, they would at first receive the same amount of SDO. Now, for Fate's SDO to tie with Yuki's, Fate's previous opponents have to win two more matches than Yuki's previous opponents. However, Yuki has an overwhelming lead over Fate in VD, which is the tiebreaker in an event of an SDO tie. That means Fate's previous opponents have to win three more matches than Yuki's previous opponents. The chances of this happening are very slim, especially since (in my opinion) Haruhi will beat Fate, and Haruhi does not have nearly enough SDO for any realistic chance.

I don't think Tomoyo will have a chance simply because her VD is lower than Yuki's. Shana just has too low SDO to even matter.

In short, it doesn't matter if Haruhi or Fate wins. If Kagami wins, then Kagami gets the necklace. If Shana wins, then there's a 95% chance (my rough estimate) that Yuki gets the necklace. So push all of your Shana or Kagami hate aside and think for a second: Even if you hate Shana, would you rather Kagami get the necklace than Yuki? Even if you hate Kagami, would you rather Yuki get the necklace than Kagami? Of course, if you hate both Kagami and Yuki very much, then we might have a problem. In that case, you might want to try again three weeks later.

[Demi.]

I don't want either to get the necklace.

You aren't exactly taking into consideration if both Kagami and Yuki lose, though... It's almost as if you're not even including it as a possibility. If Yuki loses, her 95% goes down the tubes.

And about that "Fate has no chance" speech. That's it, I'm not going to sleep until after I multivote 300 times.

*just kidding* ~ Ahahaha.

[chaosprophet]

There comes the difficult matches... I really hope Yuki and Fate can win. Minori has a chance too. Now if all my top five lost...

[frustra]

ARENA 01	Furude Rika	Abs	Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02	Fate Testarossa	-	Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03	Maria	-	Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 04	Sunohara Mei	-	Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05	Suiseiseki	-	Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 06	Fujibayashi Kyō	-	Katsura Hinagiku
ARENA 07	Hinamori Amu	-	Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08	Alice Carroll	-	Evangeline McDowell
ARENA 09	Kōzuki Kallen	-	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 10	Nagato Yuki	-	Sakagami Tomoyo
ARENA 11	C.C.	-	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 12	Kinomoto Sakura	-	Tōsaka Rin
ARENA 13	Sawatari Makoto	-	Kawazoe Tamaki
ARENA 14	Hiiragi Kagami	-	Shana
ARENA 15	Louise Vallière	Abs	Illyasviel von Einzbern
ARENA 16	Furukawa Nagisa	-	Holo
ARENA 17	Shinku	-	Ibuki Fūko
ARENA 18	Minase Nayuki	-	Vita
ARENA 19	Tsukimiya Ayu	-	Nagi
ARENA 20	Asahina Mikuru	-	Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21	Ichinose Kotomi	-	Izumi Konata
ARENA 22	Chiba Kirino	-	Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23	Anya Alstreim	-	Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 24	Yagami Hayate	-	Furude Hanyū
ARENA 25	Ryōgi Shiki	-	Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 26	Kawasumi Mai	-	Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27	Hakurei Reimu	-	Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28	Shameimaru Aya	-	Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29	Sanzen'in Nagi	-	Suigintou
ARENA 30	Chii	-	Aisaka Taiga
ARENA 31	Misaka Mikoto	-	Saber
ARENA 32	Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu	-	Mizunashi Akari

huge matches here. i really hope Hina can finally beat Kyou...

[Xalathal]

ARENA 01	Furude Rika	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02	Fate Testarossa	-	Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03	Maria	-	Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 04	Sunohara Mei	-	Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05	Suiseiseki	-	Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 06	Fujibayashi Kyō	-	Katsura Hinagiku
ARENA 07	Hinamori Amu	-	Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08	Alice Carroll	-	Evangeline McDowell
ARENA 09	Kōzuki Kallen	-	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 10	Nagato Yuki	-	Sakagami Tomoyo
ARENA 11	C.C.	-	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 12	Kinomoto Sakura	-	Tōsaka Rin
ARENA 13	Sawatari Makoto	-	Kawazoe Tamaki
ARENA 14	Hiiragi Kagami	-	Shana
ARENA 15	Louise Vallière	-	Illyasviel von Einzbern
ARENA 16	Furukawa Nagisa	-	Holo
ARENA 17	Shinku	-	Ibuki Fūko
ARENA 18	Minase Nayuki	-	Vita
ARENA 19	Tsukimiya Ayu	-	Nagi
ARENA 20	Asahina Mikuru	-	Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21	Ichinose Kotomi	-	Izumi Konata
ARENA 22	Chiba Kirino	-	Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23	Anya Alstreim	-	Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 24	Yagami Hayate	-	Furude Hanyū
ARENA 25	Ryōgi Shiki	-	Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 26	Kawasumi Mai	-	Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27	Hakurei Reimu	-	Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28	Shameimaru Aya	-	Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29	Sanzen'in Nagi	-	Suigintou
ARENA 30	Chii	-	Aisaka Taiga
ARENA 31	Misaka Mikoto	-	Saber
ARENA 32	Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu	-	Mizunashi Akari

[Serffix]

ARENA 01	Furude Rika	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02	Fate Testarossa	-	Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03	Maria	-	Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 04	Sunohara Mei	-	Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05	Suiseiseki	-	Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 06	Fujibayashi Kyō	-	Katsura Hinagiku
ARENA 07	Hinamori Amu	-	Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08	Alice Carroll	-	Evangeline McDowell
ARENA 09	Kōzuki Kallen	-	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 10	Nagato Yuki	-	Sakagami Tomoyo
ARENA 11	C.C.	-	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 12	Kinomoto Sakura	-	Tōsaka Rin
ARENA 13	Sawatari Makoto	-	Kawazoe Tamaki
ARENA 14	Hiiragi Kagami	-	Shana
ARENA 15	Louise Vallière	-	Illyasviel von Einzbern
ARENA 16	Furukawa Nagisa	-	Holo
ARENA 17	Shinku	-	Ibuki Fūko
ARENA 18	Minase Nayuki	-	Vita
ARENA 19	Tsukimiya Ayu	-	Nagi
ARENA 20	Asahina Mikuru	-	Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21	Ichinose Kotomi	-	Izumi Konata
ARENA 22	Chiba Kirino	-	Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23	Anya Alstreim	-	Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 24	Yagami Hayate	-	Furude Hanyū
ARENA 25	Ryōgi Shiki	-	Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 26	Kawasumi Mai	-	Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27	Hakurei Reimu	-	Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28	Shameimaru Aya	-	Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29	Sanzen'in Nagi	-	Suigintou
ARENA 30	Chii	-	Aisaka Taiga
ARENA 31	Misaka Mikoto	-	Saber
ARENA 32	Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu	-	Mizunashi Akari

[Motoyama]

ARENA 01	Furude Rika	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02	Fate Testarossa	-	Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03	Maria	-	Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 04	Sunohara Mei	-	Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05	Suiseiseki	-	Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 06	Fujibayashi Kyō	-	Katsura Hinagiku
ARENA 07	Hinamori Amu	-	Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08	Alice Carroll	-	Evangeline McDowell
ARENA 09	Kōzuki Kallen	-	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 10	Nagato Yuki	-	Sakagami Tomoyo
ARENA 11	C.C.	-	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 12	Kinomoto Sakura	-	Tōsaka Rin
ARENA 13	Sawatari Makoto	Abs	Kawazoe Tamaki
ARENA 14	Hiiragi Kagami	-	Shana
ARENA 15	Louise Vallière	-	Illyasviel von Einzbern
ARENA 16	Furukawa Nagisa	-	Holo
ARENA 17	Shinku	-	Ibuki Fūko
ARENA 18	Minase Nayuki	-	Vita
ARENA 19	Tsukimiya Ayu	-	Nagi
ARENA 20	Asahina Mikuru	-	Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21	Ichinose Kotomi	Abs	Izumi Konata
ARENA 22	Chiba Kirino	Abs	Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23	Anya Alstreim	-	Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 24	Yagami Hayate	-	Furude Hanyū
ARENA 25	Ryōgi Shiki	-	Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 26	Kawasumi Mai	-	Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27	Hakurei Reimu	-	Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28	Shameimaru Aya	-	Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29	Sanzen'in Nagi	-	Suigintou
ARENA 30	Chii	-	Aisaka Taiga
ARENA 31	Misaka Mikoto	-	Saber
ARENA 32	Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu	Abs	Mizunashi Akari

[xandox]

Last round peoples. I really hope Nagato Yuki gets it this period.

ARENA 01	Furude Rika	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02	Fate Testarossa	-	Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03	Maria	-	Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 04	Sunohara Mei	-	Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05	Suiseiseki	-	Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 06	Fujibayashi Kyō	-	Katsura Hinagiku
ARENA 07	Hinamori Amu	-	Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08	Alice Carroll	-	Evangeline McDowell
ARENA 09	Kōzuki Kallen	-	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 10	Nagato Yuki	-	Sakagami Tomoyo
ARENA 11	C.C.	-	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 12	Kinomoto Sakura	-	Tōsaka Rin
ARENA 13	Sawatari Makoto	-	Kawazoe Tamaki
ARENA 14	Hiiragi Kagami	-	Shana
ARENA 15	Louise Vallière	-	Illyasviel von Einzbern
ARENA 16	Furukawa Nagisa	-	Holo
ARENA 17	Shinku	-	Ibuki Fūko
ARENA 18	Minase Nayuki	-	Vita
ARENA 19	Tsukimiya Ayu	-	Nagi
ARENA 20	Asahina Mikuru	-	Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21	Ichinose Kotomi	-	Izumi Konata
ARENA 22	Chiba Kirino	-	Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23	Anya Alstreim	-	Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 24	Yagami Hayate	-	Furude Hanyū
ARENA 25	Ryōgi Shiki	-	Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 26	Kawasumi Mai	-	Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27	Hakurei Reimu	Abs	Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28	Shameimaru Aya	-	Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29	Sanzen'in Nagi	-	Suigintou
ARENA 30	Chii	-	Aisaka Taiga
ARENA 31	Misaka Mikoto	-	Saber
ARENA 32	Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu	-	Mizunashi Akari

P.S. Don't you just love all the "Out of Service" messages?

[Smasher]

ARENA 01	Furude Rika	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02	Fate Testarossa	-	Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03	Maria	-	Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 04	Sunohara Mei	-	Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05	Suiseiseki	-	Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 06	Fujibayashi Kyō	-	Katsura Hinagiku
ARENA 07	Hinamori Amu	Abs	Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08	Alice Carroll	-	Evangeline McDowell
ARENA 09	Kōzuki Kallen	-	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 10	Nagato Yuki	-	Sakagami Tomoyo
ARENA 11	C.C.	-	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 12	Kinomoto Sakura	-	Tōsaka Rin
ARENA 13	Sawatari Makoto	Abs	Kawazoe Tamaki
ARENA 14	Hiiragi Kagami	-	Shana
ARENA 15	Louise Vallière	-	Illyasviel von Einzbern
ARENA 16	Furukawa Nagisa	-	Holo
ARENA 17	Shinku	-	Ibuki Fūko
ARENA 18	Minase Nayuki	-	Vita
ARENA 19	Tsukimiya Ayu	-	Nagi
ARENA 20	Asahina Mikuru	-	Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21	Ichinose Kotomi	-	Izumi Konata
ARENA 22	Chiba Kirino	-	Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23	Anya Alstreim	-	Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 24	Yagami Hayate	-	Furude Hanyū
ARENA 25	Ryōgi Shiki	Abs	Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 26	Kawasumi Mai	-	Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27	Hakurei Reimu	Abs	Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28	Shameimaru Aya	-	Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29	Sanzen'in Nagi	-	Suigintou
ARENA 30	Chii	-	Aisaka Taiga
ARENA 31	Misaka Mikoto	-	Saber
ARENA 32	Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu	-	Mizunashi Akari

[Chocola]

I don't want either to get the necklace.

You aren't exactly taking into consideration if both Kagami and Yuki lose, though... It's almost as if you're not even including it as a possibility. If Yuki loses, her 95% goes down the tubes.

And about that "Fate has no chance" speech. That's it, I'm not going to sleep until after I multivote 300 times.

*just kidding* ~ Ahahaha.

Somehow I don't see that happening though. It won't be a possibility.

And what are you talking about? My whole "speech" was about if Fate beat Haruhi. This is what I mean by you twisting around my words. I only added my opinion as an afterthought, not even as a sentence, but a phrase.

[raizoo]

FFS FRUSTRA YOU BRIGHT

萌えカウントに投票しました。Show

ARENA 01: [Furude Rika] Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02: [Fate Testarossa] Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03: [Maria] Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 04: [Sunohara Mei] Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05: Suiseiseki [Ryūgū Rena]
ARENA 06: Fujibayashi Kyō [Katsura Hinagiku]
ARENA 07: [Hinamori Amu] Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08: Alice Carroll [Evangeline McDowell]
ARENA 09: Kōzuki Kallen [Konjiki no Yami]
ARENA 10: [Nagato Yuki] Sakagami Tomoyo
ARENA 11: C.C. [Takamachi Nanoha]
ARENA 12: [Kinomoto Sakura] Tōsaka Rin
ARENA 13: Sawatari Makoto [Kawazoe Tamaki]
ARENA 14: [Hiiragi Kagami] Shana
ARENA 15: Louise Vallière [Illyasviel von Einzbern]
ARENA 16: [Furukawa Nagisa] Holo
ARENA 17: [Shinku] Ibuki Fūko
ARENA 18: Minase Nayuki [Abstained] Vita
ARENA 19: Tsukimiya Ayu [Nagi]
ARENA 20: [Asahina Mikuru] Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21: Ichinose Kotomi [Abstained] Izumi Konata
ARENA 22: [Chiba Kirino] Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23: Anya Alstreim [Remilia Scarlet]
ARENA 24: [Yagami Hayate] Furude Hanyū
ARENA 25: Ryōgi Shiki [Kurata Sayuri]
ARENA 26: [Kawasumi Mai] Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27: [Hakurei Reimu] Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28: [Shameimaru Aya] Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29: [Sanzen'in Nagi] Suigintou
ARENA 30: Chii [Aisaka Taiga]
ARENA 31: [Misaka Mikoto] Saber
ARENA 32: Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu [Mizunashi Akari]

[Xellos]

ARENA 01	Furude Rika	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02	Fate Testarossa	-	Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03	Maria	-	Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 04	Sunohara Mei	-	Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05	Suiseiseki	-	Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 06	Fujibayashi Kyō	-	Katsura Hinagiku
ARENA 07	Hinamori Amu	-	Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08	Alice Carroll	-	Evangeline McDowell
ARENA 09	Kōzuki Kallen	-	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 10	Nagato Yuki	-	Sakagami Tomoyo
ARENA 11	C.C.	-	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 12	Kinomoto Sakura	-	Tōsaka Rin
ARENA 13	Sawatari Makoto	-	Kawazoe Tamaki
ARENA 14	Hiiragi Kagami	-	Shana
ARENA 15	Louise Vallière	-	Illyasviel von Einzbern
ARENA 16	Furukawa Nagisa	-	Holo
ARENA 17	Shinku	-	Ibuki Fūko
ARENA 18	Minase Nayuki	-	Vita
ARENA 19	Tsukimiya Ayu	-	Nagi
ARENA 20	Asahina Mikuru	-	Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21	Ichinose Kotomi	-	Izumi Konata
ARENA 22	Chiba Kirino	-	Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23	Anya Alstreim	-	Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 24	Yagami Hayate	-	Furude Hanyū
ARENA 25	Ryōgi Shiki	-	Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 26	Kawasumi Mai	-	Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27	Hakurei Reimu	-	Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28	Shameimaru Aya	-	Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29	Sanzen'in Nagi	-	Suigintou
ARENA 30	Chii	-	Aisaka Taiga
ARENA 31	Misaka Mikoto	-	Saber
ARENA 32	Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu	-	Mizunashi Akari

[CrowKenobi]

ARENA 01	Furude Rika	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa
ARENA 02	Fate Testarossa	-	Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 03	Maria	-	Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 04	Sunohara Mei	-	Kushieda Minori
ARENA 05	Suiseiseki	-	Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 06	Fujibayashi Kyō	-	Katsura Hinagiku
ARENA 07	Hinamori Amu	Abs	Kirisame Marisa
ARENA 08	Alice Carroll	-	Evangeline McDowell
ARENA 09	Kōzuki Kallen	-	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 10	Nagato Yuki	-	Sakagami Tomoyo
ARENA 11	C.C.	-	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 12	Kinomoto Sakura	-	Tōsaka Rin
ARENA 13	Sawatari Makoto	-	Kawazoe Tamaki
ARENA 14	Hiiragi Kagami	-	Shana
ARENA 15	Louise Vallière	Abs	Illyasviel von Einzbern
ARENA 16	Furukawa Nagisa	-	Horo
ARENA 17	Shinku	-	Ibuki Fūko
ARENA 18	Minase Nayuki	-	Vita
ARENA 19	Tsukimiya Ayu	-	Nagi
ARENA 20	Asahina Mikuru	-	Katagiri Yūhi
ARENA 21	Ichinose Kotomi	-	Izumi Konata
ARENA 22	Chiba Kirino	-	Kawashima Ami
ARENA 23	Anya Alstreim	Abs	Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 24	Yagami Hayate	-	Furude Hanyū
ARENA 25	Ryōgi Shiki	-	Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 26	Kawasumi Mai	-	Misaka Shiori
ARENA 27	Hakurei Reimu	Abs	Patchouli Knowledge
ARENA 28	Shameimaru Aya	-	Kamio Misuzu
ARENA 29	Sanzen'in Nagi	-	Suigintou
ARENA 30	Chii	-	Aisaka Taiga
ARENA 31	Misaka Mikoto	-	Saber
ARENA 32	Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu	-	Mizunashi Akari