Post
by Cecaniah » Fri May 29, 2009 8:48 pm
Okay! I've done some analyzing. Here's what I've come to.
Kagami is a major threat to the necklace. With Kagami just winning by herself, without her old opponents winning, She has enough to put Shana and Rin out of range. Meaning Rin and Shana don't have a chance if Kagami wins.
Yuki would need atleast 6 of her opponents to win to tie Kagami, 7 or more to beat her.
Haruhi and Suigintou would need atleast 7 of her old opponents to win to even tie Kagami. While all of them would need to win to beat her.
If atleast 3 of Kagami's old opponents win, the necklace is hers.
Yuki is the next one. Assuming Kagami loses or doesn't have enough opponents win, Yuki is the next highest.
Yuki winning without her opponents winning isn't that much of a threat. All others excluding Kagami (assuming she's lost) would have a chance.
Shana would need atleast 4 of her old opponents to win to tie Yuki, while 5 or more would beat her.
Rin would need atleast 3 of her old opponents to win to tie Yuki, while 5 or more will beat her.
Haruhi and Suigintou would need atleast 1 old opponent to win to tie Yuki, while 2 or more would beat her.
If atleast 5 of Yuki's opponents win, Shana will be out of range.
Rin would need all of her old opponents to win to tie with Yuki.
Haruhi and Suigintou would need atleast 6 of their old opponents to tie Yuki, while 7 or more would beat her.
If atleast 6 of Yuki's old opponents win, Rin will be out of range.
Haruhi and Suigintou would need atleast 7 to tie with Yuki, while all of them will beat her.
If atleast 7 of Yuki's old opponents win, Haruhi and Suigintou will tie with her.
If all os Yuki's opponents win, as long as Kagami is defeated, the necklace is hers.
Haruhi and Suigintou are tied. Assuming the two both win, without the help of their opponents, everyone still has a fair chance.
Shana would need 3 of her old opponents to win to tie Haruhi and Suigintou, while 4 would beat them.
Rin would need atleast 2 of her opponents to win to tie Haruhi and Suigintou, while 3 would make her win.
If atleast 6 of Haruhi's and Suigintou's old opponents win, Shana is out of range.
Rin would need all of her opponents to win to tie with Haruhi and Suigintou.
If atleast 7 of Haruhi's and Suigintou's opponents win, Rin is out of range and, assuming both Yuki and Kagami lose, the necklace will belong to either Haruhi or Suigintou.
Rin is next, but she's not much of a threat at all. Assuming none of her old opponents win, Shana only needs one old opponent to win to tie, and two to beat her.
Rin would need all of her old opponents to win to get Shana out of range.
Shana isn't a threat at all. A miracle will need to happen to make Shana win this necklace.
Now, summary of what's needed to win. (Assuming they win their match)
Kagami;;
- Three old opponents win.
Yuki;;
- Kagami loses or has 2 or less old opponents win.
- Atleast 4 or more old opponents win.
- Haruhi and Suigintou do not have more old opponents win than Yuki.
Haruhi;;
- Kagami loses.
- Yuki loses or has less old opponents win than Haruhi. Atleast 2 less.
- Suigintou loses or has one less old opponent win than Haruhi.
- She needs atleast 4 or more of her old opponents to win.
Suigintou;;
- Kagami loses.
- Yuki loses or has less old opponents win than Haruhi. Atleast 2 less.
- Haruhi loses or has one less old opponent win than Suigintou.
- She needs atleast 4 or more of her old opponents to win.
Rin;;
- Kagami loses.
- Yuki loses or has less of her old opponents win. Atleast 4 less.
- Haruhi and/or Suigintou loses or has less of her old opponent win. Atleast 3 less.
- Shana has the same amount of old opponents or less win.
- She needs atleast 5 or more of her old opponents to win.
Shana;;
- Kagami loses.
- Yuki loses or has less of her old opponents win. Atleast 5 less.
- Haruhi and/or Suigintou loses or has less of her old opponent win. Atleast 4 less.
- Rin loses or has less of her old opponents win. Atleast 2 less
- She needs nearly all of her old opponents to win.
So, if The RM faction can pull off taking down the rest of the first tier, Suigintou has the necklace.
If they can't manage to take down Kagami, the necklace is hers.
If they can't take down Yuki, they need to atleast make more of Suigintou's old opponents win. Or else, the necklace is Yuki's.
If they can't bring Haruhi down, they need to make more of Suigintou's past opponents win. Atleast one more.
Rin won't really be a threat.
It'll take one hell of a miracle to make Shana win.
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