Amethyst 9 - 29 May

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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by Team Rocket Elite » Fri May 29, 2009 11:00 pm

The quest for the Amethyst Necklace

The front runner for the Amethyst necklace is Hiiragi Kagami.

Following the tradition set in Aquamarine and Topaz, to win the necklace you need to defeat Sakagami Tomoyo in the final match (or be Sakagami Tomoyo). Shana would have won if she succeeded to beat Tomoyo in Aquamarine 9. Yuki won after she defeated Tomoyo in Topaz 9. Now Kagami needs to defeat Tomoyo in Amethyst 9 to claim the necklace. If Kagami defeats Tomoyo she can completely seal her win in 2 of her former opponents win. Hanyuu, Taiga, Marisa and Evangeline are all almost locks to win their matches and only two of them have to succeed. Even if they all lose, for Kagami to lose the necklace almost all of either Suigintou, Yuki or Haruhi's previous opponent have to win which won't happen.

Suigintou, Yuki and Haruhi are the next most likely to win and they enter Amethyst 9 with the same SDO. When you factor in how well their former opponents are likely to do in Amethyst 9, the second most likely character to win is Nagato Yuki. For this to have any chance of happening, Kagami has to lose to Tomoyo and Yuki needs to beat Fate. Yuki is about as heavy a favorite as you can be for a character who has to face the former champion. Being one of 3 characters who beat Fate last year and being related to a character who beat Fate this year can't hurt. Yuki is relying on wins from Holo, Minori and Tsukasa to stay ahead of Suigintou. Holo beating Kotomi and Tsukasa beating C.C. are a bit shaky but Yuki only needs one of them to come through. I don't expect Sayuri and Tamaki top win but if they do it'll help Yuki a lot.

Suigintou is the next most likely to win the necklace. Kagami still has to lose and Suigintou needs to beat Nagisa. Yuki losing to Fate would also help things. Haruhi losing to Hinagiku would help too and likely guarantee Suigintou winning the necklace. If Yuki doesn't lose, Suigintou will be relying on Yuki's old opponents to fail. Most of Suigintou's old opponents are in unwinnable situations. Of the old opponents I expect to lose, Akari has the best chance to win and that doesn't help since it benefits Yuki as well. Osaka can't beat Nayuki(or anyone else. Poor Osaka ;_;) Louise can't beat Shinku. Makoto as an outside chance at beating Reimu. What kills Suigintou's chances is Nagisa has fewer wins than Yuki's Amethyst 9 opponent Fate and Suigintou shares several opponents with Yuki so there are fewer opportunites for upsets to be made to push Suigintou ahead. It doesn't help that Rika has a high chance of losing which hurts Suigintou. On top of all of that, Suigintou herself has a fairly high chance of losing to Nagisa. If Yuki ends up really putting the hurt on Fate and Suigintou only edges by Nagisa, Suigintou might lose her VD advantage as well.

Haruhi needs Kagami to lose and probably needs Yuki to lose to Fate as well. Also Haruhi obviously needs to beat Hinagiku. Haruhi beat Suigintou back in Topaz, but I'm not sure if that counts for Amethyst tiebreakers. If it does, bump Haruhi above Suigintou in likelyhood to win the necklace. Suigintou would also need Haruhi to lose if Yuki and Kagami lose. If it doesn't count, Haruhi is relying on Suiseseki to beat Konata and Remilia to beat Misuzu. Second one probably won't happen so Rika will have to lose to Nagi to hurt Suigintou.

Tohsaka Rin still has a chance to win the necklace if everybody above her loses and she beats Rena. Kagami and Yuki defintely have to lose. For Rin to beat Suigintou, Illyasviel or Rika or both have to lose. For each one that doesn't, Kotomi has to beat Holo or Kyou has to beat Shana. Both of them are possible outcomes. If Kyou or Kotomi come through, it would let Rin get past Haruhi as well.

Shana has a shot at finally getting a necklace as well. Kagami and Yuki need to lose and Shana needs to beat Kyou. Shana shares several opponents with Rin so she likely needs Rin to lose as well. If Rin doesn't lose, Mai or C.C. need to win their battles which isn't too unlikely. To pass by Suigintou, Kotomi, Mai and C.C need to win. Shana can settle for two out of three if she get beat Kyou badly enough to increase her VD over Suigintou. 2 out of 3 is also good enough to pass Haruhi.

If Kagami, Suigintou, Yuki, Haruhi, Rin and Shana all lose. Tomoyo might get her second necklace. I think Fate still has a shot too.
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by Alexftw » Fri May 29, 2009 11:07 pm

ARENA 01Takamachi Nanoha-Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 02Kawazoe TamakiAbsHinamori Amu
ARENA 03Nagi-Saber
ARENA 04Izumi Konata-Suiseiseki
ARENA 05Patchouli KnowledgeAbsSunohara Mei
ARENA 06Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu-Minase Nayuki
ARENA 07Shana-Fujibayashi Kyō
ARENA 08Kirisame Marisa-Shameimaru Aya
ARENA 09Suigintou-Furukawa Nagisa
ARENA 10Katsura Hinagiku-Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 11Tōsaka Rin-Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 12Louise Vallière-Shinku
ARENA 13Holo-Ichinose Kotomi
ARENA 14Mizunashi Akari-Alice Carroll
ARENA 15Kurata Sayuri-Yagami Hayate
ARENA 16Vita-Asahina Mikuru
ARENA 17Ibuki Fūko-Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 18Fate Testarossa-Nagato Yuki
ARENA 19Aisaka Taiga-Anya Alstreim
ARENA 20Sanzen'in Nagi-Furude Rika
ARENA 21Katagiri Yūhi-Tsukimiya Ayu
ARENA 22Kawashima Ami-Maria
ARENA 23Illyasviel von Einzbern-Kawasumi Mai
ARENA 24Kamio Misuzu-Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 25Sakagami Tomoyo-Hiiragi Kagami
ARENA 26Hakurei Reimu-Sawatari Makoto
ARENA 27Konjiki no YamiAbsMisaka Mikoto
ARENA 28Furude Hanyū-Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 29Hiiragi Tsukasa-C.C.
ARENA 30Misaka Shiori-Chiba Kirino
ARENA 31Kushieda Minori-Chii
ARENA 32Evangeline McDowell-Kōzuki Kallen
Rin/Rena was hard, went down to who's show I like more. Fate/Yuki was also hard. D:
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by ithekro » Fri May 29, 2009 11:29 pm

Rena wants to put cat ears on Rin and take her home.
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by Cecaniah » Sat May 30, 2009 1:09 am

ithekro wrote:Rena wants to put cat ears on Rin and take her home.
-nods-
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by Eisdrache » Sat May 30, 2009 1:43 am

ARENA 01Takamachi Nanoha-Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 02Kawazoe Tamaki-Hinamori Amu
ARENA 03Nagi-Saber
ARENA 04Izumi Konata-Suiseiseki
ARENA 05Patchouli Knowledge-Sunohara Mei
ARENA 06Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu-Minase Nayuki
ARENA 07Shana-Fujibayashi Kyō
ARENA 08Kirisame Marisa-Shameimaru Aya
ARENA 09Suigintou-Furukawa Nagisa
ARENA 10Katsura Hinagiku-Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 11Tōsaka Rin-Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 12Louise VallièreAbsShinku
ARENA 13Holo-Ichinose Kotomi
ARENA 14Mizunashi AkariAbsAlice Carroll
ARENA 15Kurata Sayuri-Yagami Hayate
ARENA 16Vita-Asahina Mikuru
ARENA 17Ibuki Fūko-Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 18Fate Testarossa-Nagato Yuki
ARENA 19Aisaka Taiga-Anya Alstreim
ARENA 20Sanzen'in Nagi-Furude Rika
ARENA 21Katagiri Yūhi-Tsukimiya Ayu
ARENA 22Kawashima AmiAbsMaria
ARENA 23Illyasviel von Einzbern-Kawasumi Mai
ARENA 24Kamio Misuzu-Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 25Sakagami Tomoyo-Hiiragi Kagami
ARENA 26Hakurei Reimu-Sawatari Makoto
ARENA 27Konjiki no Yami-Misaka Mikoto
ARENA 28Furude Hanyū-Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 29Hiiragi Tsukasa-C.C.
ARENA 30Misaka Shiori-Chiba Kirino
ARENA 31Kushieda MinoriAbsChii
ARENA 32Evangeline McDowell-Kōzuki Kallen
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by sovietmisaki » Sat May 30, 2009 3:07 am

ARENA 01Takamachi Nanoha-Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 02Kawazoe Tamaki-Hinamori Amu
ARENA 03Nagi-Saber
ARENA 04Izumi Konata-Suiseiseki
ARENA 05Patchouli Knowledge-Sunohara Mei
ARENA 06Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu-Minase Nayuki
ARENA 07Shana-Fujibayashi Kyō
ARENA 08Kirisame Marisa-Shameimaru Aya
ARENA 09Suigintou-Furukawa Nagisa
ARENA 10Katsura Hinagiku-Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 11Tōsaka Rin-Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 12Louise Vallière-Shinku
ARENA 13Holo-Ichinose Kotomi
ARENA 14Mizunashi Akari-Alice Carroll
ARENA 15Kurata Sayuri-Yagami Hayate
ARENA 16Vita-Asahina Mikuru
ARENA 17Ibuki Fūko-Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 18Fate Testarossa-Nagato Yuki
ARENA 19Aisaka Taiga-Anya Alstreim
ARENA 20Sanzen'in Nagi-Furude Rika
ARENA 21Katagiri Yūhi-Tsukimiya Ayu
ARENA 22Kawashima Ami-Maria
ARENA 23Illyasviel von Einzbern-Kawasumi Mai
ARENA 24Kamio Misuzu-Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 25Sakagami Tomoyo-Hiiragi Kagami
ARENA 26Hakurei Reimu-Sawatari Makoto
ARENA 27Konjiki no Yami-Misaka Mikoto
ARENA 28Furude Hanyū-Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 29Hiiragi TsukasaAbsC.C.
ARENA 30Misaka Shiori-Chiba Kirino
ARENA 31Kushieda Minori-Chii
ARENA 32Evangeline McDowell-Kōzuki Kallen

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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by whiteworm » Sat May 30, 2009 3:47 am

Judgement has come!!!!!!

ARENA 01: [[Takamachi Nanoha]] Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 02: [[Kawazoe Tamaki]] Hinamori Amu
ARENA 03: [[Nagi]] Saber
ARENA 04: Izumi Konata [[Suiseiseki]]
ARENA 05: Patchouli Knowledge [[Sunohara Mei]]
ARENA 06: Kasuga “Osaka” Ayumu [[Minase Nayuki]]
ARENA 07: Shana [[Fujibayashi Kyo]]
ARENA 08: [[Kirisame Marisa]] Shameimaru Aya
ARENA 09: Suigintou [[Furukawa Nagisa]]
ARENA 10: [[Katsura Hinagiku]] Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 11: Tosaka Rin [[Ryugu Rena]]
ARENA 12: Louise Valliere [[Shinku]]
ARENA 13: Holo [[Ichinose Kotomi]]
ARENA 14: Mizunashi Akari [[Alice Carroll]]
ARENA 15: [[Kurata Sayuri]] Yagami Hayate
ARENA 16: Vita [[Asahina Mikuru]]
ARENA 17: Ibuki Fuko [[Ryogi Shiki]]
ARENA 18: [[Fate Testarossa]] Nagato Yuki
ARENA 19: [[Aisaka Taiga]] Anya Alstreim
ARENA 20: Sanzen'in Nagi [[Furude Rika]]
ARENA 21: Katagiri Yuhi [[Tsukimiya Ayu]]
ARENA 22: Kawashima Ami [[Maria]]
ARENA 23: Illyasviel von Einzbern [[Kawasumi Mai]]
ARENA 24: [[Kamio Misuzu]] Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 25: [[Sakagami Tomoyo]] Hiiragi Kagami
ARENA 26: Hakurei Reimu [[Sawatari Makoto]]
ARENA 27: Konjiki no Yami [[Misaka Mikoto]]
ARENA 28: [[Furude Hanyu]] Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 29: Hiiragi Tsukasa [[C.C.]]
ARENA 30: [[Misaka Shiori]] Chiba Kirino
ARENA 31: Kushieda Minori [[Chii]]
ARENA 32: [[Evangeline McDowell]] Kuzuki Kallen
Last edited by whiteworm on Sat May 30, 2009 4:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by Eater-of-All » Sat May 30, 2009 3:48 am

VotesShow
ARENA 01: [Takamachi Nanoha] Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 02: Kawazoe Tamaki [Hinamori Amu]
ARENA 03: [Nagi] Saber
ARENA 04: [Izumi Konata] Suiseiseki
ARENA 05: Patchouli Knowledge [Sunohara Mei]
ARENA 06: Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu [Minase Nayuki]
ARENA 07: Shana [Fujibayashi Kyō]
ARENA 08: [Kirisame Marisa] Shameimaru Aya
ARENA 09: Suigintou [Furukawa Nagisa]
ARENA 10: [Katsura Hinagiku] Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 11: Tōsaka Rin [Ryūgū Rena]
ARENA 12: [Louise Vallière] Shinku
ARENA 13: [Holo] Ichinose Kotomi
ARENA 14: Mizunashi Akari [Alice Carroll]
ARENA 15: Kurata Sayuri [Yagami Hayate]
ARENA 16: Vita [Asahina Mikuru]
ARENA 17: [Ibuki Fūko] Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 18: Fate Testarossa [Nagato Yuki]
ARENA 19: [Aisaka Taiga] Anya Alstreim
ARENA 20: Sanzen'in Nagi [Furude Rika]
ARENA 21: Katagiri Yūhi [Tsukimiya Ayu]
ARENA 22: [Kawashima Ami] Maria
ARENA 23: Illyasviel von Einzbern [Kawasumi Mai]
ARENA 24: [Kamio Misuzu] Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 25: Sakagami Tomoyo [Hiiragi Kagami]
ARENA 26: Hakurei Reimu [Sawatari Makoto]
ARENA 27: Konjiki no Yami [Misaka Mikoto]
ARENA 28: [Furude Hanyū] Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 29: [Hiiragi Tsukasa] C.C.
ARENA 30: [Misaka Shiori] Chiba Kirino
ARENA 31: [Kushieda Minori] Chii
ARENA 32: [Evangeline McDowell] Kōzuki Kallen
Time to see if this RM resurrection is a feint or the real deal.
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by Ahasuerus » Sat May 30, 2009 3:59 am

Amethyst 9 Votes:
ARENA 01Takamachi Nanoha-Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 02Kawazoe Tamaki-Hinamori Amu
ARENA 03Nagi-Saber
ARENA 04Izumi Konata-Suiseiseki
ARENA 05Patchouli Knowledge-Sunohara Mei
ARENA 06Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu-Minase Nayuki
ARENA 07Shana-Fujibayashi Kyō
ARENA 08Kirisame Marisa-Shameimaru Aya
ARENA 09Suigintou-Furukawa Nagisa
ARENA 10Katsura Hinagiku-Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 11Tōsaka Rin-Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 12Louise Vallière-Shinku
ARENA 13Holo-Ichinose Kotomi
ARENA 14Mizunashi Akari-Alice Carroll
ARENA 15Kurata Sayuri-Yagami Hayate
ARENA 16Vita-Asahina Mikuru
ARENA 17Ibuki Fūko-Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 18Fate Testarossa-Nagato Yuki
ARENA 19Aisaka Taiga-Anya Alstreim
ARENA 20Sanzen'in Nagi-Furude Rika
ARENA 21Katagiri Yūhi-Tsukimiya Ayu
ARENA 22Kawashima Ami-Maria
ARENA 23Illyasviel von Einzbern-Kawasumi Mai
ARENA 24Kamio Misuzu-Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 25Sakagami Tomoyo-Hiiragi Kagami
ARENA 26Hakurei Reimu-Sawatari Makoto
ARENA 27Konjiki no Yami-Misaka Mikoto
ARENA 28Furude Hanyū-Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 29Hiiragi Tsukasa-C.C.
ARENA 30Misaka Shiori-Chiba Kirino
ARENA 31Kushieda Minori-Chii
ARENA 32Evangeline McDowell-Kōzuki Kallen
>_>
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by Game8910 » Sat May 30, 2009 7:06 am

even for a match like this I cba to campaign anymore ;_;
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by chaosprophet » Sat May 30, 2009 11:17 am

ARENA 01Takamachi Nanoha-Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 02Kawazoe Tamaki-Hinamori Amu
ARENA 03Nagi-Saber
ARENA 04Izumi Konata-Suiseiseki
ARENA 05Patchouli Knowledge-Sunohara Mei
ARENA 06Kasuga “Ōsaka” Ayumu-Minase Nayuki
ARENA 07Shana-Fujibayashi Kyō
ARENA 08Kirisame MarisaAbsShameimaru Aya
ARENA 09Suigintou-Furukawa Nagisa
ARENA 10Katsura Hinagiku-Suzumiya Haruhi
ARENA 11Tōsaka Rin-Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 12Louise Vallière-Shinku
ARENA 13Holo-Ichinose Kotomi
ARENA 14Mizunashi AkariAbsAlice Carroll
ARENA 15Kurata Sayuri-Yagami Hayate
ARENA 16Vita-Asahina Mikuru
ARENA 17Ibuki Fūko-Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 18Fate TestarossaAbsNagato Yuki
ARENA 19Aisaka Taiga-Anya Alstreim
ARENA 20Sanzen'in Nagi-Furude Rika
ARENA 21Katagiri Yūhi-Tsukimiya Ayu
ARENA 22Kawashima Ami-Maria
ARENA 23Illyasviel von Einzbern-Kawasumi Mai
ARENA 24Kamio Misuzu-Remilia Scarlet
ARENA 25Sakagami Tomoyo-Hiiragi Kagami
ARENA 26Hakurei Reimu-Sawatari Makoto
ARENA 27Konjiki no Yami-Misaka Mikoto
ARENA 28Furude Hanyū-Index Prohibitorum
ARENA 29Hiiragi Tsukasa-C.C.
ARENA 30Misaka Shiori-Chiba Kirino
ARENA 31Kushieda Minori-Chii
ARENA 32Evangeline McDowell-Kōzuki Kallen
Unnn I changed my moe list to have many more ties than before (which is actually more like of how a think) so... this means an abstain between Fate and Yuki (and yeah me rewatching Haruhi for the second season may have helped it)...
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by Cecaniah » Sat May 30, 2009 2:37 pm

Game8910 wrote:even for a match like this I cba to campaign anymore ;_;
cba?
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by Demi. » Sat May 30, 2009 3:01 pm

Cecaniah wrote:
Game8910 wrote:even for a match like this I cba to campaign anymore ;_;
cba?
Can't be Arsed.

Basically, Geimu is a lazy ass. :lol:

I will rage for sure when I see the results, I just know it.
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Re: Amethyst 9 - 29 May

Post by CrowKenobi » Sat May 30, 2009 5:23 pm

ithekro wrote:Rena wants to put cat ears on Rin and take her home.
Indeed. :lol:

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