ISML Fantasy: Sapphire

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Re: ISML Fantasy: Sapphire

Post by Team Rocket Elite » Sun Jun 21, 2009 2:08 am

Congrats minhtam1638!
A miracle that you believe in when you know it won't happen......... is hope.
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Re: ISML Fantasy: Sapphire

Post by Fate » Sun Jun 21, 2009 2:10 am

Good game everybody. And congrats to everybody.
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Re: ISML Fantasy: Sapphire

Post by Sakurei » Sun Jun 21, 2009 2:17 am

lol I did bad throughout the whole period...maybe in emerald I'll do better...

btw congratz to everyone
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Re: ISML Fantasy: Sapphire

Post by Cecaniah » Sun Jun 21, 2009 2:29 am

PerfectShow
Asahina Mikuru
Evangeline McDowell
Fujibayashi Kyō
Hiiragi Tsukasa
Holo
Ibuki Fūko
Ichinose Kotomi
Index Prohibitorum
Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu
Kinomoto Sakura
Kōzuki Kallen
Louise Vallière
Nagato Yuki
Sanzen'in Nagi
Shameimaru Aya
Shana
Suigintou
Suzumiya Haruhi
Tōsaka Rin
Tsukimiya Ayu
Yagami Hayate
One MoreShow
Alice Carroll
Anya Alstreim
Furukawa Nagisa
Hiiragi Kagami
Hinamori Amu
Izumi Konata
Katagiri Yūhi
Kawasumi Mai
Konjiki no Yami
Kurata Sayuri
Maria
Minase Nayuki
Misaka Shiori
Patchouli Knowledge
Ryōgi Shiki
Sakagami Tomoyo
Sawatari Makoto
Sunohara Mei
Takamachi Nanoha
Vita
One LessShow
C.C.
Chii
Fate Testarossa
Furude Hanyū
Hakurei Reimu
Katsura Hinagiku
Kawashima Ami
Kushieda Minori
Mizunashi Akari
Nagi
Ryūgū Rena
Saber
Shinku
Suiseiseki
Two MoreShow
Kamio Misuzu
Kirisame Marisa
Misaka Mikoto
Two LessShow
Chiba Kirino
Illyasviel von Einzbern
Remilia Scarlet
Three MoreShow
Furude Rika
Three LessShow
Kawazoe Tamaki
Note : Taiga doesn't fit in any because I messed up on her record.

21 Perfect, 20 One More, 14 One Less, 3 Two More, 3 Two Less, 1 Three More, and 1 Three Less.

Eh. Okay.
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Re: ISML Fantasy: Sapphire

Post by imbehindyou » Sun Jun 21, 2009 3:03 am

Congrats minhtam1638!

Ugh, behind simulator?
-goes somewhere far, far away-

Anyway!
yay, 10 matches predicted wrong ;_;

Record-wise:
Perfect (22)Show
Aisaka Taiga
Alice Carroll
Asahina Mikuru
C.C.
Evangeline McDowell
Fate Testarossa
Fujibayashi Kyō
Furukawa Nagisa
Hiiragi Kagami
Hiiragi Tsukasa
Hinamori Amu
Index Prohibitorum
Izumi Konata
Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu
Kinomoto Sakura
Louise Vallière
Maria
Nagato Yuki
Remilia Scarlet
Saber
Sawatari Makoto
Shameimaru Aya
Predicted one more win (15)Show
Chii
Furude Hanyū
Ibuki Fūko
Ichinose Kotomi
Illyasviel von Einzbern
Kawashima Ami
Kawazoe Tamaki
Kushieda Minori
Misaka Shiori
Mizunashi Akari
Nagi
Ryōgi Shiki
Sanzen'in Nagi
Suigintō
Suiseiseki
Predicted one less win (15)Show
Holo
Kamio Misuzu
Kawasumi Mai
Kirisame Marisa
Kōzuki Kallen
Minase Nayuki
Patchouli Knowledge
Sakagami Tomoyo
Shana
Sunohara Mei
Suzumiya Haruhi
Takamachi Nanoha
Tōsaka Rin
Vita
Yagami Hayate
Predicted two more win (6)Show
Chiba Kirino
Hakurei Reimu
Katsura Hinagiku
Ryūgū Rena
Shinku
Tsukimiya Ayu
Predicted two less win (6)Show
Anya Alstreim
Furude Rika
Katagiri Yūhi
Konjiki no Yami
Kurata Sayuri
Misaka Mikoto
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Re: ISML Fantasy: Sapphire

Post by Team Rocket Elite » Sun Jun 21, 2009 3:15 am

Here's the character ranking I used to generate my Sapphire Prediction:
Character Ranking before Sapphire 1Show
Suigintou (RM) - 50.84
Nagato Yuki (SHnY) - 49.63
Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY) - 48.94
Shana (SnS) - 48.77
Fujibayashi Kyō (CL) - 47.45
Hiiragi Kagami (LS) - 47.34
Suiseiseki (RM) - 46.13
Katsura Hinagiku (HnG) - 46.06
Shinku (RM) - 44.84
Sakagami Tomoyo (CL) - 44.22
Saber (FSN) - 43.8
Fate Testarossa (MSLN) - 42.45
Izumi Konata (LS) - 42.4
Aisaka Taiga (TD) - 42.18
Kawashima Ami (TD) - 42.05
Asahina Mikuru (SHnY) - 42.01
Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN) - 41.95
Furukawa Nagisa (CL) - 41.89
Tōsaka Rin (FSN) - 41.6
Konjiki no Yami (TLR) - 40.71
Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS) - 40.64
Holo (OtK) - 40.55
Ichinose Kotomi (CL) - 40.01
Furude Hanyū (HNKN) - 39.2
Kinomoto Sakura (CCS) - 39.07
Maria (HnG) - 38.98
C.C. (CG) - 38.04
Illyasviel von Einzbern (FSN) - 37.89
Kawasumi Mai (KN) - 37.4
Furude Rika (HNKN) - 37.24
Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG) - 37.13
Ryūgū Rena (HNKN) - 37.07
Ibuki Fūko (CL) - 36.94
Kamio Misuzu (AIR) - 36.66
Tsukimiya Ayu (KN) - 36.62
Sunohara Mei (CL) - 36.41
Evangeline McDowell (NG) - 36.31
Yagami Hayate (MSLN) - 34.99
Kushieda Minori (TD) - 34.55
Louise Vallière (ZnT) - 34.17
Misaka Mikoto (TAMI) - 34.09
Kurata Sayuri (KN) - 33.28
Hakurei Reimu (TMK) - 32.36
Chii (CH) - 31.46
Minase Nayuki (KN) - 31.31
Anya Alstreim (CG) - 30.66
Ryōgi Shiki (KnK) - 30.21
Kirisame Marisa (TMK) - 30.2
Index Prohibitorum (TAMI) - 30.07
Mizunashi Akari (ARIA) - 30.03
Katagiri Yūhi (AISS) - 29.83
Vita (MSLN) - 29.77
Misaka Shiori (KN) - 29.62
Hinamori Amu (SC) - 29.25
Alice Carroll (ARIA) - 29.1
Remilia Scarlet (TMK) - 29.01
Sawatari Makoto (KN) - 28.7
Nagi (KNG) - 28.52
Kawazoe Tamaki (BB) - 28.2
Chiba Kirino (BB) - 28.12
Kōzuki Kallen (CG) - 27.48
Shameimaru Aya (TMK) - 26.91
Patchouli Knowledge (TMK) - 25.01
Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD) - 21.61

Biggest mistakes were Kawashima Ami and Evangeline McDowell being way too high while Horo and Rika were way too low. Fate and Rin also did a lot better than expected.
I made 30 exact predictions:
+/- 0Show
Aisaka Taiga (TD)
Alice Carroll (ARIA)
Anya Alstreim (CG)
Chii (CH)
Fate Testarossa (MSLN)
Fujibayashi Kyō (CL)
Furukawa Nagisa (CL)
Hakurei Reimu (TMK)
Hiiragi Tsukasa (LS)
Hinamori Amu (SC)
Holo (OtK)
Izumi Konata (LS)
Kamio Misuzu (AIR)
Kasuga "Ōsaka" Ayumu (AD)
Kinomoto Sakura (CCS)
Kirisame Marisa (TMK)
Konjiki no Yami (TLR)
Kurata Sayuri (KN)
Kushieda Minori (TD)
Nagato Yuki (SHnY)
Nagi (KNG)
Remilia Scarlet (TMK)
Ryūgū Rena (HNKN)
Sakagami Tomoyo (CL)
Sawatari Makoto (KN)
Shameimaru Aya (TMK)
Suiseiseki (RM)
Suzumiya Haruhi (SHnY)
Takamachi Nanoha (MSLN)
Vita (MSLN)

I've got nothing on Saki, but 30/64 isn't too bad. =D
1 off on 26 characters:
+/- 1Show
1 too many:
C.C. (CG)
Chiba Kirino (BB)
Hiiragi Kagami (LS)
Ibuki Fūko (CL)
Ichinose Kotomi (CL)
Kawazoe Tamaki (BB)
Mizunashi Akari (ARIA)
Ryōgi Shiki (KnK)
Saber (FSN)
Suigintou (RM)

1 too few:
Asahina Mikuru (SHnY)
Illyasviel von Einzbern (FSN)
Index Prohibitorum (TAMI)
Katagiri Yūhi (AISS)
Kawasumi Mai (KN)
Kōzuki Kallen (CG)
Louise Vallière (ZnT)
Maria (HnG)
Misaka Mikoto (TAMI)
Misaka Shiori (KN)
Patchouli Knowledge (TMK)
Sanzen'in Nagi (HnG)
Shana (SnS)
Sunohara Mei (CL)
Tōsaka Rin (FSN)
Yagami Hayate (MSLN)

That makes 56/64 within 1 win off the correct result.
2 off on 7 characters
+/- 2Show
2 too many:
Evangeline McDowell (NG)
Furude Hanyū (HNKN)
Katsura Hinagiku (HnG)
Kawashima Ami (TD)
Shinku (RM)
Tsukimiya Ayu (KN)

2 too few:
Minase Nayuki (KN)

I got a bit lucky here. I expected Evangeline and Ami to be much stronger than they actually were. I was lucky they ran into a bunch of opponents that they couldn't beat even when boosted.
I was never exactly 3 off.

4 off on 1 character
+/- 4Show
4 too few:
Furude Rika (HNKN)

She finally bounced back to her former level of strength and killed my expectations
It's my best performance so far. I just need to nail down the Necklace predictions. >_> I kinda wish there wasn't interference in Yuki vs Shana so I could tell just how close I was to being right.
A miracle that you believe in when you know it won't happen......... is hope.
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Re: ISML Fantasy: Sapphire

Post by minhtam1638 » Thu Jul 02, 2009 6:49 pm

This response was a little late, but... I guess if you're looking for the most controversial fantasy win ever, this would probably be it. Remember I made a mistake in not including Akari's record.
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