RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Veon » Sat Aug 08, 2015 5:08 am

Nanamin over Mashiro? Didn't expect that to happen.
Is that mean that we have a change a leader for Sakurasou?
And now Kotori destroy Rikka... Is this possible that Kotori suffers from some type of anti-votest that made her underperforming until she lost?
Illya destroying Saber also unnexpected.

Just a normal day in Stella. :P
matchbaby wrote:Theory: First Place for Stella will lose suddenly no matter the difference in strength.
From Am1 to Ru3, we can see
Am5: Mashiro (lose to Yuri badly from 54%+ to ~45%)
Am6: Rin (lose to Ayase badly from 53%+ to ~46%)
Am7: Asuna (lose to Eru badly from 53%+ to ~45%)
Ru2: Ayase (lose to Holo who can't battle with Ayase to be honest from 58%+)
Ru3: Mashiro (lose to Nanami badly from 55%+ to ~47%)

Both of them is the first place in stella, and they lose suddenly even though they can win matches by 53%-55%VF or even higher.

-----------
If this theory really works"
Ayase will lose to Shana in Ruby 4. (from 55%+ to ~ 47%)
In Ruby 6, Rin will lose to a Tier 3. (from ~54% to ~46%)
In Ruby 7, Asuna will lose to a Tier 1. (from ~52% to ~44%)
Why Ayase will lose to Shana if she already lost to Holo?
And Asuna losing to a Tier 1 I could predict even before Ruby started. She already lost to Kotori and Eru in previous rounds 7. Doubt that she could perform better against Rin, Mashiro and Illya.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by 10ZHAbin » Sat Aug 08, 2015 5:08 am

Voted Won: 16
Voted Lost: 15

Result is alright.
Nova RS PredictionShow
Yukinoshita Yukino 105.000 35 - 0 (-0.000 )
Onodera Kosaki 102.978 34 - 1 (+2.008 )
Sakura Chiyo 98.760 32 - 3 (-0.011 )
Tokisaki Kurumi 96.654 31 - 4 (-0.017 )
Yuigahama Yui 96.587 31 - 4 (-0.027 )
Shiro 96.358 31 - 4 (-2.062 )
Jibril 94.225 30 - 5 (-0.092 )
Kirisaki Chitoge 89.524 28 - 7 (+0.024 )
--------------------------------------------------------------
Sento Isuzu 87.274 27 - 8 (+0.008 )
Yoshino 85.308 26 - 9 (+0.084 )
Kurousagi 82.853 25 - 10 (-0.009 )
Tsutsukakushi Tsukiko 80.610 24 - 11 (+0.005 )
Asada Shino 78.454 23 - 12 (+0.129 )
Stephanie Dola 75.905 22 - 13 (-0.083 )
Tachibana Marika 71.780 20 - 15 (-0.226 )
Yatogami Tōka 69.633 19 - 16 (-0.015 )
============================================
Nishikino Maki 69.302 19 - 16 (+2.063 )
Aihara Enju 67.028 18 - 17 (-2.394 )
Yaya 64.491 17 - 18 (+2.185 )
Latifa Fleuranza 60.179 15 - 20 (-2.236 )
Shokuhō Misaki 58.858 14 - 21 (+2.494 )
Shiba Miyuki 56.402 13 - 22 (+0.170 )
Konno Yūki 54.752 12 - 23 (-4.029 )
Kuriyama Mirai 54.151 12 - 23 (+2.348 )
Azuki Azusa 53.615 12 - 23 (+0.262 )
Tina Sprout 49.053 10 - 25 (+6.582 )
Sonoda Umi 48.927 10 - 25 (-0.102 )
Miyazono Kaori 45.088 8 - 27 (-4.597 )
Minami Kotori 44.939 8 - 27 (-2.170 )
Akame 40.479 6 - 29 (+0.185 )
Tobiichi Origami 40.093 6 - 29 (-2.195 )
Yazawa Nico 38.550 5 - 30 (+2.108 )
Shichimiya Satone 33.601 3 - 32 (+0.076 )
Ayase Eli 33.208 3 - 32 (+0.268 )
Himeragi Yukina 29.125 1 - 34 (+0.122 )
Terminus Est 25.753 0 - 35 (+0.199 )
Stella RS PredictionShow
Shiina Mashiro 100.594 33 - 2 (-2.178 )
Tōsaka Rin 98.774 32 - 3 (+0.037 )
Aragaki Ayase 98.724 32 - 3 (+2.051 )
Illyasviel von Einzbern 98.637 32 - 3 (-0.000 )
Chitanda Eru 96.415 31 - 4 (-0.027 )
Yūki Asuna 92.481 29 - 6 (-1.988 )
Itsuka Kotori 90.149 28 - 7 (+0.045 )
Aoyama Nanami 90.094 28 - 7 (+2.223 )
Nakamura Yuri 88.055 27 - 8 (-0.548 )
----------------------------------------------------------------
Saber 87.501 27 - 8 (-0.554 )
Kuroyukihime 85.65 26 - 9 (-0.174 )
Yui-nyan 79.202 23 - 12 (-0.123 )
Aisaka Taiga 78.963 23 - 12 (-0.302 )
Eucliwood Hellscythe 77.495 22 - 13 (-0.076 )
Nakano Azusa 77.21 22 - 13 (-0.052 )
Makise Kurisu 73.12 20 - 15 (+0.069 )
Takanashi Rikka 73.077 20 - 15 (-0.448 )
=============================================
Nibutani Shinka 68.337 18 - 17 (+0.095 )
Yuzuriha Inori 67.999 18 - 17 (-0.118 )
Senjōgahara Hitagi 61.859 15 - 20 (+0.171 )
Oshino Shinobu 61.282 15 - 20 (-0.079 )
Shana 60.42 15 - 20 (+3.917 )
Konjiki no Yami 59.073 14 - 21 (-2.089 )
Suzumiya Haruhi 54.896 12 - 23 (-2.133 )
Momo Belia Deviluke 53.067 11 - 24 (+0.210 )
Yūki Mikan 50.061 10 - 25 (+0.151 )
Hirasawa Yui 45.307 8 - 27 (-0.036 )
Holo 44.896 8 - 27 (-0.012 )
Hasegawa Kobato 41.947 7 - 28 (-0.121 )
Kashiwazaki Sena 40.658 6 - 29 (+0.035 )
C.C. 39.373 6 - 29 (+0.010 )
Sengoku Nadeko 34.851 4 - 31 (+2.012 )
Nyarlathotep 32.538 3 - 32 (+2.078 )
Charlotte Dunois 29.209 2 - 33 (-0.489 )
Kōsaka Kirino 29.093 2 - 33 (+2.551 )
Nagato Yuki 28.28 1 - 34 (-6.863 )
Male RS PredictionShow
Hikigaya Hachiman 105 35 - 0 (-0.000 )
Sora 102.893 34 - 1 (-0.014 )
Accelerator 100.666 33 - 2 (-0.000 )
Otonashi Yuzuru 98.37 32 - 3 (+0.005 )
Archer 94.161 30 - 5 (+0.036 )
Sakamaki Izayoi 94.033 30 - 5 (-0.000 )
Kamijō Tōma 91.984 29 - 6 (+0.012 )
Katsuragi Keima 89.761 28 - 7 (+4.033 )
Sakata Gintoki 89.553 28 - 7 (+0.009 )
Araragi Koyomi 85.413 26 - 9 (-1.997 )
Kanie Seiya 81.5 24 - 11 (-2.010 )
Edward Elric 81.217 24 - 11 (+0.016 )
Emiya Kiritsugu 76.848 22 - 13 (-1.956 )
Kyon 74.944 21 - 14 (+0.038 )
Takasu Ryūji 74.626 21 - 14 (+0.011 )
Okazaki Tomoya 70.996 19 - 16 (+0.116 )
==============================================
Gilgamesh 70.77 19 - 16 (+0.063 )
Shiba Tatsuya 68.317 18 - 17 (+0.050 )
Okabe Rintarō 66.498 17 - 18 (+0.174 )
Satomi Rentarō 63.635 16 - 19 (-0.070 )
Kanda Sorata 61.803 15 - 20 (-0.091 )
Emiya Shirō 59.746 14 - 21 (+2.207 )
Maō Sadao 57.688 13 - 22 (-1.891 )
Nozaki Umetarō 56.861 13 - 22 (-0.057 )
Togashi Yūta 55.313 12 - 23 (-0.078 )
Heiwajima Shizuo 48.482 9 - 26 (+0.015 )
Yato 48.39 9 - 26 (+0.205 )
Aikawa Ayumu 48.015 9 - 26 (-0.061 )
Ichijō Raku 45.834 8 - 27 (+2.147 )
Mikoshiba Mikoto 41.775 6 - 29 (+2.221 )
Itsuka Shidō 39.68 5 - 30 (+2.460 )
Levi 37.526 4 - 31 (-4.142 )
Orihara Izaya 34.946 3 - 32 (+0.186 )
Akasaka Ryūnosuke 32.524 2 - 33 (-0.174 )
L Lawliet 29.092 1 - 34 (+0.125 )
Kaneki Ken 22.617 0 - 35 (-0.201 )
Votes increased but chaotic results continued, none were able to create upset in Nova and Male but a few were enough to drawn attentions in Stella. Yuki gets blown over by Kirino, who was expected the came last in RS, not just by a little but by a lot. 2 years ago Mashiro beat Nanami by more than 65%, now Nanami upset the intra-series by about 55%. Although this might actually helped Sakurasou in general since Nanami will be getting a higher seeding in PS1 by this extra win while Mashiro will still remain on the top somewhere.
After the upset from a low tier last round, Kotori and Ayase bounced back with a massive win.
They survived the first 2 round without any significant underperformance, but the two AB! girls sunk hard this round, especially Yuri.
Kaori stopped her overperformance and give Round 3 a massive under-performance by losing big time to Yaya.
The two spotlight from last round, Holo and C.C., returned back to their normal self and lose as expected.
Asuna, Kosaki and Yukino are the only top tiers that over-performed on their opponents for this round. Shino from the same series as Asuna followed with a big win on Enju, which indirectly benefit Maki and Tooka in term of PS1 entrance.
The most stable match of the round goes to Konno Yuuki vs Yatogami Tooka.
I wonder how long will the top tiers continue to under-perform, if it doesn't stop then there will be a round with more than just 2 massive upsets.
Ruby is keep breaking my highest error% for the year.
Top 8 Arena VFShow
Yūki Asuna vs Aisaka Taiga 6363
Nakamura Yuri vs Aragaki Ayase 6236
Takanashi Rikka vs Itsuka Kotori 6136
Yukinoshita Yukino vs Tachibana Marika 6099
Shiina Mashiro vs Aoyama Nanami 6094
Onodera Kosaki vs Minami Kotori 6020
Yaya vs Miyazono Kaori 5984
Illyasviel von Einzbern vs Saber 5984
Two intra-series managed to score high VF even though intra-series matches tend to have lower voters. Guess what? An exhibition has more attention than the top-voted male arena.
Last edited by 10ZHAbin on Sat Aug 08, 2015 5:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by matchbaby » Sat Aug 08, 2015 5:11 am

Veon wrote:Nanamin over Mashiro? Didn't expect that to happen.
Is that mean that we have a change a leader for Sakurasou?
And now Kotori destroy Rikka... Is this possible that Kotori suffers from some type of anti-votest that made her underperforming until she lost?
Illya destroying Saber also unnexpected.

Just a normal day in Stella. :P
matchbaby wrote:Theory: First Place for Stella will lose suddenly no matter the difference in strength.
From Am1 to Ru3, we can see
Am5: Mashiro (lose to Yuri badly from 54%+ to ~45%)
Am6: Rin (lose to Ayase badly from 53%+ to ~46%)
Am7: Asuna (lose to Eru badly from 53%+ to ~45%)
Ru2: Ayase (lose to Holo who can't battle with Ayase to be honest from 58%+)
Ru3: Mashiro (lose to Nanami badly from 55%+ to ~47%)

Both of them is the first place in stella, and they lose suddenly even though they can win matches by 53%-55%VF or even higher.

-----------
If this theory really works"
Ayase will lose to Shana in Ruby 4. (from 55%+ to ~ 47%)
In Ruby 6, Rin will lose to a Tier 3. (from ~54% to ~46%)
In Ruby 7, Asuna will lose to a Tier 1. (from ~52% to ~44%)
Why Ayase will lose to Shana if she already lost to Holo?
And Asuna losing to a Tier 1 I could predict even before Ruby started. She already lost to Kotori and Eru in previous rounds 7. Doubt that she could perform better against Rin, Mashiro and Illya.
http://www.internationalsaimoe.com/statistics/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
cuz Ayase is now RS top
If Ayase wins, I will throw the theory to rubbish bin
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by smartboyhw » Sat Aug 08, 2015 5:13 am

Nova seems even more chaotic than Stella this round when it comes to VD...
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Fuijiwara » Sat Aug 08, 2015 5:47 am

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Beautiful comeback victory for Yui
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by houreki » Sat Aug 08, 2015 5:54 am

Nagato losing against Kirino -_-

I'd like to ask if the staff can stop using the Nagato Yuki chan avatar, but I don't know if that's the main reason of Nagato doing so badly this year, or if this is her current strenght.

On the bright side, I'm happy for Illya, Sena and Seiya.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Elvinsky » Sat Aug 08, 2015 6:22 am

*sees result of Arena 18*

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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Reverend » Sat Aug 08, 2015 9:05 am

houreki wrote:Nagato losing against Kirino -_-

I'd like to ask if the staff can stop using the Nagato Yuki chan avatar, but I don't know if that's the main reason of Nagato doing so badly this year, or if this is her current strenght.
I think it's both, poi.

Nova: Boring. Yaya over Kaori is shit (to me,) poi. Well, one good thing is Chiyo continues her solid performance.
Stella:
- Yui over Holo? Not normal, poi, but there is a motive for this to happen.
- Nanamin over Mashiro? Eeh I don't know how to comment, poi. o.o
- Ayase is back, poi.

Seasonal: SENPAI!?
shit.

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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Just » Sat Aug 08, 2015 11:11 am

Seems like another day of very chaotic results 0 0

What interests me is the call that there are MVers. I have no doubt that there are a few who slip past the VC process, but to what significance is the question.

For those who suggest that they are here again, is there any theory for whom's interests are the MVers voting for? Is there any evidence that supports this theory? I believe maglor would be very interested in this discussion, because if particular parties can be pinpointed, it might aid with the VC process and picking out suspicious votes.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Kiwigiwi » Sat Aug 08, 2015 11:28 am

The number of shit results in Stella are abundant.
Illya winning over Saber? Absolute crap
Kirino winning over Nagato? What has the world come to
Kotori over Rikka? Upsets for character who won't even get the chance to win a necklace? Get out

The only good result is Nanami over Mashiro, Nico over Tobiichi and Shizuo winning.

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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Magnux7 » Sat Aug 08, 2015 11:33 am

Nanami over Mashiro?! - This is disgusting...

Illyasviel for ruby then! ^^

Nice going Accelerator, keep this up and you might snatch the pendant from Sora.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by WarmMist » Sat Aug 08, 2015 12:05 pm

I don't know anything anymore... ._.

I like surprises, but when most of them go against characters I support it's not that fun... Oh well, at least Sena won her second match this year.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Just » Sat Aug 08, 2015 12:13 pm

Oh dear oh dear oh dear... The results are so all over the place I am lost for words.

After claiming that the top tier girls are having far from satisfactory performances, a few of them rebounded - Yukino and Kosaki, the two necklace bearers. On the other hand, Shiro and Jibril failed to get more than 400 VD. They were performing very well early in the season, are they losing momentum?

Illya and Rin both rebounded too, sound wins over their tier 2 opponents. OreImo had a very nice day, scoring surprise wins and even more both scored over 60%. Hitagi is continuing her extremely strong streak, doubling over Charlotte. And after losing surprisingly to C.C., Kotori seems back to her old self, getting 63% over Rikka. It is Mashiro who suffers an unexpected loss this time, falling to series-mate Nanami by 600.

A number of very close matches in Male. Seiya was expected to be quite safe over Rintaro, but the final margin was only 9 votes. Ryuji also only beat Tatsuya by single digits. Similar to his NGNL mates in Nova, Sora is looking vulnerable, managing only 700 over Shido. Both Archer and Accelerator got about 1k VD, maybe it will be the third time that Sora loses the Pendant despite being an early favourite?

Spring Seasonals continue, and two matches go as expected. Iroha's win over Kazuki is more convincing than Haru from yesterday's match, but not dominant. She might make the Finals, but has not shown championship form yet. Her opponent will be Shinoa, who safely beat Aiz this round, but has not shown the strength to probably challenge for a spot in Semifinals.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Homura » Sat Aug 08, 2015 3:09 pm

WarmMist wrote:
I like surprises, but when most of them go against characters I support it's not that fun...
I am okay with today's results, but I like this. While there are some people who don't even know themselves.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by tehyc » Sat Aug 08, 2015 3:27 pm

Okay, I forgot to do this...
Notable MatchShow
Hasegawa Kobato (Boku wa Tomodachi ga Sukunai) 2463
Kashiwazaki Sena (Boku wa Tomodachi ga Sukunai) 2554

Yūki Mikan (To LOVE-Ru) 2528
Eucliwood Hellscythe (Kore wa Zombie Desu ka?) 2693

Holo (Spice and Wolf) 2713
Hirasawa Yui (K-ON!) 2771

Kanie Seiya (Amagi Brilliant Park) 2513
Okabe Rintarō (Steins;Gate) 2504

Takasu Ryūji (Toradora!) 2543
Shiba Tatsuya (Mahōka Kōkō no Rettōsei) 2536

Emiya Shirō (Fate Series) 2459
Sakata Gintoki (Gintama) 2625
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by minhtam1638 » Sat Aug 08, 2015 3:55 pm

That's it. I'm officially slapping an asterisk on ISML 2015 RS. No clear presence of leadership in the Stella division, which means Yukino from the Nova division has to run the table for the rest of the year AND defeat both Kanade and Mikoto in the ToC to validate her stellar (pun intended) numbers. Otherwise, the shadows of both Mikoto and Kanade will continue to loom over ISML for years to come.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Reverend » Sat Aug 08, 2015 7:21 pm

minhtam1638 wrote:The shadows of both Mikoto and Kanade will continue to loom over ISML for years to come.
This is what probably will happen, no matter who wins this year. ;)
Unless Kholdy rigs every Isla match next year.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Desufire » Sat Aug 08, 2015 9:22 pm

Homura wrote:Some match results are weird. This year's ISML is just not in a good status.
Disagree completely.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Chocola » Sun Aug 09, 2015 1:23 am

Desufire wrote:
Homura wrote:Some match results are weird. This year's ISML is just not in a good status.
Disagree completely.
I too like unexpected results. Continue being nuts, ISML voters.
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Re: RESULTS: 2015 Ruby 3

Post by Magnux7 » Sun Aug 09, 2015 1:52 am

Isla wrote:
Desufire wrote:
Homura wrote:Some match results are weird. This year's ISML is just not in a good status.
Disagree completely.
I too like unexpected results. Continue being nuts, ISML voters.
I bet you'll change your mind when Isla loses tommorow XP *shot*
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