Modified Pot value experiment

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maglor
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Modified Pot value experiment

Post by maglor » Thu Feb 08, 2018 9:25 pm

This thread is to explain, discuss, and perhaps gather new input and analysis on the open project discussed in the following post : http://www.internationalsaimoe.com/foru ... 61#p413961" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Let's start with 2017 with character that was most talked about for the entire year, REM ( Megumi, the tiara winner, received lion-size of attention during elimination period, which, surprisingly, is typical of most Tiara winners. It actually is uncommon for #1 or 2 seed to win the elimination period )

Going into the 1st match of 2017, REM would have 100 points, just like everyone else. Her opponent Saten Ruiko also would have 100 points in her pot.

Now, since we are dealing with 3 separate percentages for the "betting amount" it may be easier to consider that every one has actually 3 pots, one titled N=0.1, another titled N=0.2, and the last titled N=0.5. All 3 pots have 100 points for both characters.

For the match Rem and Ruiko both pulls out appropriate percentage of what's inside the pot as their bets.

from N=0.1 pot, they pull out 10 on to the betting table, leaving 90 behind. N=0.1 table would have total of 10+10 = 20 points
from N=0.2 pot, they pull out 20 on to the betting table, leaving 80 behind. N=0.2 table would have total of 20+20 = 40 points
from N=0.5 pot, they pull out 50 on to the betting table, leaving 50 behind. N=0.5 table would have total of 50+50 = 100 points

The result of Aquamarine 1 match was 709 votes for Saten Ruiko and 1173 votes for Rem . Since Rem's VF% is 62.327%, she would receive 62.327% of the values on the table, while Ruiko will take the remaining 37.673%

The amount they take back is as follows

Rem take N=0.1 : 12.46546227
Rem take N=0.2 : 24.93092455
Rem take N=0.5 : 62.32731137
Ruiko take N=0.1 : 7.534537726
Ruiko take N=0.2 : 15.06907545
Ruiko take N=0.5 : 37.67268863

Note that while they contributed the same amount into the pot, they take back different amount. After they split the pot, Rem and Ruiko would both have new values for each of their three pots

Rem's new pot N=0.1 : 102.4654623
Rem's new pot N=0.2 : 104.9309245
Rem's new pot N=0.3 : 112.3273114
Ruiko's new pot N=0.1 : 97.53453773
Ruiko's new pot N=0.2 : 95.06907545
Ruiko's new pot N=0.3 : 87.67268863


Thus ended the first round.

Now, in the 2nd round Rem meets Sento Isuzu. Isuzu lost to Kōsaka Reina with VF of 49.22%. Her pot entering into Round 1 is as follows

Sento Isuzu New Pot N=0.1 : 99.84343091
Sento Isuzu New Pot N=0.2 : 99.68686181
Sento Isuzu New Pot N=0.5 : 99.21715453


We start the process again, but now, note that they contribute different amount into each pot

Into N=0.1 pot, Rem contributes 10.247, Isuzu contributes 9.984. The total for the pot is 20.23088932
Into N= 0.2 pot Rem contributes 20.986. Isuzu contributes 19.937. The total for the pot is 40.92355727
Into N=0.5 pot Rem contributes 56.164. Isuzu contributes 49.609. The total for the pot is 105.7722329

The match was 1601 to 874 in favor of Rem. Thus Rem takes 64.69% of the pot

The amount they take back is as follows

Rem take N=0.1 : 13.08672881
Rem take N=0.2 : 26.47216775
Rem take N=0.5 : 68.42074543
Isuzu take N=0.1 : 7.144160511
Isuzu take N=0.2 : 14.45138952
Isuzu take N=0.5 : 37.35148751

Their new pot values are now as follows

Rem's new pot N=0.1 : 105.3056449
Rem's new pot N=0.2 : 110.4169074
Rem's new pot N=0.3 : 124.5844011
Sento Isuzu New Pot N=0.1 : 97.00324833
Sento Isuzu New Pot N=0.2 : 94.20087897
Sento Isuzu New Pot N=0.5 : 86.96006478


Thus ends Round 2

Now in Round 3, Rem meets Kasugano Sora. Kasugano Sora enters into the match with pot values as follows

Kasugano Sora new pot n=0.1 : 101.627352
Kasugano Sora new pot n=0.2 : 103.2188397
Kasugano Sora new pot n=0.5 : 107.7781175


We do the process again


Into N=0.1 pot, Rem contributes 10.531, Isuzu contributes10.163. The total for the pot is 20.69329968
Into N= 0.2 pot Rem contributes 22.083. Isuzu contributes 20.644. The total for the pot is 42.72714943
Into N=0.5 pot Rem contributes 62.292. Isuzu contributes 53.889. The total for the pot is 116.1812593

The match was 1031 to 577 in favor of Rem. Thus Rem takes 64.12% of the pot



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Re: Modified Pot value experiment

Post by IGNITE » Sat Feb 10, 2018 4:20 am

maglor wrote:It actually is uncommon for #1 or 2 seed to win the elimination period.
I went and had a look after reading this, the result is 5/10 tiara winners having #1 or #2 seed for elimination period, it's not really uncommon.
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2008 Fate Testarossa RS 1st
2009 Katsura Hinagiku RS 11th
2010 Akiyama Mio RS 3rd
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2012 Tachibana Kanade Nova PS1 1st
2013 Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko) Stella PS1 2nd
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Re: Modified Pot value experiment

Post by maglor » Sat Feb 10, 2018 4:48 pm

IGNITE wrote:
maglor wrote:It actually is uncommon for #1 or 2 seed to win the elimination period.
I went and had a look after reading this, the result is 5/10 tiara winners having #1 or #2 seed for elimination period, it's not really uncommon.
SpoilerShow
2008 Fate Testarossa RS 1st
2009 Katsura Hinagiku RS 11th
2010 Akiyama Mio RS 3rd
2011 Misaka Mikoto RS 2nd
2012 Tachibana Kanade Nova PS1 1st
2013 Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko) Stella PS1 2nd
2014 Itsuka Kotori Nova PS1 6th
2015 Chitanda Eru Stella PS1 3rd
2016 Shana Female CVP 2nd
2017 Katō Megumi Female CVP 7th
Nice analysis. So, chance of #1 or 2 winning is a coin toss
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Re: Modified Pot value experiment

Post by Homura » Sat Feb 10, 2018 6:09 pm

The time for #4 or #5 seed winning the Tiara lies ahead, possibly in the near future~
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Re: Modified Pot value experiment

Post by ~Baumkuchen-kun~ » Thu Feb 22, 2018 4:50 am

Gaaaah, this feels so weird to look at after all these years on this forum
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Re: Modified Pot value experiment

Post by XIQQ » Fri Jun 29, 2018 6:09 pm

Topaz 1, sorted by FEV% (sorry for the poor formatting)
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Name FEV% STDV%
Kanna Kamui 66.154% ±5.134%
Shiro 64.937% ±4.81%
Nishimiya Shōko 64.649% ±4.822%
Rem 64.361% ±4.395%
Tōru 63.835% ±4.582%
Yūki Asuna 63.28% ±4.251%
Shiina Mashiro 62.34% ±4.159%
Takanashi Rikka 60.446% ±3.477%
Furukawa Nagisa 53.082% ±1.852%
Isla 52.397% ±1.067%
Saten Ruiko 52.316% ±1.692%
Nibutani Shinka 51.928% ±0.566%
Yuzuriha Inori 51.822% ±1.382%
Shiina Mayuri 51.814% ±0.743%
Kōsaka Reina 51.621% ±2.02%
Miyamizu Mitsuha 51.614% ±0.582%
Kasugano Sora 51.441% ±1.637%
Tobiichi Origami 51.317% ±0.368%
Kuroyukihime 51.298% ±0.463%
Aqua 51.039% ±1.675%
Tomori Nao 50.921% ±1.737%
Aragaki Ayase 50.797% ±0.663%
Kaname Madoka 50.13% ±1.831%
Daidōji Tomoyo 50.039% ±1.022%
Kani Nayuta 49.961% ±1.022%
Ōmae Kumiko 49.87% ±1.831%
Asada Shino 49.203% ±0.663%
Doma Umaru 49.079% ±1.737%
Yamada Elf 48.961% ±1.675%
Kirigaya Suguha (Leafa) 48.702% ±0.463%
Kuriyama Mirai 48.683% ±0.368%
Diamond 48.559% ±1.637%
Hirasawa Yui 48.386% ±0.582%
Yuigahama Yui 48.379% ±2.02%
Tenma Gabriel White 48.186% ±0.743%
Nagato Yuki 48.178% ±1.382%
Minami Kotori 48.072% ±0.566%
C.C. 47.684% ±1.692%
Sawamura Spencer Eriri 47.603% ±1.067%
Nero Claudius 46.918% ±1.852%
Ayano Keiko (Silica) 39.554% ±3.477%
Shirakawa Miyako 37.66% ±4.159%
Nishikino Maki 36.72% ±4.251%
Oshino Shinobu 36.165% ±4.582%
Kirishima Tōka 35.639% ±4.395%
Kayano Kaede 35.351% ±4.822%
Onodera Kosaki 35.063% ±4.81%
Kanzaki H. Aria 33.846% ±5.134%
SpoilerShow
Name FEV% STDV%
Hikigaya Hachiman 66.028% ±4.939%
Levi 64.407% ±4.736%
Shiota Nagisa 61.856% ±3.816%
Tachibana Taki 61.303% ±4.206%
Ayanokōji Kiyotaka 60.791% ±3.491%
Okabe Rintarō 60.672% ±3.535%
Emiya Shirō 60.578% ±3.341%
Archer 58.605% ±2.835%
Kanie Seiya 52.077% ±0.877%
Sakamaki Izayoi 52.03% ±1.381%
Uchiha Sasuke 51.956% ±1.38%
Yato 51.824% ±1.448%
Yukihira Sōma 51.535% ±1.108%
Willem Kmetsch 51.461% ±1.2%
Akasaka Ryūnosuke 51.253% ±1.239%
Natsume Takashi 51.082% ±1.814%
Okazaki Tomoya 51.049% ±2.042%
Li Syaoran 50.884% ±0.881%
Isana Yashiro 50.779% ±0.779%
Satō Kazuma 50.6% ±1.301%
Sakamoto 50.564% ±1.086%
Kanzaki Hideri 50.387% ±1.672%
Dazai Osamu 50.288% ±1.132%
Satoshi 50.169% ±1.837%
Suō Mikoto 49.831% ±1.837%
Kōsaka Kyōsuke 49.712% ±1.132%
Amamiya Ren 49.613% ±1.672%
Arima Kōsei 49.436% ±1.086%
Kaneki Ken 49.4% ±1.301%
Amakusa Shirō Tokisada 49.221% ±0.779%
Doma Taihei 49.116% ±0.881%
Natsuki Subaru 48.951% ±2.042%
Midoriya Izuku 48.918% ±1.814%
Tatsumi 48.747% ±1.239%
Itsuka Shidō 48.539% ±1.2%
Kanda Sorata 48.465% ±1.108%
Totsuka Saika 48.176% ±1.448%
Orihara Izaya 48.044% ±1.38%
Son Goku 47.97% ±1.381%
Armin Arlert 47.923% ±0.877%
Leonardo Watch 41.395% ±2.835%
Kasugano Haruka 39.422% ±3.341%
Killua Zoldyck 39.328% ±3.535%
Akatsuki Kojō 39.209% ±3.491%
Sebas Tian 38.697% ±4.206%
Bakugō Katsuki 38.144% ±3.816%
Nanase Haruka 35.593% ±4.736%
Tomoe 33.972% ±4.939%
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Re: Modified Pot value experiment

Post by Ennadai » Tue Feb 26, 2019 1:00 pm

M35103510
Topaz 1481463731
Topaz 248310000
Topaz 3481671321
Topaz 4501240110
Topaz 5481440110
Topaz 6481340200
Topaz 748920100
Topaz 8481781321
Topaz 9481041200
Topaz 10481350710
Amethyst 1321371330
Amethyst 2481750530
Amethyst 3481731100
Amethyst 4481651430
Amethyst 5482491740
Amethyst 64821101961
Amethyst 748221441283
Amethyst 84822721572
Sapphire 112210110
Sapphire 2481151641
Sapphire 34823142840
Sapphire 4481941600
Sapphire 55023112972
Sapphire 6481560530
Sapphire 74813711060
Emerald 148211231092
Emerald 248710210
Emerald 34816110640
Emerald 4481340730
Emerald 548211041252
Ruby 136610200
Ruby 236510300
Ruby 342320320
Ruby 44212401040
Ruby 542850430
Ruby 68210210
Diamond 124610210
Diamond 224610410
Diamond 324531100
Diamond 424200200
Diamond 524850220
Diamond 612331110
Elimination 18200100
Elimination 29100000
Elimination 312320110
Elimination 414410210
Elimination 520410200
Elimination 622720520
Elimination 722110000
Elimination 822400200
LegendShow
Mnumber of matches that both of the contestants have participated in more than five matches
3ABS( Z-score ) ≥ 3ABS( VF% - FEV% ) ≥ 3%
5ABS( Z-score ) ≥ 5ABS( VF% - FEV% ) ≥ 5%
10ABS( Z-score ) ≥ 10ABS( VF% - FEV% ) ≥ 10%
3ABS( Z-score ) ≥ 3ABS( VF% - FEV% ) ≥ 3%
( VF% > 50% ∧ FEV% < 50% ∨ VF% < 50% ∧ FEV% > 50% )
5ABS( Z-score ) ≥ 5ABS( VF% - FEV% ) ≥ 5%
( VF% > 50% ∧ FEV% < 50% ∨ VF% < 50% ∧ FEV% > 50% )
10ABS( Z-score ) ≥ 10ABS( VF% - FEV% ) ≥ 10%
( VF% > 50% ∧ FEV% < 50% ∨ VF% < 50% ∧ FEV% > 50% )
ABS( Z-score ) ≥ 10 ∧ ABS( VF% - FEV% ) ≥ 10%Show
ISML 2018ContestantFEV%VF%OpponentSTDV%Z-score
Topaz 1Tobiichi Origami51.32%40.98%Kuriyama Mirai0.39%-26.46
Topaz 1Nibutani Shinka50.11%63.20%Minami Kotori0.68%19.22
Topaz 1Kanie Seiya51.97%62.10%Armin Arlert0.91%11.11
Topaz 3Aragaki Ayase52.95%42.86%Ōmae Kumiko0.89%-11.28
Topaz 8Kitashirakawa Tamako53.62%37.95%Sakura Chiyo0.45%-34.88
Topaz 9Daidōji Tomoyo50.35%62.38%Oshino Shinobu0.90%13.41
Amethyst 1Edward Elric52.47%66.38%Aki Tomoya0.68%20.58
Amethyst 3Takanashi Rikka58.54%74.83%Ōmae Kumiko1.61%10.11
Amethyst 4Li Syaoran52.74%64.32%Isana Yashiro0.93%12.47
Amethyst 5Makise Kurisu57.59%69.33%Saten Ruiko0.86%13.57
Amethyst 6Schwi Dola58.66%37.97%Shirai Kuroko1.68%-12.35
Amethyst 7Emilia57.99%42.45%Aoyama Nanami1.00%-15.56
Amethyst 7Tōru53.41%24.79%Aisaka Taiga1.31%-21.81
Amethyst 7Todoroki Shōto53.04%66.08%Orihara Izaya0.71%18.25
Amethyst 7Kanda Sorata50.95%35.00%Midoriya Izuku1.28%-12.51
Amethyst 8Kōsaka Reina50.48%35.73%Doma Umaru0.98%-15.02
Amethyst 8Kanbara Akihito55.42%44.47%Dazai Osamu0.96%-11.36
Sapphire 2Yatogami Tōka50.24%38.05%Nakano Azusa0.78%-15.56
Sapphire 3Kinomoto Sakura52.30%66.78%Sawamura Spencer Eriri0.94%15.33
Sapphire 3Togashi Yūta54.23%67.74%Kanda Sorata1.11%12.21
Sapphire 4Takanashi Rikka53.39%68.73%Tobiichi Origami1.49%10.29
Sapphire 5Willem Kmetsch55.46%37.56%Totsuka Saika1.66%-10.78
Sapphire 5Natsume Takashi57.54%40.40%Monkey D. Luffy1.53%-11.19
Sapphire 7Tokisaki Kurumi51.83%65.82%Illyasviel von Einzbern0.90%15.54
Emerald 1Makise Kurisu51.36%34.64%Miyazono Kaori1.29%-12.94
Emerald 1Tōru51.35%36.10%Isla1.18%-12.93
Emerald 1Willem Kmetsch51.03%65.72%Doma Taihei0.47%30.97
Emerald 5Miyazono Kaori50.45%35.16%Furukawa Nagisa0.83%-18.36
Emerald 5Ishida Shōya53.63%35.42%Lancer1.05%-17.37
Emerald 5Riku Dola52.58%66.93%Emiya Shirō0.73%19.67
Emerald 5Okabe Rintarō50.88%65.40%Ayanokōji Kiyotaka0.97%14.98
Diamond 3Levi56.96%76.80%Okazaki Tomoya0.89%22.20
Diamond 6Schwi Dola55.44%69.14%Daidōji Tomoyo1.25%10.92
ABS( VF% - FEV% ) ≥ 20%Show
ISML 2018ContestantFEV%VF%OpponentSTDV%Z-score
Amethyst 6Nishimiya Shōko54.99%75.50%Furukawa Nagisa3.25%6.32
Amethyst 6Schwi Dola58.66%37.97%Shirai Kuroko1.68%-12.35
Amethyst 6Nagato Yuki59.35%36.48%Shiina Mayuri3.17%-7.22
Amethyst 7Tōru53.41%24.79%Aisaka Taiga1.31%-21.81
Amethyst 7Nishimiya Shōko60.00%38.93%Izumi Sagiri3.77%-5.59
Amethyst 8Shiina Mashiro57.77%33.36%Haibara Ai3.14%-7.78
Amethyst 8Takanashi Rikka54.64%32.09%Saber2.37%-9.51
Amethyst 8Illyasviel von Einzbern50.15%25.42%Chtholly Nota Seniorious2.87%-8.60
Sapphire 3Yūki Asuna61.51%84.55%Jibril3.16%7.30
Sapphire 5Rem56.10%77.38%Izumi Sagiri3.14%6.78
Sapphire 7Yuzuriha Inori52.07%29.23%Kōsaka Reina2.70%-8.46
Elimination 4Kamijō Tōma51.13%29.53%Archer2.18%-9.92
Elimination 6Yūki Asuna55.48%32.75%Shiina Mashiro3.76%-6.04
 
 
NP10P25P50P75P90AVGW%
0.1 , 0.2 , 0.30.61%1.56%3.65%6.80%11.30%4.89%77.08%
0.1 , 0.2 , 0.40.59%1.57%3.64%6.75%11.11%4.84%76.92%
0.1 , 0.2 , 0.50.54%1.54%3.62%6.76%11.01%4.81%77.14%
0.1 , 0.2 , 0.60.57%1.52%3.64%6.75%10.94%4.81%77.57%
0.1 , 0.2 , 0.70.60%1.49%3.69%6.69%11.02%4.82%77.08%
0.1 , 0.2 , 0.80.58%1.52%3.64%6.65%11.03%4.83%76.98%
0.1 , 0.2 , 0.90.63%1.54%3.71%6.71%11.08%4.86%76.87%
0.1 , 0.2 , 1.00.64%1.59%3.73%6.81%11.26%4.91%76.44%
0.1 , 0.3 , 0.40.59%1.52%3.55%6.72%11.06%4.79%77.19%
0.1 , 0.3 , 0.50.58%1.50%3.55%6.58%10.99%4.77%77.25%
0.1 , 0.3 , 0.60.58%1.50%3.56%6.59%11.04%4.78%77.35%
0.1 , 0.3 , 0.70.56%1.50%3.59%6.58%11.05%4.79%77.14%
0.1 , 0.3 , 0.80.56%1.50%3.57%6.59%11.17%4.81%77.03%
0.1 , 0.3 , 0.90.57%1.55%3.65%6.70%11.21%4.84%76.92%
0.1 , 0.3 , 1.00.60%1.59%3.71%6.76%11.14%4.88%76.39%
0.1 , 0.4 , 0.50.55%1.48%3.54%6.58%10.94%4.76%77.25%
0.1 , 0.4 , 0.60.55%1.49%3.52%6.54%10.98%4.77%77.08%
0.1 , 0.4 , 0.70.55%1.51%3.56%6.56%11.04%4.79%76.82%
0.1 , 0.4 , 0.80.55%1.54%3.60%6.60%11.01%4.82%76.92%
0.1 , 0.4 , 0.90.56%1.57%3.64%6.72%11.11%4.85%76.44%
0.1 , 0.4 , 1.00.59%1.56%3.73%6.79%11.18%4.90%76.49%
0.1 , 0.5 , 0.60.54%1.50%3.55%6.56%10.90%4.79%76.82%
0.1 , 0.5 , 0.70.55%1.55%3.63%6.60%11.03%4.81%76.87%
0.1 , 0.5 , 0.80.57%1.54%3.68%6.65%11.09%4.85%76.33%
0.1 , 0.5 , 0.90.60%1.55%3.71%6.74%11.09%4.89%76.17%
0.1 , 0.5 , 1.00.59%1.56%3.77%6.80%11.09%4.94%76.28%
0.1 , 0.6 , 0.70.59%1.53%3.66%6.67%11.03%4.85%76.39%
0.1 , 0.6 , 0.80.61%1.57%3.73%6.74%11.05%4.89%76.39%
0.1 , 0.6 , 0.90.60%1.59%3.78%6.78%11.08%4.94%76.06%
0.1 , 0.6 , 1.00.61%1.61%3.82%6.89%11.18%4.99%76.01%
0.1 , 0.7 , 0.80.61%1.60%3.79%6.77%11.12%4.94%75.95%
0.1 , 0.7 , 0.90.59%1.60%3.83%6.83%11.13%4.99%75.90%
0.1 , 0.7 , 1.00.60%1.63%3.89%6.98%11.23%5.05%75.63%
0.1 , 0.8 , 0.90.60%1.65%3.88%6.96%11.30%5.05%75.90%
0.1 , 0.8 , 1.00.63%1.68%3.96%7.07%11.34%5.12%75.42%
0.1 , 0.9 , 1.00.63%1.77%4.08%7.13%11.47%5.19%74.88%
0.2 , 0.3 , 0.40.58%1.51%3.62%6.62%10.92%4.77%77.08%
0.2 , 0.3 , 0.50.58%1.48%3.56%6.60%10.94%4.77%76.98%
0.2 , 0.3 , 0.60.57%1.47%3.58%6.50%10.99%4.77%77.25%
0.2 , 0.3 , 0.70.58%1.50%3.57%6.52%11.06%4.79%76.87%
0.2 , 0.3 , 0.80.55%1.52%3.59%6.53%11.18%4.81%76.92%
0.2 , 0.3 , 0.90.54%1.54%3.64%6.56%11.17%4.84%77.19%
0.2 , 0.3 , 1.00.55%1.59%3.71%6.66%11.17%4.88%77.14%
0.2 , 0.4 , 0.50.58%1.50%3.56%6.57%11.00%4.78%77.08%
0.2 , 0.4 , 0.60.59%1.50%3.57%6.57%11.07%4.79%77.14%
0.2 , 0.4 , 0.70.64%1.52%3.59%6.58%11.09%4.82%76.92%
0.2 , 0.4 , 0.80.61%1.54%3.61%6.66%11.11%4.85%76.82%
0.2 , 0.4 , 0.90.62%1.57%3.67%6.77%11.15%4.88%76.76%
0.2 , 0.4 , 1.00.62%1.60%3.73%6.81%11.15%4.92%76.39%
0.2 , 0.5 , 0.60.64%1.54%3.60%6.60%11.08%4.82%76.60%
0.2 , 0.5 , 0.70.63%1.54%3.64%6.67%11.18%4.85%76.60%
0.2 , 0.5 , 0.80.66%1.56%3.66%6.80%11.21%4.89%76.60%
0.2 , 0.5 , 0.90.64%1.57%3.71%6.83%11.20%4.93%76.28%
0.2 , 0.5 , 1.00.61%1.60%3.82%6.92%11.23%4.97%76.33%
0.2 , 0.6 , 0.70.65%1.55%3.67%6.81%11.22%4.89%76.44%
0.2 , 0.6 , 0.80.65%1.58%3.71%6.85%11.24%4.94%76.39%
0.2 , 0.6 , 0.90.63%1.61%3.79%6.95%11.25%4.98%76.12%
0.2 , 0.6 , 1.00.61%1.63%3.88%7.01%11.32%5.03%76.17%
0.2 , 0.7 , 0.80.68%1.60%3.83%6.96%11.25%4.99%76.06%
0.2 , 0.7 , 0.90.65%1.63%3.91%7.03%11.33%5.03%76.01%
0.2 , 0.7 , 1.00.64%1.67%3.92%7.05%11.34%5.09%75.90%
0.2 , 0.8 , 0.90.63%1.68%3.92%7.08%11.40%5.10%76.01%
0.2 , 0.8 , 1.00.68%1.72%3.98%7.19%11.41%5.16%75.63%
0.2 , 0.9 , 1.00.67%1.80%4.09%7.26%11.46%5.23%75.09%
0.3 , 0.4 , 0.50.63%1.56%3.64%6.67%11.08%4.82%76.82%
0.3 , 0.4 , 0.60.65%1.57%3.63%6.68%11.12%4.84%76.44%
0.3 , 0.4 , 0.70.62%1.57%3.64%6.73%11.24%4.87%76.44%
0.3 , 0.4 , 0.80.63%1.58%3.66%6.83%11.27%4.90%76.44%
0.3 , 0.4 , 0.90.62%1.59%3.70%6.89%11.29%4.93%76.44%
0.3 , 0.4 , 1.00.62%1.59%3.76%6.97%11.29%4.97%75.95%
0.3 , 0.5 , 0.60.61%1.57%3.66%6.74%11.27%4.88%76.60%
0.3 , 0.5 , 0.70.65%1.60%3.65%6.83%11.30%4.91%76.39%
0.3 , 0.5 , 0.80.64%1.61%3.72%6.94%11.33%4.95%76.28%
0.3 , 0.5 , 0.90.63%1.61%3.77%6.99%11.30%4.99%75.95%
0.3 , 0.5 , 1.00.61%1.64%3.83%7.11%11.31%5.03%76.01%
0.3 , 0.6 , 0.70.62%1.62%3.73%6.92%11.33%4.96%76.22%
0.3 , 0.6 , 0.80.63%1.61%3.83%7.03%11.34%5.00%75.95%
0.3 , 0.6 , 0.90.65%1.61%3.86%7.10%11.30%5.05%76.17%
0.3 , 0.6 , 1.00.64%1.67%3.91%7.18%11.42%5.10%76.28%
0.3 , 0.7 , 0.80.64%1.65%3.87%7.10%11.33%5.06%76.28%
0.3 , 0.7 , 0.90.62%1.69%3.94%7.13%11.40%5.11%75.95%
0.3 , 0.7 , 1.00.63%1.71%3.98%7.23%11.48%5.17%76.22%
0.3 , 0.8 , 0.90.62%1.73%4.01%7.25%11.44%5.17%76.01%
0.3 , 0.8 , 1.00.65%1.78%4.02%7.34%11.53%5.24%75.79%
0.3 , 0.9 , 1.00.65%1.85%4.10%7.37%11.60%5.31%75.31%
0.4 , 0.5 , 0.60.64%1.63%3.69%6.85%11.40%4.94%76.28%
0.4 , 0.5 , 0.70.61%1.62%3.72%6.96%11.33%4.98%76.17%
0.4 , 0.5 , 0.80.63%1.62%3.78%7.06%11.38%5.02%75.79%
0.4 , 0.5 , 0.90.61%1.66%3.83%7.16%11.36%5.06%75.95%
0.4 , 0.5 , 1.00.60%1.67%3.89%7.20%11.39%5.11%76.01%
0.4 , 0.6 , 0.70.62%1.64%3.77%7.10%11.56%5.03%75.69%
0.4 , 0.6 , 0.80.63%1.67%3.81%7.18%11.42%5.08%76.12%
0.4 , 0.6 , 0.90.60%1.69%3.91%7.25%11.42%5.13%76.12%
0.4 , 0.6 , 1.00.60%1.73%3.95%7.27%11.49%5.18%75.90%
0.4 , 0.7 , 0.80.62%1.71%3.91%7.23%11.40%5.14%76.17%
0.4 , 0.7 , 0.90.58%1.75%4.00%7.29%11.47%5.19%75.58%
0.4 , 0.7 , 1.00.57%1.79%4.03%7.36%11.60%5.25%75.52%
0.4 , 0.8 , 0.90.60%1.79%4.06%7.35%11.61%5.26%75.36%
0.4 , 0.8 , 1.00.64%1.87%4.08%7.43%11.75%5.33%75.31%
0.4 , 0.9 , 1.00.69%1.89%4.14%7.49%11.84%5.40%75.15%
0.5 , 0.6 , 0.70.63%1.72%3.82%7.15%11.53%5.11%76.01%
0.5 , 0.6 , 0.80.65%1.72%3.89%7.24%11.43%5.16%76.12%
0.5 , 0.6 , 0.90.61%1.75%3.99%7.34%11.51%5.21%75.74%
0.5 , 0.6 , 1.00.61%1.78%4.05%7.33%11.60%5.27%75.42%
0.5 , 0.7 , 0.80.66%1.76%3.97%7.34%11.60%5.22%75.63%
0.5 , 0.7 , 0.90.60%1.80%4.04%7.33%11.64%5.28%75.31%
0.5 , 0.7 , 1.00.62%1.87%4.14%7.41%11.74%5.34%75.09%
0.5 , 0.8 , 0.90.62%1.89%4.12%7.41%11.75%5.35%74.99%
0.5 , 0.8 , 1.00.65%1.93%4.15%7.51%11.84%5.42%74.88%
0.5 , 0.9 , 1.00.69%1.98%4.21%7.60%12.04%5.50%74.61%
0.6 , 0.7 , 0.80.67%1.79%4.03%7.38%11.66%5.31%75.31%
0.6 , 0.7 , 0.90.62%1.88%4.14%7.41%11.77%5.37%75.04%
0.6 , 0.7 , 1.00.63%1.93%4.17%7.48%11.87%5.43%74.88%
0.6 , 0.8 , 0.90.67%1.94%4.20%7.50%11.91%5.45%74.99%
0.6 , 0.8 , 1.00.71%1.95%4.24%7.56%12.04%5.52%74.72%
0.6 , 0.9 , 1.00.73%2.01%4.29%7.70%12.17%5.60%73.80%
0.7 , 0.8 , 0.90.74%1.99%4.26%7.60%12.05%5.53%74.61%
0.7 , 0.8 , 1.00.75%2.01%4.31%7.74%12.11%5.61%73.96%
0.7 , 0.9 , 1.00.79%2.04%4.38%7.89%12.28%5.69%73.43%
0.8 , 0.9 , 1.00.81%2.10%4.46%7.96%12.54%5.79%72.94%
LegendShow
Nvariables for calculating pot values
P10the 10th percentile of ABS( VF% - FEV% )
P25the 25th percentile of ABS( VF% - FEV% )
P50the 50th percentile of ABS( VF% - FEV% )
P75the 75th percentile of ABS( VF% - FEV% )
P90the 90th percentile of ABS( VF% - FEV% )
AVGthe average of ABS( VF% - FEV% )
W%winning percentage of the expected winners
 
 
MWW%MWW%
2018 
1859 
1434 
77.14% 
2017 
1791 
1613 
90.06% 
 Female 
 921 
 703 
76.33% 
 Female 
 890 
 808 
90.79% 
 Male 
 921 
 723 
78.50% 
 Male 
 890 
 797 
89.55% 
 Seasonal 
  17 
   8 
47.06% 
 Seasonal 
  11 
   8 
72.73% 
Topaz 
 480 
 423 
88.13% 
Topaz 
 480 
 450 
93.75% 
 Female 
 240 
 209 
87.08% 
 Female 
 240 
 224 
93.33% 
 Male 
 240 
 214 
89.17% 
 Male 
 240 
 226 
94.17% 
Amethyst 
 368 
 286 
77.72% 
Amethyst 
 368 
 342 
92.93% 
 Female 
 184 
 138 
75.00% 
 Female 
 184 
 172 
93.48% 
 Male 
 184 
 148 
80.43% 
 Male 
 184 
 170 
92.39% 
Sapphire 
 300 
 227 
75.67% 
Sapphire 
 300 
 274 
91.33% 
 Female 
 150 
 114 
76.00% 
 Female 
 150 
 141 
94.00% 
 Male 
 150 
 113 
75.33% 
 Male 
 150 
 133 
88.67% 
Emerald 
 240 
 175 
72.92% 
Emerald 
 240 
 216 
90.00% 
 Female 
 120 
  87 
72.50% 
 Female 
 120 
 111 
92.50% 
 Male 
 120 
  88 
73.33% 
 Male 
 120 
 105 
87.50% 
Ruby 
 204 
 142 
69.61% 
Ruby 
 180 
 158 
87.78% 
 Female 
 102 
  70 
68.63% 
 Female 
  90 
  76 
84.44% 
 Male 
 102 
  72 
70.59% 
 Male 
  90 
  82 
91.11% 
Diamond 
 132 
  98 
74.24% 
Diamond 
 120 
  98 
81.67% 
 Female 
  66 
  47 
71.21% 
 Female 
  60 
  52 
86.67% 
 Male 
  66 
  51 
77.27% 
 Male 
  60 
  46 
76.67% 
Elimination 
 118 
  75 
63.56% 
Elimination 
  92 
  67 
72.83% 
 Female 
  59 
  38 
64.41% 
 Female 
  46 
  32 
69.57% 
 Male 
  59 
  37 
62.71% 
 Male 
  46 
  35 
76.09% 
 
 
50% ≤ FEV% < 51% 
 261 
 144 
 55.17% 
50% ≤ FEV% < 51% 
 170 
 105 
 61.76% 
51% ≤ FEV% < 52% 
 230 
 136 
 59.13% 
51% ≤ FEV% < 52% 
 166 
 119 
 71.69% 
52% ≤ FEV% < 53% 
 222 
 151 
 68.02% 
52% ≤ FEV% < 53% 
 192 
 164 
 85.42% 
53% ≤ FEV% < 54% 
 193 
 144 
 74.61% 
53% ≤ FEV% < 54% 
 198 
 181 
 91.41% 
54% ≤ FEV% < 55% 
 191 
 162 
 84.82% 
54% ≤ FEV% < 55% 
 179 
 173 
 96.65% 
55% ≤ FEV% < 56% 
 156 
 136 
 87.18% 
55% ≤ FEV% < 56% 
 193 
 181 
 93.78% 
56% ≤ FEV% < 57% 
 100 
  91 
 91.00% 
56% ≤ FEV% < 57% 
 154 
 152 
 98.70% 
57% ≤ FEV% < 58% 
 117 
 102 
 87.18% 
57% ≤ FEV% < 58% 
 112 
 112 
100.00% 
58% ≤ FEV% < 59% 
  98 
  91 
 92.86% 
58% ≤ FEV% < 59% 
 114 
 114 
100.00% 
59% ≤ FEV% < 60% 
  84 
  74 
 88.10% 
59% ≤ FEV% < 60% 
  86 
  86 
100.00% 
60% ≤ FEV% < 61% 
  70 
  68 
 97.14% 
60% ≤ FEV% < 61% 
  85 
  85 
100.00% 
61% ≤ FEV% < 62% 
  48 
  46 
 95.83% 
61% ≤ FEV% < 62% 
  66 
  67 
 98.51% 
62% ≤ FEV% 
  89 
  89 
100.00% 
62% ≤ FEV% 
  75 
  75 
100.00% 
50% ≤ FEV% < 51%Show
2018MWW%2017MWW%
50.0% ≤ FEV% < 50.2% 
55 
26 
47.27% 
50.0% ≤ FEV% < 50.2% 
21 
40 
52.50% 
50.2% ≤ FEV% < 50.4% 
52 
27 
51.92% 
50.2% ≤ FEV% < 50.4% 
25 
42 
59.52% 
50.4% ≤ FEV% < 50.6% 
44 
28 
63.64% 
50.4% ≤ FEV% < 50.6% 
18 
31 
58.06% 
50.6% ≤ FEV% < 50.8% 
49 
25 
51.02% 
50.6% ≤ FEV% < 50.8% 
21 
30 
70.00% 
50.8% ≤ FEV% < 51.0% 
61 
38 
62.30% 
50.8% ≤ FEV% < 51.0% 
20 
27 
74.07% 
Unexpected matchesShow
(top ten FEV% with the premise that the expected winner lost the match)
FEV%ContestantVFVFOpponentZ-score
ISML 2018
Sapphire 261.61%Tokisaki Kurumi29023865Sakura Chiyo7.7
Sapphire 461.05%Chtholly Nota Seniorious24522552Matō Sakura3.1
Amethyst 560.57%Yūki Asuna41364623Nagato Yuki3.1
Sapphire 560.14%Kinomoto Sakura41095862Jibril8.0
Amethyst 760.00%Nishimiya Shōko45617156Izumi Sagiri5.6
Sapphire 459.97%Rem25612955Nagato Yuki3.4
Amethyst 459.94%Tōru31523279Jibril5.3
Amethyst 659.88%Yukinoshita Yukino57726320Kitashirakawa Tamako4.0
Emerald 259.83%Archer1019810337Kanda Sorata6.7
Amethyst 459.73%Yukihira Sōma25342620Hei4.8
ISML 2017
Emerald 161.23%Saitama9641336Natsume Takashi4.3
Sapphire 1056.44%Shiba Tatsuya13011330Yagami Light4.8
Elimination 256.22%Saitama15501782Gilgamesh3.0
Sapphire 955.84%Katsuragi Keima894979Dazai Osamu5.0
Amethyst 1155.77%Isla10741170Beatrice7.9
Ruby 655.76%Yūki Asuna19392640Saber4.7
Sapphire 555.75%Satomi Rentarō798932Dazai Osamu10.3
Diamond 255.66%Saber16511683Kafū Chino2.1
Topaz 1555.63%Shiro14751667Sakura Chiyo2.5
Amethyst 1055.48%Kyon8291117Edogawa Conan7.1
RematchesShow
Topaz 6Ainz Ooal Gown3187Kyon2619
Diamond 3Ainz Ooal Gown13260Kyon12041
Aquamarine 11Ainz Ooal Gown4137Willem Kmetsch3709
Diamond 4Ainz Ooal Gown13976Willem Kmetsch14598
Aquamarine 13Aisaka Taiga5083Illyasviel von Einzbern5376
Ruby 5Aisaka Taiga15056Illyasviel von Einzbern16419
Ruby 1Aisaka Taiga9515Kitashirakawa Tamako9792
Elimination 3Aisaka Taiga18136Kitashirakawa Tamako15909
Amethyst 2Akabane Karma2989Natsuki Subaru2378
Diamond 5Akabane Karma13642Natsuki Subaru13726
Emerald 4Akabane Karma9064Riku Dola9740
Diamond 4Akabane Karma12369Riku Dola14839
Topaz 10Akabane Karma4914Saitama4897
Diamond 1Akabane Karma12144Saitama12439
Amethyst 8Akabane Karma2536Shiota Nagisa4172
Diamond 2Akabane Karma11656Shiota Nagisa13523
Amethyst 7Aoyama Nanami6383Emilia4709
Emerald 2Aoyama Nanami10976Emilia9129
Ruby 3Aoyama Nanami12825Takanashi Rikka17536
Elimination 8Aoyama Nanami20986Takanashi Rikka26978
Sapphire 5Aoyama Nanami3698Tōsaka Rin5543
Elimination 6Aoyama Nanami21923Tōsaka Rin20452
Topaz 6Aoyama Nanami2456Yukinoshita Yukino5029
Ruby 1Aoyama Nanami8765Yukinoshita Yukino11483
Emerald 3Archer10028Astolfo8330
Diamond 3Archer13169Astolfo11724
Diamond 5Archer8738Hikigaya Hachiman19772
Elimination 8Archer15990Hikigaya Hachiman35856
Diamond 1Astolfo10098Hikigaya Hachiman16255
Elimination 1Astolfo9928Hikigaya Hachiman25960
Amethyst 1Astolfo1759Ishida Shōya2791
Diamond 5Astolfo13702Ishida Shōya13552
Sapphire 2Astolfo2387Kamijō Tōma2943
Elimination 8Astolfo21382Kamijō Tōma23057
Topaz 10Astolfo2755Riku Dola6125
Ruby 2Astolfo11094Riku Dola7785
Aquamarine 7Astolfo3310Yato3361
Ruby 1Astolfo9390Yato8445
Sapphire 6Chtholly Nota Seniorious9220Furukawa Nagisa4660
Diamond 3Chtholly Nota Seniorious9595Furukawa Nagisa8594
Amethyst 8Chtholly Nota Seniorious8119Illyasviel von Einzbern2768
Elimination 2Chtholly Nota Seniorious17285Illyasviel von Einzbern15816
Aquamarine 12Chtholly Nota Seniorious5391Megumin2391
Ruby 2Chtholly Nota Seniorious10637Megumin9980
Ruby 5Chtholly Nota Seniorious18604Shiina Mashiro15230
Elimination 8Chtholly Nota Seniorious23193Shiina Mashiro22910
Sapphire 7Chtholly Nota Seniorious7957Takanashi Rikka5516
Elimination 7Chtholly Nota Seniorious22804Takanashi Rikka20650
Emerald 5Daidōji Tomoyo10731Tomori Nao11513
Elimination 4Daidōji Tomoyo15309Tomori Nao16201
Emerald 5Edward Elric9667Kaneki Ken10855
Elimination 3Edward Elric16457Kaneki Ken15665
Ruby 4Emilia22292Nibutani Shinka19111
Elimination 3Emilia20254Nibutani Shinka12780
Emerald 4Emilia8131Nishimiya Shōko10737
Diamond 4Emilia16983Nishimiya Shōko17276
Emerald 1Emilia10406Saber8158
Elimination 7Emilia22341Saber21397
Ruby 5Emilia17384Shiro15000
Elimination 8Emilia28693Shiro17376
Emerald 3Emilia8425Yuigahama Yui12665
Diamond 5Emilia15765Yuigahama Yui15006
Topaz 10Emiya Kiritsugu3763Ishida Shōya4740
Elimination 6Emiya Kiritsugu21018Ishida Shōya19250
Amethyst 8Emiya Kiritsugu3773Kamijō Tōma3675
Diamond 5Emiya Kiritsugu13738Kamijō Tōma13666
Emerald 1Emiya Kiritsugu8910Saitama9938
Elimination 5Emiya Kiritsugu15722Saitama16029
Ruby 5Emiya Kiritsugu15711Yato15197
Elimination 2Emiya Kiritsugu14559Yato14270
Diamond 4Emiya Shirō10882Hikigaya Hachiman17331
Elimination 5Emiya Shirō6767Hikigaya Hachiman27047
Sapphire 6Emiya Shirō5006Ishida Shōya5582
Diamond 3Emiya Shirō12801Ishida Shōya11778
Sapphire 5Eren Yeager2301Levi7334
Diamond 1Eren Yeager11185Levi15567
Amethyst 4Eren Yeager3822Natsume Takashi2746
Ruby 3Eren Yeager13486Natsume Takashi13349
Emerald 4Eren Yeager8795Okabe Rintarō11099
Diamond 3Eren Yeager8537Okabe Rintarō17932
Topaz 8Eren Yeager2595Togashi Yūta4311
Diamond 2Eren Yeager12320Togashi Yūta13855
Topaz 10Eren Yeager5019Uchiha Itachi4382
Ruby 5Eren Yeager15819Uchiha Itachi15515
Ruby 2Erythrocyte10295Tsuyuzaki Mahiru9660
Ruby 6Erythrocyte16722Tsuyuzaki Mahiru12921
Emerald 2Furukawa Nagisa10610Makise Kurisu10115
Diamond 5Furukawa Nagisa11991Makise Kurisu19778
Ruby 3Furukawa Nagisa13953Shiro15640
Diamond 4Furukawa Nagisa14309Shiro16646
Topaz 9Furukawa Nagisa4619Tōru4643
Ruby 4Furukawa Nagisa18481Tōru18040
Amethyst 3Gilgamesh2102Kyon2153
Diamond 1Gilgamesh12147Kyon14338
Topaz 8Gilgamesh3802Todoroki Shōto3134
Elimination 3Gilgamesh13541Todoroki Shōto19809
Aquamarine 3Heiwajima Shizuo1883Kamijō Tōma3283
Emerald 3Heiwajima Shizuo9492Kamijō Tōma13026
Ruby 3Hikigaya Hachiman18405Ishida Shōya10654
Diamond 2Hikigaya Hachiman16871Ishida Shōya10189
Topaz 9Hikigaya Hachiman7093Kaneki Ken2962
Ruby 1Hikigaya Hachiman9903Kaneki Ken8530
Aquamarine 2Izumi Sagiri4157Kōsaka Reina2846
Diamond 5Izumi Sagiri17631Kōsaka Reina10035
Emerald 4Izumi Sagiri11735Tokisaki Kurumi10174
Diamond 4Izumi Sagiri14123Tokisaki Kurumi14217
Aquamarine 11Kamijō Tōma3789Todoroki Shōto3319
Ruby 3Kamijō Tōma12377Todoroki Shōto14206
Topaz 7Kanna Kamui6099Kuriyama Mirai2467
Ruby 3Kanna Kamui18947Kuriyama Mirai12015
Ruby 4Kasumigaoka Utaha18054Nakano Azusa16170
Elimination 2Kasumigaoka Utaha14074Nakano Azusa15294
Amethyst 7Kasumigaoka Utaha3402Tokisaki Kurumi5359
Ruby 3Kasumigaoka Utaha14646Tokisaki Kurumi17410
Amethyst 2Kinomoto Sakura3458Kitashirakawa Tamako2679
Diamond 4Kinomoto Sakura13455Kitashirakawa Tamako15669
Ruby 5Kinomoto Sakura15512Nakano Azusa17847
Diamond 1Kinomoto Sakura16659Nakano Azusa13182
Amethyst 8Kinomoto Sakura3770Yukinoshita Yukino5521
Elimination 2Kinomoto Sakura13076Yukinoshita Yukino18113
Emerald 4Kitashirakawa Tamako10903Takanashi Rikka7992
Diamond 2Kitashirakawa Tamako12108Takanashi Rikka14563
Amethyst 2Kōsaka Reina2654Saber3359
Diamond 4Kōsaka Reina13115Saber15776
Amethyst 6Kōsaka Reina4048Takanashi Rikka6960
Ruby 4Kōsaka Reina18838Takanashi Rikka17371
Ruby 1Kuriyama Mirai9642Nagato Yuki10002
Elimination 4Kuriyama Mirai15859Nagato Yuki15131
Amethyst 5Kuriyama Mirai4187Sakura Chiyo3002
Ruby 4Kuriyama Mirai16157Sakura Chiyo19230
Sapphire 5Kyon4121Midoriya Izuku4725
Ruby 5Kyon15666Midoriya Izuku15335
Aquamarine 11Kyon2624Shiota Nagisa4796
Ruby 1Kyon8810Shiota Nagisa9207
Emerald 4Kyon8901Willem Kmetsch10230
Diamond 5Kyon12332Willem Kmetsch14964
Topaz 9Levi6185Natsuki Subaru3568
Ruby 1Levi9680Natsuki Subaru9040
Topaz 7Levi4355Okazaki Tomoya2480
Diamond 3Levi19781Okazaki Tomoya5975
Elimination 4Levi24390Okazaki Tomoya11230
Amethyst 2Li Syaoran1667Natsume Takashi3200
Elimination 8Li Syaoran21280Natsume Takashi22791
Sapphire 3Makise Kurisu2815Nakano Azusa4290
Elimination 6Makise Kurisu22837Nakano Azusa17566
Sapphire 4Midoriya Izuku2169Tachibana Taki2365
Elimination 3Midoriya Izuku15855Tachibana Taki16326
Aquamarine 7Nagato Yuki3659Sakura Chiyo2733
Ruby 5Nagato Yuki15117Sakura Chiyo16370
Emerald 3Nakano Azusa10207Shiina Mashiro12788
Diamond 4Nakano Azusa13440Shiina Mashiro16348
Aquamarine 13Natsuki Subaru3796Natsume Takashi4177
Elimination 4Natsuki Subaru14967Natsume Takashi16378
Sapphire 3Natsuki Subaru2682Saiki Kusuo2825
Ruby 2Natsuki Subaru10227Saiki Kusuo9309
Emerald 4Natsuki Subaru9206Saitama9698
Diamond 4Natsuki Subaru13867Saitama11685
Amethyst 7Natsuki Subaru3199Shiota Nagisa5192
Diamond 1Natsuki Subaru12347Shiota Nagisa14924
Topaz 5Nibutani Shinka2707Rem3927
Ruby 1Nibutani Shinka6737Rem12895
Amethyst 3Nibutani Shinka2220Tōru2816
Ruby 3Nibutani Shinka13509Tōru14003
Emerald 2Nishimiya Shōko11348Yuigahama Yui8509
Diamond 3Nishimiya Shōko13448Yuigahama Yui12782
Diamond 4Okabe Rintarō14690Todoroki Shōto12391
Elimination 8Okabe Rintarō25501Todoroki Shōto19323
Sapphire 3Orihara Izaya1938Yato3258
Ruby 4Orihara Izaya12870Yato15270
Diamond 5Rem14348Shiina Mashiro13187
Elimination 7Rem27005Shiina Mashiro18441
Ruby 4Rem24319Shiro12636
Elimination 6Rem31391Shiro12240
Amethyst 6Riku Dola4692Willem Kmetsch3877
Elimination 3Riku Dola22407Willem Kmetsch15794
Ruby 1Saber10093Tōsaka Rin11247
Elimination 8Saber20811Tōsaka Rin23663
Diamond 3Saber6358Yūki Asuna9306
Elimination 4Saber14612Yūki Asuna18094
Diamond 3Saitama9495Shiota Nagisa15257
Elimination 2Saitama14362Shiota Nagisa14449
Amethyst 2Saitama2576Takasu Ryūji2591
Ruby 3Saitama13640Takasu Ryūji13353
Sapphire 2Sakura Chiyo3865Tokisaki Kurumi2902
Elimination 1Sakura Chiyo17586Tokisaki Kurumi17297
Amethyst 5Satō Kazuma3103Uchiha Itachi3069
Elimination 3Satō Kazuma17179Uchiha Itachi14540
Sapphire 5Schwi Dola5155Yuigahama Yui3903
Elimination 1Schwi Dola14674Yuigahama Yui13883
Amethyst 5Shiina Mashiro4052Yuigahama Yui3910
Ruby 3Shiina Mashiro15347Yuigahama Yui15132
Amethyst 5Shiota Nagisa4069Todoroki Shōto2415
Elimination 7Shiota Nagisa20298Todoroki Shōto21069
Sapphire 6Shiota Nagisa6525Willem Kmetsch4891
Elimination 8Shiota Nagisa23125Willem Kmetsch21179
Topaz 10Takasu Ryūji3432Togashi Yūta5016
Elimination 4Takasu Ryūji14967Togashi Yūta15827
Sapphire 2Togashi Yūta2873Willem Kmetsch2889
Elimination 7Togashi Yūta20750Willem Kmetsch20977
 
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