FANTASY: 2011 Prelims I-1

[Chocola]

You cannot abstain from predicting an arena.

Rules:

• Only predictions submitted via the link below will be accepted.
• You have until the end of the regular voting period to submit your predictions.
• I will be able to see your password (it is NOT encrypted), so do not use the same password that you use for this forum, e-mail, bank account, etc...
• You will predict the winners of each arena, and your score will reflect on how well your prediction is.
• How high you score in arena arena will depend on how other fantasy participants predicted.
• If I forgot to post a new fantasy thread by the time voting starts and the link has the next matches correctly, then someone can put it up for me.*

Click on the link below to submit your Fantasy predictions:

>> http://www.internationalsaimoe.com/voting/?fantasy" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; <<

*In fact, if someone can volunteer to put up the next fantasy thread 12 hours before voting starts this year, that would really help.

[Kiopi]

Taking a leap of faith with Index-san. Maybe should have gone with Yurippe. Or will the Conan-legion make a statement of their own.

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria

[sc178]

Yay.

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria

[hinakatbklyn]

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria

Maybe it's better I'm not first. Already looks like I will be voting against a few of my predictions already.

[advance94]

Did I take many risks or did I take too little, did I overestimate the newcomers or did I underestimate them? I'll find out soon enough

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria

[Momento10]

Maybe I chose the wrong girls.

SpoilerShow

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria

[Team Rocket Elite]

EntryShow

Ayatsuji Tsukasa vs Merry Nightmare vs Itsuwa
Haramura Nodoka vs Busujima Saeko vs Elucia de Lute Irma
Akiyama Mio vs Yamamoto Nanako vs Iwasawa Asami
Yūno Arashiko vs Misaka Mikoto vs Last Order
Saginomiya Isumi vs Tainaka Ritsu vs Chrome Dokuro
Ayuzawa Misaki vs Sendō Erika vs Ikaros
Erza Scarlet vs Yuno vs Shinonono Hōki
Shana vs Yagami Hayate vs Himeji Mizuki
Aragaki Ayase vs Saten Ruiko vs Ryōgi Shiki
Nymph vs Segawa Izumi vs Takamachi Nanoha
Kawashima Ami vs Suigintō vs Charlotte Dunois
Nakano Azusa vs Shinku vs Amae Koromo
Katsura Hinagiku vs Celty Sturluson vs Oshino Shinobu
Sakurano Kurimu vs Ika-Musume vs Amano Tōko
Hoshina Utau vs Kiriya Nozomi vs Shiomiya Shiori
Hiiragi Tsukasa vs Huang Lingyin vs Konjiki no Yami
Aisaka Taiga vs Hanato Kobato vs Nanasaki Ai
Shirai Kuroko vs Hirasawa Ui vs Amatsume Akira
Kamio Misuzu vs Illyasviel von Einzbern vs Kasugano Sora
Kirishima Shōko vs Kushieda Minori vs Kuronuma Sawako
Enma Ai vs Nagato Yuki vs Serizawa Fumino
Suzumiya Haruhi vs Kuroi Mato vs Inami Mahiru
Nakamura Yuri vs Index L. Prohibitorum vs Mōri Ran
Lucy Heartfilia vs Haibara Ai vs Maria

[fujibayashi]

ARENA 01	-	絢辻詞	梅莉・奈特梅亞	五和
ARENA 02	-	原村 和	毒島冴子	艾利由西亞·德·魯特·伊爾瑪 (艾路希)
ARENA 03	-	秋山澪	山本菜菜子	岩澤麻美
ARENA 04	-	結野 嵐子	御坂美琴	最後之作
ARENA 05	-	鷺之宮伊澄	田井中律	克羅姆·骷髏
ARENA 06	-	鮎澤美咲	千堂瑛里華	伊卡洛斯
ARENA 07	-	艾爾莎‧史卡雷特	由乃	篠之之箒
ARENA 08	-	夏娜	八神疾風	姬路瑞希
ARENA 09	-	新垣綾瀨	佐天淚子	兩儀式
ARENA 10	-	尼姆芙	瀨川泉	高町奈葉
ARENA 11	-	川嶋亞美	水銀燈	夏綠蒂・迪努亞
ARENA 12	-	中野梓	真紅	天江衣
ARENA 13	-	桂雛菊	塞爾堤･史特路爾森	忍野忍
ARENA 14	-	櫻野玖璃夢	花枝娘	天野遠子
ARENA 15	-	星名歌唄	霧谷希	汐宮栞
ARENA 16	-	柊司	凰鈴音	金色闇影
ARENA 17	-	逢坂大河	花戶小鳩	七咲逢
ARENA 18	-	白井黑子	平澤憂	天女目瑛
ARENA 19	-	神尾觀鈴	伊莉雅斯菲爾·馮·愛因茲貝倫	春日野穹
ARENA 20	-	霧島翔子	櫛枝實乃梨	黑沼爽子
ARENA 21	-	閻魔愛	長門有希	芹澤文乃
ARENA 22	-	凉宫春日	黒衣麻陶	伊波真晝
ARENA 23	-	仲村佑理	茵蒂克絲	毛利蘭
ARENA 24	-	露西‧哈特菲利亞	灰原哀	瑪利亞

[Eater-of-All]

Haven't clicked on girls in a while!

PredictionsShow

ARENA 01: Ayatsuji Tsukasa [Merry Nightmare] Itsuwa
ARENA 02: Haramura Nodoka Busujima Saeko [Elucia de Lute Irma]
ARENA 03: [Akiyama Mio] Yamamoto Nanako Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04: Yūno Arashiko [Misaka Mikoto] Last Order
ARENA 05: [Saginomiya Isumi] Tainaka Ritsu Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06: Ayuzawa Misaki Sendō Erika [Ikaros]
ARENA 07: Erza Scarlet Yuno [Shinonono Hōki]
ARENA 08: [Shana] Yagami Hayate Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09: [Aragaki Ayase] Saten Ruiko Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10: Nymph Segawa Izumi [Takamachi Nanoha]
ARENA 11: Kawashima Ami Suigintō [Charlotte Dunois]
ARENA 12: [Nakano Azusa] Shinku Amae Koromo
ARENA 13: [Katsura Hinagiku] Celty Sturluson Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14: Sakurano Kurimu [Ika-Musume] Amano Tōko
ARENA 15: Hoshina Utau Kiriya Nozomi [Shiomiya Shiori]
ARENA 16: Hiiragi Tsukasa Huang Lingyin [Konjiki no Yami]
ARENA 17: [Aisaka Taiga] Hanato Kobato Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18: Shirai Kuroko [Hirasawa Ui] Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19: Kamio Misuzu [Illyasviel von Einzbern] Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20: Kirishima Shōko Kushieda Minori [Kuronuma Sawako]
ARENA 21: Enma Ai [Nagato Yuki] Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22: [Suzumiya Haruhi] Kuroi Mato Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23: [Nakamura Yuri] Index L. Prohibitorum Mōri Ran
ARENA 24: Lucy Heartfilia Haibara Ai [Maria]

Toss-ups:
- Ayase > Saten
- Charlotte > Suigintou (based on the Better Avatar Advantage (BAA))
- Shiori > Nozomi

[Alexander]

PredictionsShow

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria

[sirwence]

shots in the dark mayhapShow

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria

[Chocola]

By the way, I haven't told you about the new system. Each arena isn't worth the same anymore, but they're based on a bookie format. The formula if you got it right is:

t = total # of participants
v = how many voted the same as you

2 * (t - v + 1) / t

Of course, if you get it wrong, then you get 0 points. For example, if there are 30 contestants and you were the only one to predict Yamamoto-sensei to win and she does, then you get:

2 * (30 - 0) / 30 = 2 points

while everyone gets 0. If instead Mio won, then everyone would get:

2 * (30 - 28) / 30 = 0.13 points

while you get 0. Simple? Good.

[Alexander]

Finally I don't have to wonder how everything is calculated.

[Chocola]

Well, the old formula uses standard deviation or some shit, which would be stupid to present. I finally got sick of that.

[kuachai]

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria

All hail Charlotte!

[skeleton]

Some groups are hard to predict

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria

[Kiopi]

By the way, I haven't told you about the new system. Each arena isn't worth the same anymore, but they're based on a bookie format. The formula if you got it right is:

t = total # of participants
v = how many voted the same as you

2 * (t - v + 1) / t

Of course, if you get it wrong, then you get 0 points. For example, if there are 30 contestants and you were the only one to predict Yamamoto-sensei to win and she does, then you get:

2 * (30 - 0) / 30 = 2 points

while everyone gets 0. If instead Mio won, then everyone would get:

2 * (30 - 28) / 30 = 0.13 points

while you get 0. Simple? Good.

Hmm...basically the amount of points you earn is in direct proportion to the percentage of OTHER individuals who voted the same as you out of the total population, multiplied by 2.

So a correct choice on a minority selection yields more points while a wrong choice on a majority selection gives greater loss (relative to those who got it correct).

That's certainly an interesting incentive to take risks on matches where "anything goes".

[loudmouth]

I'm only the 6th person to say this but I'm probably hoping too big in some places and maybe not big enough in others

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria

[maglor]

My guesses

SpoilerShow

ARENA 01	-	아야츠지 츠카사	메리 나이트메어	이츠와
ARENA 02	-	하라무라 노도카	부스지마 사에코	엘류시아 데 루트 이마
ARENA 03	-	아키야마 미오	야마모토 나나코	이와사와 아사미
ARENA 04	-	유우노 아라시코	미사카 미코토	라스트 오더
ARENA 05	-	사기노미야 이스미	타이나카 리츠	크롬 도쿠로
ARENA 06	-	아유자와 미사키	센도우 에리카	이카로스
ARENA 07	-	엘자 스칼렛	유노	시노노노 호우키
ARENA 08	-	샤나	야가미 하야테	히메지 미즈키
ARENA 09	-	아라가키 아야세	사텐 루이코	료오기 시키
ARENA 10	-	님프	세가와 이즈미	타카마치 나노하
ARENA 11	-	카와시마 아미	스이긴토 (수은등)	샤를로테 뒤누아
ARENA 12	-	나카노 아즈사	신쿠 (진홍)	아마에 코로모
ARENA 13	-	카츠라 히나기쿠	셀티 스툴루손	오시노 시노부
ARENA 14	-	사쿠라노 크림	오징어 소녀	아마노 토우코
ARENA 15	-	호시나 우타우	키리야 노조미	시오미야 시오리
ARENA 16	-	히이라기 츠카사	팡 링잉	금색 어둠
ARENA 17	-	아이사카 타이가	하나토 코바토	나나사키 아이
ARENA 18	-	시라이 쿠로코	히라사와 우이	아마츠메 아키라
ARENA 19	-	카미오 미스즈	이리야스필 폰 아인즈번	카스가노 소라
ARENA 20	-	키리시마 쇼우코	쿠시에다 미노리	쿠로누마 사와코
ARENA 21	-	엔마 아이	나가토 유키	세리자와 후미노
ARENA 22	-	스즈미야 하루히	쿠로이 마토	이나미 마히루
ARENA 23	-	나카무라 유리	인덱스	모리 란
ARENA 24	-	루시 하트필리아	하이바라 아이	마리아

[Matteas]

ARENA 01	-	Ayatsuji Tsukasa	Merry Nightmare	Itsuwa
ARENA 02	-	Haramura Nodoka	Busujima Saeko	Elucia de Lute Irma
ARENA 03	-	Akiyama Mio	Yamamoto Nanako	Iwasawa Asami
ARENA 04	-	Yūno Arashiko	Misaka Mikoto	Last Order
ARENA 05	-	Saginomiya Isumi	Tainaka Ritsu	Chrome Dokuro
ARENA 06	-	Ayuzawa Misaki	Sendō Erika	Ikaros
ARENA 07	-	Erza Scarlet	Yuno	Shinonono Hōki
ARENA 08	-	Shana	Yagami Hayate	Himeji Mizuki
ARENA 09	-	Aragaki Ayase	Saten Ruiko	Ryōgi Shiki
ARENA 10	-	Nymph	Segawa Izumi	Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 11	-	Kawashima Ami	Suigintō	Charlotte Dunois
ARENA 12	-	Nakano Azusa	Shinku	Amae Koromo
ARENA 13	-	Katsura Hinagiku	Celty Sturluson	Oshino Shinobu
ARENA 14	-	Sakurano Kurimu	Ika-Musume	Amano Tōko
ARENA 15	-	Hoshina Utau	Kiriya Nozomi	Shiomiya Shiori
ARENA 16	-	Hiiragi Tsukasa	Huang Lingyin	Konjiki no Yami
ARENA 17	-	Aisaka Taiga	Hanato Kobato	Nanasaki Ai
ARENA 18	-	Shirai Kuroko	Hirasawa Ui	Amatsume Akira
ARENA 19	-	Kamio Misuzu	Illyasviel von Einzbern	Kasugano Sora
ARENA 20	-	Kirishima Shōko	Kushieda Minori	Kuronuma Sawako
ARENA 21	-	Enma Ai	Nagato Yuki	Serizawa Fumino
ARENA 22	-	Suzumiya Haruhi	Kuroi Mato	Inami Mahiru
ARENA 23	-	Nakamura Yuri	Index L. Prohibitorum	Mōri Ran
ARENA 24	-	Lucy Heartfilia	Haibara Ai	Maria