FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Nominations and other events occurring before the Main Tournament
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Eater-of-All » Wed Feb 24, 2010 5:11 am

PredictionsShow
ARENA 01: [Ichinose Kotomi] Tsukimiya Ayu
ARENA 02: Sonozaki Shion [Fujibayashi Ryō]
ARENA 03: [Senjōgahara Hitagi] Tainaka Ritsu
ARENA 04: [Alice] Sangō Shizuku
ARENA 05: [Maria ] Sōseiseki
ARENA 06: Suigintou [Ryūgū Rena]
ARENA 07: [Hiiragi Tsukasa] Yagami Hayate
ARENA 08: [Konjiki no Yami] Chii
ARENA 09: [Furukawa Nagisa] Mizuno Kaede
ARENA 10: Enma Ai [Ikaros]
ARENA 11: [Kushieda Minori] Shihō Matsuri
ARENA 12: Amae Koromo [Hirasawa Ui]
ARENA 13: [Ibuki Fūko] Nogizaka Haruka
ARENA 14: Yūki Mikan [Nymph]
ARENA 15: [Nishizawa Ayumu] Sawatari Makoto
ARENA 16: Hanato Kobato [Takamachi Nanoha]
ARENA 17: [C.C. ] Segawa Izumi
ARENA 18: Aizawa Sakuya [Kinomoto Sakura]
ARENA 19: [Saginomiya Isumi] Amamiya Yūko
ARENA 20: Shirai Kuroko [Index L. Prohibitorum]
ARENA 21: [Suiseiseki ] Kotegawa Yui
ARENA 22: Minase Nayuki [Furude Hanyū]
ARENA 23: [Akaba Chizuru] Uiharu Kazari
ARENA 24: [Katagiri Yūhi] Sonozaki Mion
ARENA 25: [Shinku ] Kotobuki Tsumugi
ARENA 26: Ryōgi Shiki [Minami Chiaki]
ARENA 27: [Illyasviel von Einzbern] Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 28: [Louise Vallière] Kawasumi Mai
Damn that was hard. Took 32 minutes. :(
Eisdrache wrote:For the first time I used statistics, compared placements in previous rounds, votes etc :shock:
I've been comparing the strength of two contestant's past opponents' past opponents before you were even born, my young padawan.

inb4 TRE comes in and owns me with his 500 MB Excel spreadsheets.
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Voltorn » Wed Feb 24, 2010 6:39 am

SpoilerShow
ARENA 01Ichinose Kotomi-Tsukimiya Ayu
ARENA 02Sonozaki Shion-Fujibayashi Ryō
ARENA 03Senjōgahara Hitagi-Tainaka Ritsu
ARENA 04Alice-Sangō Shizuku
ARENA 05Maria -Sōseiseki
ARENA 06Suigintou -Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 07Hiiragi Tsukasa-Yagami Hayate
ARENA 08Konjiki no Yami-Chii
ARENA 09Furukawa Nagisa-Mizuno Kaede
ARENA 10Enma Ai-Ikaros
ARENA 11Kushieda Minori-Shihō Matsuri
ARENA 12Amae Koromo-Hirasawa Ui
ARENA 13Ibuki Fūko-Nogizaka Haruka
ARENA 14Yūki Mikan-Nymph
ARENA 15Nishizawa Ayumu-Sawatari Makoto
ARENA 16Hanato Kobato-Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 17C.C. -Segawa Izumi
ARENA 18Aizawa Sakuya-Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 19Saginomiya Isumi-Amamiya Yūko
ARENA 20Shirai Kuroko-Index L. Prohibitorum
ARENA 21Suiseiseki -Kotegawa Yui
ARENA 22Minase Nayuki-Furude Hanyū
ARENA 23Akaba Chizuru-Uiharu Kazari
ARENA 24Katagiri Yūhi-Sonozaki Mion
ARENA 25Shinku -Kotobuki Tsumugi
ARENA 26Ryōgi Shiki-Minami Chiaki
ARENA 27Illyasviel von Einzbern-Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 28Louise Vallière-Kawasumi Mai
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Cassiopeia » Wed Feb 24, 2010 7:27 am

This is it... make or break round.. I almost forgot about voting, today was a very busy day for me...
SpoilerShow
ARENA 01Ichinose Kotomi-Tsukimiya Ayu
ARENA 02Sonozaki Shion-Fujibayashi Ryō
ARENA 03Senjōgahara Hitagi-Tainaka Ritsu
ARENA 04Alice-Sangō Shizuku
ARENA 05Maria -Sōseiseki
ARENA 06Suigintou-Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 07Hiiragi Tsukasa-Yagami Hayate
ARENA 08Konjiki no Yami-Chii
ARENA 09Furukawa Nagisa-Mizuno Kaede
ARENA 10Enma Ai-Ikaros
ARENA 11Kushieda Minori-Shihō Matsuri
ARENA 12Amae Koromo-Hirasawa Ui
ARENA 13Ibuki Fūko-Nogizaka Haruka
ARENA 14Yūki Mikan-Nymph
ARENA 15Nishizawa Ayumu-Sawatari Makoto
ARENA 16Hanato Kobato-Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 17C.C. -Segawa Izumi
ARENA 18Aizawa Sakuya-Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 19Saginomiya Isumi-Amamiya Yūko
ARENA 20Shirai Kuroko-Index L. Prohibitorum
ARENA 21Suiseiseki -Kotegawa Yui
ARENA 22Minase Nayuki-Furude Hanyū
ARENA 23Akaba Chizuru-Uiharu Kazari
ARENA 24Katagiri Yūhi-Sonozaki Mion
ARENA 25Shinku -Kotobuki Tsumugi
ARENA 26Ryōgi Shiki-Minami Chiaki
ARENA 27Illyasviel von Einzbern-Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 28Louise Vallière-Kawasumi Mai
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Cassiopeia » Wed Feb 24, 2010 7:38 am

Some really hard choices to make..

I was really torn between Kuroko and Index. Since they are from the same series, it is hard to judge their fan base. I think Index was initially stronger, but To Aru Kagaku no Railgun is certainly boosting the strength of Railgun girls (This became apparent when biribiri defeated Mio in seeding round), so I was considering voting for Kuroko in the beginning, but I personally prefer Index.. so I am going for what my heart tells me to do lol..

I was also thinking about trying abs but abs round appeared only once per day, so I didn't take that chance.

Other than that match, Nymph vs. Mikan, Ikaros vs. Ai, Yami vs. Chii, Suigintou vs. Rena, Ryou vs. Shion, Alice vs. Shizuku, Shinku vs. Tsumugi, Mai vs. Louise were also pretty tough to decide. For now, I am just hoping for the best....
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Chocola » Wed Feb 24, 2010 9:20 am

It's true that for the previous two rounds, there was only 1 match each that had under 51% win. But this is isn't 2nd seed vs. 9th seed anymore. :P I expect some close ones, predicting about 3 matches under 51%. And somewhere hidden in the rules is the implication that if a match is tied, you can only get points if you abstained in fantasy.

About Kuroko vs. Index, I think Index is stronger based on the number of "Index where" posts on the Railgun threads and how annoying many people view Kuroko's voice. There's further backlash against Kuroko for people who want plot in Railgun, because many of Railgun "fillers" involve Kuroko acting "onee-sama," so Kuroko is being indirectly disliked. And finally, aside from me and maybe 2 more I could name, I don't know any die-hard Kuroko fans. But Index isn't that popular either, so if I participated in fantasy, I would have thought about abstaining that match.
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by hinakatbklyn » Wed Feb 24, 2010 4:06 pm

KholdStare88 wrote:It's true that for the previous two rounds, there was only 1 match each that had under 51% win. But this is isn't 2nd seed vs. 9th seed anymore. :P I expect some close ones, predicting about 3 matches under 51%. And somewhere hidden in the rules is the implication that if a match is tied, you can only get points if you abstained in fantasy.
A few would be really close, but I don't see any matches being tied. I'm already having trouble as it is fantasy wise. I don't need more despair trying to change whatever strategy I have (even if it's not a good one).
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by ilkaid » Wed Feb 24, 2010 4:40 pm

Whoops forgot to post this yesterday. Good thing I always save them.
SpoilerShow
ARENA 01Ichinose Kotomi-Tsukimiya Ayu
ARENA 02Sonozaki Shion-Fujibayashi Ryō
ARENA 03Senjōgahara Hitagi-Tainaka Ritsu
ARENA 04Alice-Sangō Shizuku
ARENA 05Maria -Sōseiseki
ARENA 06Suigintou-Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 07Hiiragi Tsukasa-Yagami Hayate
ARENA 08Konjiki no Yami-Chii
ARENA 09Furukawa Nagisa-Mizuno Kaede
ARENA 10Enma Ai-Ikaros
ARENA 11Kushieda Minori-Shihō Matsuri
ARENA 12Amae Koromo-Hirasawa Ui
ARENA 13Ibuki Fūko-Nogizaka Haruka
ARENA 14Yūki Mikan-Nymph
ARENA 15Nishizawa Ayumu-Sawatari Makoto
ARENA 16Hanato Kobato-Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 17C.C. -Segawa Izumi
ARENA 18Aizawa Sakuya-Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 19Saginomiya Isumi-Amamiya Yūko
ARENA 20Shirai Kuroko-Index L. Prohibitorum
ARENA 21Suiseiseki -Kotegawa Yui
ARENA 22Minase Nayuki-Furude Hanyū
ARENA 23Akaba Chizuru-Uiharu Kazari
ARENA 24Katagiri Yūhi-Sonozaki Mion
ARENA 25Shinku -Kotobuki Tsumugi
ARENA 26Ryōgi Shiki-Minami Chiaki
ARENA 27Illyasviel von Einzbern-Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 28Louise Vallière-Kawasumi Mai
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by bluemage » Wed Feb 24, 2010 6:28 pm

Eater-of-All wrote:Damn that was hard. Took 32 minutes. :(
Eisdrache wrote:For the first time I used statistics, compared placements in previous rounds, votes etc :shock:
I've been comparing the strength of two contestant's past opponents' past opponents before you were even born, my young padawan.

inb4 TRE comes in and owns me with his 500 MB Excel spreadsheets.
I usually do comparisons for every fantasy round as well. I wish I had the time (and skill) to do 500 MB Excel spreadsheets.
hinakatbklyn wrote:I don't need more despair trying to change whatever strategy I have (even if it's not a good one).
At least you have a strategy, unlike me who's just going in there with my comparisons and gut feelings.
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Cassiopeia » Wed Feb 24, 2010 7:03 pm

bluemage wrote:
Eater-of-All wrote:Damn that was hard. Took 32 minutes. :(
Eisdrache wrote:For the first time I used statistics, compared placements in previous rounds, votes etc :shock:
I've been comparing the strength of two contestant's past opponents' past opponents before you were even born, my young padawan.

inb4 TRE comes in and owns me with his 500 MB Excel spreadsheets.
I usually do comparisons for every fantasy round as well. I wish I had the time (and skill) to do 500 MB Excel spreadsheets.
hinakatbklyn wrote:I don't need more despair trying to change whatever strategy I have (even if it's not a good one).
At least you have a strategy, unlike me who's just going in there with my comparisons and gut feelings.

WOW I think some of you are too serious with fantasy. Looking at statistics helps a lot, since I look at the previous records for fantasy as well, but I never imagined you guys would create spread sheets for it. xD

No wonder some of you are doing very well. haha I am too lazy to do that. I use excels too much in my econ/finance courses, so I can't imagine doing that for fantasy as well.
KholdStare88 wrote:It's true that for the previous two rounds, there was only 1 match each that had under 51% win. But this is isn't 2nd seed vs. 9th seed anymore. :P I expect some close ones, predicting about 3 matches under 51%. And somewhere hidden in the rules is the implication that if a match is tied, you can only get points if you abstained in fantasy.

About Kuroko vs. Index, I think Index is stronger based on the number of "Index where" posts on the Railgun threads and how annoying many people view Kuroko's voice. There's further backlash against Kuroko for people who want plot in Railgun, because many of Railgun "fillers" involve Kuroko acting "onee-sama," so Kuroko is being indirectly disliked. And finally, aside from me and maybe 2 more I could name, I don't know any die-hard Kuroko fans. But Index isn't that popular either, so if I participated in fantasy, I would have thought about abstaining that match.
Yeah you have good points. I wouldn't expect a very close match by comparing their popularities on paper. But Kuroko is getting quite a bit of publicity while Index is as invisible as ever like in her own series.

However, as you mentioned, Kuroko is getting a bit of hates due to her granny-like voice and onii sama stuff.I do not like her as well due to those reasons. Well you are right about Kuroko vs. Index being very close one, but I still think one of them will get over 51% though.
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Team Rocket Elite » Wed Feb 24, 2010 8:22 pm

Personally, I didn't like Kuroko very much early on in Railgun. She kinda grew on me a bit as time went on, though. She's not too bad whenever she's actually doing serious work even if it's filler serious work. I voted for Kuroko over Index when I probably would have done the opposite at the start of Railgun. With that said, I was never much of an Index fan either so saying I like Kuroko more than Index probably doesn't say much. <_< Index does have some good moments, but there are fewer of them compared to Kuroko but I guess Index has had less screentime than Kuroko now.
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by imbehindyou » Thu Feb 25, 2010 1:41 am

Fantasy is serious business, guyz.
Which is why I decided to just make a pattern.
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by -synchronizer- » Thu Feb 25, 2010 2:46 am

Posting this a bit late, but better than never. (I did vote on time though~)
I'm not at all confidant about them.
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ARENA 01Ichinose Kotomi-Tsukimiya Ayu
ARENA 02Sonozaki Shion-Fujibayashi Ryō
ARENA 03Senjōgahara Hitagi-Tainaka Ritsu
ARENA 04Alice-Sangō Shizuku
ARENA 05Maria -Sōseiseki
ARENA 06Suigintou-Ryūgū Rena
ARENA 07Hiiragi Tsukasa-Yagami Hayate
ARENA 08Konjiki no Yami-Chii
ARENA 09Furukawa Nagisa-Mizuno Kaede
ARENA 10Enma Ai-Ikaros
ARENA 11Kushieda Minori-Shihō Matsuri
ARENA 12Amae Koromo-Hirasawa Ui
ARENA 13Ibuki Fūko-Nogizaka Haruka
ARENA 14Yūki Mikan-Nymph
ARENA 15Nishizawa Ayumu-Sawatari Makoto
ARENA 16Hanato Kobato-Takamachi Nanoha
ARENA 17C.C. -Segawa Izumi
ARENA 18Aizawa Sakuya-Kinomoto Sakura
ARENA 19Saginomiya Isumi-Amamiya Yūko
ARENA 20Shirai Kuroko-Index L. Prohibitorum
ARENA 21Suiseiseki -Kotegawa Yui
ARENA 22Minase Nayuki-Furude Hanyū
ARENA 23Akaba Chizuru-Uiharu Kazari
ARENA 24Katagiri Yūhi-Sonozaki Mion
ARENA 25Shinku-Kotobuki Tsumugi
ARENA 26Ryōgi Shiki-Minami Chiaki
ARENA 27Illyasviel von Einzbern-Kurata Sayuri
ARENA 28Louise Vallière-Kawasumi Mai
And now, to deviate from the topic again...
Cassiopeia wrote:her granny-like voice
What? I don't see the connection at all.

I don't really frequent any popular discussion site, so I often have no idea what popular opinion is. This probably hurts my fantasy score a bit, unfortunately. That might be why I overestimated Kuroko in the first phase...
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Chocola » Thu Feb 25, 2010 4:02 am

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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Alexander » Thu Feb 25, 2010 4:06 am

I did awful this round.
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by sirwence » Thu Feb 25, 2010 4:08 am

And down I go I would say my chances are about gone lmao
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by advance94 » Thu Feb 25, 2010 4:09 am

alright good round for me I just have to not mess up from this point on
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by hinakatbklyn » Thu Feb 25, 2010 4:10 am

I wonder if I should bow out before I shame ISML any further. (Or at least wait until the regular season to try again)
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Cassiopeia » Thu Feb 25, 2010 4:10 am

Three costly mistakes, but overall I am doing well.. 3rd place.

I am actually very very happy that Suigintou won. I hope she makes to the regular season.
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by sirwence » Thu Feb 25, 2010 4:12 am

hinakatbklyn wrote:I wonder if I should bow out before I shame ISML any further. (Or at least wait until the regular season to try again)
Were this far in might as well finish it out , yes?
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Re: FANTASY: Prelims II-3

Post by Cassiopeia » Thu Feb 25, 2010 4:17 am

sirwence wrote:
hinakatbklyn wrote:I wonder if I should bow out before I shame ISML any further. (Or at least wait until the regular season to try again)
Were this far in might as well finish it out , yes?

WELL it's not the time to give up. The last round of phase 2 will be full of intense matches. Good luck to you all! Preliminary Fantasy is almost over :)
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