hinakatbklyn wrote:- Haruhi/Saber: Another aquamarine rematch, Saber is looking for her first win, Haruhi is looking to get out of her postseason slump with only 1 win in 2 tries.
Slight correction: Haruhi's 2-4 all time in the playoffs (08: Beat Mai, lost to Yuki, lost to Konata; 09: Beat Shinku, lost to Yuki, lost to Kagami). Anyway, my thoughts:
#1 Shana vs. #16 Hitagi
Last year, Shana rolled to the #1 seed, then survived a surprisingly tough challenge from #16 Holo. Will history repeat itself? Um... no. Hitagi wasn't hitting on all cylinders at season's end like Holo was, and there's just not enough anti-Shana voting out there to make a difference... yet. (In fact, with Fate's dramatic elimination, there might be a minor bump in anti-Hitagi
voting.) Shana will roll, while Hitagi will fall to Saber on the losers' side.
#8 Saber vs. #9 Haruhi
Saber finished Diamond 7-0, while Haruhi finished 5-2, so Saber's the easy favorite, right? Not so fast. Saber's schedule was pretty favorable, as her 'god-tier' opponent was Kyo, the 11 seed. Her only other ranked opponent was #16 Hitagi. Haruhi's schedule was quite a bit tougher, with her losses coming to #7 Azusa (who's about as strong as a 3 or 4 seed right now) and #4 Mikoto. Saber won the first round on the first day of the season, but I think she's weakened juuuuuust
enough for Haruhi to get her revenge. A Saber win wouldn't shock me, but I have to go with Haruhi being the one who gets to lose to Shana. Saber will tame Hitagi in losers' though.
#5 Taiga vs. #12 SZ Nagi
Nagi's performed pretty well to this point. I'll pick her to win a match in the Losers' bracket, but Taiga is Taiga. There is no reason for this to be all that close. Taiga should roll into the Winners' Bracket quite easily, and I think she'll beat Mikoto.
#4 Mikoto vs. #13 Nadeko
Nadeko's draw is about as bad as she could hope for. She's going to lose to Mikoto, then she'll face the same Nagi who just beat her. I don't think Nadeko will survive that encounter. Mikoto's got an easy win before she deals with Taiga. She does own a win over Taiga, but that was back in Aquamarine. I think enough time has passed where Taiga's my pick to make it into the winners' semifinals out of this group.
#3 Mio vs. #14 Yui
If you're a Mio fan, you must be disappointed with the lack of a #1 seed. However, you have to be happy that you have the red-hot Azusa with a chance to take care of Hinagiku before your girl has to face her. Mio will advance easily, while I think Yui's got a good chance to avoid an 0-2 elimination when she faces Kyou.
#6 Yuki vs. #11 Kyou
Yuki, Yuki, Yuki. I don't think she's as strong as she once was, but she'll still be strong enough to win this match... before getting destroyed by Mio. Kyou is going to have her hands full with Yui in the Losers' Bracket, and I have to go with Yui in that match.
#2 Hinagiku vs. #15 Kagami
Kagami has no chance in either this match or the Tomoyo match in the Losers' Bracket. I think this is the last we'll see of Lucky Star in the ISML playoffs. But Hinagiku... man, she's got a tough draw ahead of her...
#7 Azusa vs. #10 Tomoyo
Azusa will beat Tomoyo. Tomoyo will beat Kagami. Those sentences were about as exciting as the matches will be. The big money match, though, is Azusa vs. Giku. I think Azusa's got a real shot, but Hinagiku's jumped back up in strength enough where I think she'll survive the test from Azu-nyan.