FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Single-Elimination Tournament and future ISML contests
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RegalStar
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FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by RegalStar » Sat Oct 06, 2012 5:34 am

Since TRE is away I will post this thread for him. Tell me if I did anything wrong.

Rules:
  • Only bets submitted via the link below will be accepted.
  • You have until the end of the regular voting period to submit your bets.
  • I will be able to see your password (it is NOT encrypted), so do not use the same password that you use for this forum, your e-mail, bank account, etc..
  • You will predict if each indicated character's percentage of total votes will be over or under a corresponding percentage.
  • Everyone starts with 0 points. You can not have fewer than 0 points.
  • Along with each prediction, you wager 1 to 5 points.
  • A correct prediction will earn you points based on your wager and the total bets on the correct and incorrect answers. A incorrect prediction will result in losing points equal to your wager.
  • Points system summary: If you bet right on a match a lot of people get wrong, you get a huge number of points. If you bet right on a match most people get right you gain a small number of points. If you bet wrong, you lose your points.
  • Points system details: Pooling system for points. Given O total points bet for OVER, U total points bet for UNDER, and OVER wins, then a player who wagered X points on OVER will win X*(1+U/O) points. The loser who bet Y points will just lose those Y points.
  • Abstain has no effect on your points. You will neither gain nor lose points.
  • If a character finishes within 0.05 percentage points of the Over/Under percentage it is consider a tie and no points are awarded or taken.
  • Use your forum username as your username. Post "I submitted" here, so we know you are playing and not spamming the ballot.
  • If you submit under two different usernames from the same IP, then they will not count.
  • Your username must be alphanumeric only AND cannot be gibberish, or I will not accept it.
  • If you have submitted a Fantasy for this round prior to this thread, you will have to resubmit~
http://www.internationalsaimoe.com/voting/?fantasy

Here are the Over/Under percentages that will be used for Elimination 4:
Over/Under percentagesShow
Arena 1: Tachibana Kanade vs Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko)
Tachibana Kanade: 63.0%

Arena 2: Misaka Mikoto vs Aisaka Taiga
Misaka Mikoto: 54.0%

Arena 3: Isanami vs Rias Gremory vs Shirakiin Ririchiyo
Rias Gremory: 40.0%

Arena 4: Henrietta de Tristain vs Tachibana Miya vs Yamano Lemon
Henrietta de Tristain: 34.0%

Arena 5: Araragi Tsukihi vs Sonya vs Tanamachi Kaoru
Araragi Tsukihi: 58.0%

Arena 6: Akazawa Izumi vs Mishima Nana vs Tōjō Koneko
Tōjō Koneko: 45.0%

Arena 7: Urabe Mikoto vs Xiao-Mei vs Yoshida Yuki
Urabe Mikoto: 27.0%

Arena 8: Coco vs Eureka vs Sanka Rea
Sanka Rea: 66.0%

Arena 9: Kanoe Yūko vs SG550 vs Tokura Misaki
Kanoe Yūko: 52.0%

Arena 10: Furuya Mero vs Ibara Mayaka vs Satō Masaki
Ibara Mayaka: 46.0%
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by DurianDude » Sat Oct 06, 2012 7:33 am

alright let's keep my ridiculous amount of luck rollingShow
Tachibana Kanade : 63.0% : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto : 54.0% : OVER - 5
Rias Gremory : 40.0% : UNDER - 2
Henrietta de Tristain : 34.0% : OVER - 3
Araragi Tsukihi : 58.0% : OVER - 5
Tōjō Koneko : 45.0% : UNDER - 3
Urabe Mikoto : 27.0% : UNDER - 3
Sanka Rea : 66.0% : UNDER - 2
Kanoe Yūko : 52.0% : UNDER - 2
Ibara Mayaka : 46.0% : UNDER - 2
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by Shmion84 » Sun Oct 07, 2012 2:29 pm

this won't end wellShow
Fantasy wagers for Shmion84 have been recorded. Thank you.
Tachibana Kanade : 63.0% : UNDER - 5
Misaka Mikoto : 54.0% : UNDER - 5
Rias Gremory : 40.0% : OVER - 4
Henrietta de Tristain : 34.0% : UNDER - 4
Araragi Tsukihi : 58.0% : OVER - 4
Tōjō Koneko : 45.0% : OVER - 4
Urabe Mikoto : 27.0% : UNDER - 4
Sanka Rea : 66.0% : OVER - 4
Kanoe Yūko : 52.0% : OVER - 4
Ibara Mayaka : 46.0% : UNDER - 4
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,8,2)
Total Wager Value:42
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by Momento10 » Sun Oct 07, 2012 4:48 pm

Done
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by bluemage » Sun Oct 07, 2012 6:32 pm

My PicksShow
Tachibana Kanade: 63.0%: OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 54.0%: UNDER - 5
Rias Gremory: 40.0%: UNDER - 5
Henrietta de Tristain: 34.0%: UNDER - 5
Araragi Tsukihi: 58.0%: OVER - 5
Tōjō Koneko: 45.0%: UNDER - 5
Urabe Mikoto: 27.0%: UNDER - 5
Sanka Rea: 66.0%: UNDER - 5
Kanoe Yūko: 52.0%: OVER - 5
Ibara Mayaka: 46.0%: OVER - 5

Total Wager: 50
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by Mr. Large » Mon Oct 08, 2012 3:42 am

It's been a long time since I did some fantasy. :3

Tachibana Kanade : 63.0% : UNDER - 5
Misaka Mikoto : 54.0% : OVER - 5
Rias Gremory : 40.0% : UNDER - 5
Henrietta de Tristain : 34.0% : UNDER - 5
Araragi Tsukihi : 58.0% : OVER - 5
Tōjō Koneko : 45.0% : UNDER - 5
Urabe Mikoto : 27.0% : UNDER - 5
Sanka Rea : 66.0% : OVER - 5
Kanoe Yūko : 52.0% : UNDER - 5
Ibara Mayaka : 46.0% : OVER - 5
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by Jeffrey-sama » Mon Oct 08, 2012 5:20 am

Results of exhibition matches are hard to predict...Show
Tachibana Kanade : 63.0% : UNDER - 5
Misaka Mikoto : 54.0% : UNDER - 5
Rias Gremory : 40.0% : UNDER - 5
Henrietta de Tristain : 34.0% : OVER - 5
Araragi Tsukihi : 58.0% : OVER - 5
Tōjō Koneko : 45.0% : UNDER - 5
Urabe Mikoto : 27.0% : UNDER - 5
Sanka Rea : 66.0% : OVER - 5
Kanoe Yūko : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Ibara Mayaka : 46.0% : UNDER - 5
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,0,10)
Total Wager Value:50
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by YagamiHayate » Mon Oct 08, 2012 5:32 am

SpoilerShow
Tachibana Kanade : 63.0% : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto : 54.0% : OVER - 5
Rias Gremory : 40.0% : UNDER - 5
Henrietta de Tristain : 34.0% : OVER - 5
Araragi Tsukihi : 58.0% : OVER - 5
Tōjō Koneko : 45.0% : OVER - 5
Urabe Mikoto : 27.0% : UNDER - 5
Sanka Rea : 66.0% : OVER - 5
Kanoe Yūko : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Ibara Mayaka : 46.0% : OVER - 5
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,0,10)
Total Wager Value:50
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by xcrossfacekillahx » Mon Oct 08, 2012 2:09 pm

Fantasy wagers for xcrossfacekillahx have been recorded. Thank you.

No results here.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by RegalStar » Tue Oct 09, 2012 5:04 am

Sorry it's late; I was out of house for quite some time.

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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by DurianDude » Tue Oct 09, 2012 5:14 am

A solid round. Just didn't bet enough where it counted. And no huge arena where everyone else was wrong this time. Still have a solid lead though :)
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by xcrossfacekillahx » Tue Oct 09, 2012 5:17 am

1st this round, 2nd overall. Seems to me that catching up too late gave DurianDude a decent lead although we had bad starts.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by RegalStar » Tue Oct 09, 2012 7:16 am

ChikaraIcy has a 47; except it got overshadowed by all the incorrect arenas.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by Jeffrey-sama » Tue Oct 09, 2012 9:47 pm

Derp. Fail.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Eliminations 4

Post by bluemage » Thu Oct 11, 2012 12:31 am

Ultimate fail.
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