FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Single-Elimination Tournament and future ISML contests
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FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by Team Rocket Elite » Fri Oct 12, 2012 4:48 am

Rules:
  • Only bets submitted via the link below will be accepted.
  • You have until the end of the regular voting period to submit your bets.
  • I will be able to see your password (it is NOT encrypted), so do not use the same password that you use for this forum, your e-mail, bank account, etc..
  • You will predict if each indicated character's percentage of total votes will be over or under a corresponding percentage.
  • Everyone starts with 0 points. You can not have fewer than 0 points.
  • Along with each prediction, you wager 1 to 5 points.
  • A correct prediction will earn you points based on your wager and the total bets on the correct and incorrect answers. A incorrect prediction will result in losing points equal to your wager.
  • Points system summary: If you bet right on a match a lot of people get wrong, you get a huge number of points. If you bet right on a match most people get right you gain a small number of points. If you bet wrong, you lose your points.
  • Points system details: Pooling system for points. Given O total points bet for OVER, U total points bet for UNDER, and OVER wins, then a player who wagered X points on OVER will win X*(1+U/O) points. The loser who bet Y points will just lose those Y points.
  • Abstain has no effect on your points. You will neither gain nor lose points.
  • If a character finishes within 0.05 percentage points of the Over/Under percentage it is consider a tie and no points are awarded or taken.
  • Use your forum username as your username. Post "I submitted" here, so we know you are playing and not spamming the ballot.
  • If you submit under two different usernames from the same IP, then they will not count.
  • Your username must be alphanumeric only AND cannot be gibberish, or I will not accept it.
  • If you have submitted a Fantasy for this round prior to this thread, you will have to resubmit~
http://www.internationalsaimoe.com/voting/?fantasy

Here are the Over/Under percentages that will be used for Elimination 5:
Over/Under percentagesShow
Arena 1: Nakamura Yuri vs Saber
Saber: 52.0%

Arena 2: Tachibana Kanade vs Suzumiya Haruhi
Tachibana Kanade: 64.0%

Arena 3: Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko) vs Nakano Azusa
Nakano Azusa: 53.0%

Arena 4: Kōsaka Kirino vs Nagato Yuki
Nagato Yuki: 55.0%

Arena 5: Miyagawa Atsumi vs Roromiya Karuta vs Tiffania Westwood
Tiffania Westwood: 29.0%

Arena 6: Nanasaki Ai vs Yassan vs Takanashi Yomi
Takanashi Yomi: 42.0%

Arena 7: Cthugha vs Kuroyukihime vs Melona
Kuroyukihime: 54.0%

Arena 8: Kurokami Medaka vs Matō Sakura vs Mine Fujiko
Matō Sakura: 56.0%

Arena 9: Otonashi Saya vs Colette Brunel vs Leanan-Sidhe
Colette Brunel: 45.0%

Arena 10: Mifune Ryūko vs Ōsawa Maria vs Aoba Tsugumi
Mifune Ryūko: 56.0%
Edit: Fixed character names, character name order and match order.
Last edited by Team Rocket Elite on Sat Oct 13, 2012 9:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by DurianDude » Sat Oct 13, 2012 6:07 am

I have absolutely no idea in most exhibition matchesShow
Saber : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Tachibana Kanade : 64.0% : OVER - 5
Nakano Azusa : 53.0% : OVER - 5
Nagato Yuki : 55.0% : OVER - 5
Tiffania Westwood : 29.0% : OVER - 4
Takanashi Yomi : 42.0% : UNDER - 3
Kuroyukihime : 54.0% : OVER - 3
Matō Sakura : 56.0% : OVER - 4
Colette Brunel : 45.0% : UNDER - 3
Mifune Ryūko : 56.0% : UNDER - 4
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,3,3,4)
Total Wager Value:41
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by shiraoky » Sun Oct 14, 2012 6:29 am

I'm back at this, with another whole round of random guessing.
SpoilerShow
Saber : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Tachibana Kanade : 64.0% : UNDER - 3
Nakano Azusa : 53.0% : UNDER - 5
Nagato Yuki : 55.0% : OVER - 4
Tiffania Westwood : 29.0% : OVER - 3
Takanashi Yomi : 42.0% : OVER - 5
Kuroyukihime : 54.0% : OVER - 3
Matō Sakura : 56.0% : UNDER - 2
Colette Brunel : 45.0% : UNDER - 3
Mifune Ryūko : 56.0% : OVER - 2
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by Ikaros452767 » Sun Oct 14, 2012 9:04 am

SpoilerShow
Saber : 52.0% : OVER - 4
Tachibana Kanade : 64.0% : OVER - 5
Nakano Azusa : 53.0% : UNDER - 4
Nagato Yuki : 55.0% : OVER - 5
Tiffania Westwood : 29.0% : UNDER - 3
Takanashi Yomi : 42.0% : UNDER - 4
Kuroyukihime : 54.0% : OVER - 4
Matō Sakura : 56.0% : OVER - 3
Colette Brunel : 45.0% : UNDER - 3
Mifune Ryūko : 56.0% : OVER - 3
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by bluemage » Sun Oct 14, 2012 4:38 pm

Random Guessing!Show
Saber: 52.0%: OVER - 5
Tachibana Kanade: 64.0%: UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0%: UNDER - 5
Nagato Yuki: 55.0%: OVER - 5
Tiffania Westwood: 29.0%: OVER - 5
Takanashi Yomi: 42.0%: OVER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 54.0%: OVER - 5
Matō Sakura: 56.0%: UNDER - 5
Colette Brunel: 45.0%: OVER - 5
Mifune Ryūko: 56.0%: UNDER - 5

Total Wager: 50
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by Jeffrey-sama » Mon Oct 15, 2012 4:03 am

RandomShow
Saber : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Tachibana Kanade : 64.0% : OVER - 5
Nakano Azusa : 53.0% : UNDER - 5
Nagato Yuki : 55.0% : OVER - 5
Tiffania Westwood : 29.0% : UNDER - 5
Takanashi Yomi : 42.0% : UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime : 54.0% : OVER - 5
Matō Sakura : 56.0% : UNDER - 5
Colette Brunel : 45.0% : UNDER - 5
Mifune Ryūko : 56.0% : UNDER - 5
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,0,10)
Total Wager Value:50
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by Momento10 » Mon Oct 15, 2012 4:57 am

Whatever
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by YagamiHayate » Mon Oct 15, 2012 7:25 am

Submitted.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by Shmion84 » Mon Oct 15, 2012 9:38 am

I am late. Good test for elo system.Show
Fantasy wagers for Shmion84 have been recorded. Thank you.
Saber : 52.0% : UNDER - 4
Tachibana Kanade : 64.0% : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa : 53.0% : OVER - 5
Nagato Yuki : 55.0% : OVER - 4
Tiffania Westwood : 29.0% : OVER - 4
Takanashi Yomi : 42.0% : UNDER - 4
Kuroyukihime : 54.0% : OVER - 4
Matō Sakura : 56.0% : UNDER - 4
Colette Brunel : 45.0% : OVER - 4
Mifune Ryūko : 56.0% : OVER - 4
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,8,2)
Total Wager Value:42
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by xcrossfacekillahx » Mon Oct 15, 2012 3:14 pm

Fantasy wagers for xcrossfacekillahx have been recorded. Thank you.

I might do bad this round.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by RegalStar » Tue Oct 16, 2012 4:06 am

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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by DurianDude » Tue Oct 16, 2012 4:12 am

I'm just hangin on to first by like 30. I hit most arenas, I'm just overly cautious and don't bet enough.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by Jeffrey-sama » Tue Oct 16, 2012 4:31 am

derp again.
Goal for next round: Place in the middle or higher.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

Post by bluemage » Tue Oct 16, 2012 5:57 am

Negative for the 3rd Round in a row!
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