FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 5

[Team Rocket Elite]

Rules:

• Only bets submitted via the link below will be accepted.
• You have until the end of the regular voting period to submit your bets.
• I will be able to see your password (it is NOT encrypted), so do not use the same password that you use for this forum, your e-mail, bank account, etc..
• You will predict if each indicated character's percentage of total votes will be over or under a corresponding percentage.
• Everyone starts with 0 points. You can not have fewer than 0 points.
• Along with each prediction, you wager 1 to 5 points.
• A correct prediction will earn you points based on your wager and the total bets on the correct and incorrect answers. A incorrect prediction will result in losing points equal to your wager.
• Points system summary: If you bet right on a match a lot of people get wrong, you get a huge number of points. If you bet right on a match most people get right you gain a small number of points. If you bet wrong, you lose your points.
• Points system details: Pooling system for points. Given O total points bet for OVER, U total points bet for UNDER, and OVER wins, then a player who wagered X points on OVER will win X*(1+U/O) points. The loser who bet Y points will just lose those Y points.
• Abstain has no effect on your points. You will neither gain nor lose points.
• If a character finishes within 0.05 percentage points of the Over/Under percentage it is consider a tie and no points are awarded or taken.
• Use your forum username as your username. Post "I submitted" here, so we know you are playing and not spamming the ballot.
• If you submit under two different usernames from the same IP, then they will not count.
• Your username must be alphanumeric only AND cannot be gibberish, or I will not accept it.
• If you have submitted a Fantasy for this round prior to this thread, you will have to resubmit~

http://www.internationalsaimoe.com/voting/?fantasy

Here are the Over/Under percentages that will be used for Elimination 5:

Over/Under percentagesShow

Arena 1: Nakamura Yuri vs Saber
Saber: 52.0%

Arena 2: Tachibana Kanade vs Suzumiya Haruhi
Tachibana Kanade: 64.0%

Arena 3: Gokō Ruri (Kuroneko) vs Nakano Azusa
Nakano Azusa: 53.0%

Arena 4: Kōsaka Kirino vs Nagato Yuki
Nagato Yuki: 55.0%

Arena 5: Miyagawa Atsumi vs Roromiya Karuta vs Tiffania Westwood
Tiffania Westwood: 29.0%

Arena 6: Nanasaki Ai vs Yassan vs Takanashi Yomi
Takanashi Yomi: 42.0%

Arena 7: Cthugha vs Kuroyukihime vs Melona
Kuroyukihime: 54.0%

Arena 8: Kurokami Medaka vs Matō Sakura vs Mine Fujiko
Matō Sakura: 56.0%

Arena 9: Otonashi Saya vs Colette Brunel vs Leanan-Sidhe
Colette Brunel: 45.0%

Arena 10: Mifune Ryūko vs Ōsawa Maria vs Aoba Tsugumi
Mifune Ryūko: 56.0%

Edit: Fixed character names, character name order and match order.

[DurianDude]

I have absolutely no idea in most exhibition matchesShow

Saber : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Tachibana Kanade : 64.0% : OVER - 5
Nakano Azusa : 53.0% : OVER - 5
Nagato Yuki : 55.0% : OVER - 5
Tiffania Westwood : 29.0% : OVER - 4
Takanashi Yomi : 42.0% : UNDER - 3
Kuroyukihime : 54.0% : OVER - 3
Matō Sakura : 56.0% : OVER - 4
Colette Brunel : 45.0% : UNDER - 3
Mifune Ryūko : 56.0% : UNDER - 4
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,3,3,4)
Total Wager Value:41

[shiraoky]

I'm back at this, with another whole round of random guessing.

SpoilerShow

Saber : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Tachibana Kanade : 64.0% : UNDER - 3
Nakano Azusa : 53.0% : UNDER - 5
Nagato Yuki : 55.0% : OVER - 4
Tiffania Westwood : 29.0% : OVER - 3
Takanashi Yomi : 42.0% : OVER - 5
Kuroyukihime : 54.0% : OVER - 3
Matō Sakura : 56.0% : UNDER - 2
Colette Brunel : 45.0% : UNDER - 3
Mifune Ryūko : 56.0% : OVER - 2

[Ikaros452767]

SpoilerShow

Saber : 52.0% : OVER - 4
Tachibana Kanade : 64.0% : OVER - 5
Nakano Azusa : 53.0% : UNDER - 4
Nagato Yuki : 55.0% : OVER - 5
Tiffania Westwood : 29.0% : UNDER - 3
Takanashi Yomi : 42.0% : UNDER - 4
Kuroyukihime : 54.0% : OVER - 4
Matō Sakura : 56.0% : OVER - 3
Colette Brunel : 45.0% : UNDER - 3
Mifune Ryūko : 56.0% : OVER - 3

[bluemage]

Random Guessing!Show

Saber: 52.0%: OVER - 5
Tachibana Kanade: 64.0%: UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0%: UNDER - 5
Nagato Yuki: 55.0%: OVER - 5
Tiffania Westwood: 29.0%: OVER - 5
Takanashi Yomi: 42.0%: OVER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 54.0%: OVER - 5
Matō Sakura: 56.0%: UNDER - 5
Colette Brunel: 45.0%: OVER - 5
Mifune Ryūko: 56.0%: UNDER - 5

Total Wager: 50

[Jeffrey-sama]

RandomShow

Saber : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Tachibana Kanade : 64.0% : OVER - 5
Nakano Azusa : 53.0% : UNDER - 5
Nagato Yuki : 55.0% : OVER - 5
Tiffania Westwood : 29.0% : UNDER - 5
Takanashi Yomi : 42.0% : UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime : 54.0% : OVER - 5
Matō Sakura : 56.0% : UNDER - 5
Colette Brunel : 45.0% : UNDER - 5
Mifune Ryūko : 56.0% : UNDER - 5
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,0,10)
Total Wager Value:50

[Momento10]

Whatever

[YagamiHayate]

Submitted.

[Shmion84]

I am late. Good test for elo system.Show

Fantasy wagers for Shmion84 have been recorded. Thank you.
Saber : 52.0% : UNDER - 4
Tachibana Kanade : 64.0% : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa : 53.0% : OVER - 5
Nagato Yuki : 55.0% : OVER - 4
Tiffania Westwood : 29.0% : OVER - 4
Takanashi Yomi : 42.0% : UNDER - 4
Kuroyukihime : 54.0% : OVER - 4
Matō Sakura : 56.0% : UNDER - 4
Colette Brunel : 45.0% : OVER - 4
Mifune Ryūko : 56.0% : OVER - 4
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,8,2)
Total Wager Value:42

[xcrossfacekillahx]

Fantasy wagers for xcrossfacekillahx have been recorded. Thank you.

I might do bad this round.

[RegalStar]

[DurianDude]

I'm just hangin on to first by like 30. I hit most arenas, I'm just overly cautious and don't bet enough.

[Jeffrey-sama]

derp again.
Goal for next round: Place in the middle or higher.

[bluemage]

Negative for the 3rd Round in a row!