FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Single-Elimination Tournament and future ISML contests
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FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by Team Rocket Elite » Tue Oct 16, 2012 12:36 am

Rules:
  • Only bets submitted via the link below will be accepted.
  • You have until the end of the regular voting period to submit your bets.
  • I will be able to see your password (it is NOT encrypted), so do not use the same password that you use for this forum, your e-mail, bank account, etc..
  • You will predict if each indicated character's percentage of total votes will be over or under a corresponding percentage.
  • Everyone starts with 0 points. You can not have fewer than 0 points.
  • Along with each prediction, you wager 1 to 5 points.
  • A correct prediction will earn you points based on your wager and the total bets on the correct and incorrect answers. A incorrect prediction will result in losing points equal to your wager.
  • Points system summary: If you bet right on a match a lot of people get wrong, you get a huge number of points. If you bet right on a match most people get right you gain a small number of points. If you bet wrong, you lose your points.
  • Points system details: Pooling system for points. Given O total points bet for OVER, U total points bet for UNDER, and OVER wins, then a player who wagered X points on OVER will win X*(1+U/O) points. The loser who bet Y points will just lose those Y points.
  • Abstain has no effect on your points. You will neither gain nor lose points.
  • If a character finishes within 0.05 percentage points of the Over/Under percentage it is consider a tie and no points are awarded or taken.
  • Use your forum username as your username. Post "I submitted" here, so we know you are playing and not spamming the ballot.
  • If you submit under two different usernames from the same IP, then they will not count.
  • Your username must be alphanumeric only AND cannot be gibberish, or I will not accept it.
  • If you have submitted a Fantasy for this round prior to this thread, you will have to resubmit~
http://www.internationalsaimoe.com/voting/?fantasy

Here are the Over/Under percentages that will be used for Elimination 6:
Over/Under percentagesShow
Arena 1: Akiyama Mio vs Yui
Akiyama Mio: 52.0%

Arena 2: Aisaka Taiga vs Kashiwazaki Sena
Aisaka Taiga: 64.0%

Arena 3: Misaka Mikoto vs Hasegawa Kobato
Misaka Mikoto: 63.0%

Arena 4: Shana vs Eucliwood Hellscythe
Shana: 52.0%

Arena 5: Chiaki Kurihara vs Misaki Mei vs Takanashi Sora
Misaki Mei: 53.0%

Arena 6: Hachikuji Mayoi vs Koto vs Tanigawa Kanna
Tanigawa Kanna: 36.0%

Arena 7: Aida Riko vs Miniwa Tsumiki vs Oda Nobunaga
Miniwa Tsumiki: 52.0%

Arena 8: Chris vs Mizukoshi Saki vs Tanaka Hanako
Chris: 60.0%

Arena 9: Ishizuki Koyori vs Dojima Nanako vs Kuhōin Murasaki
Kuhōin Murasaki: 36.0%

Arena 10: Futaba Aoi vs Mikihara Ren vs Sumeragi Kaguya
Sumeragi Kaguya: 40.0%
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by kanohistorm » Tue Oct 16, 2012 4:25 am

my percentage (based on absolutely zero statistical models. Take with a grain of salt or even less
SpoilerShow
Mio: 56%, Taiga: 58%, Mikoto: 68%, Shana: 53%

Total Wager Value:20
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spoiler alert :3
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by Jeffrey-sama » Tue Oct 16, 2012 4:36 am

Fail~Show
Akiyama Mio : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Aisaka Taiga : 64.0% : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto : 63.0% : UNDER - 5
Shana : 52.0% : UNDER - 5
Misaki Mei : 53.0% : OVER - 5
Tanigawa Kanna : 36.0% : UNDER - 5
Miniwa Tsumiki : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Chris : 60.0% : OVER - 5
Kuhōin Murasaki : 36.0% : UNDER - 5
Sumeragi Kaguya : 40.0% : UNDER - 5
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,0,10)
Total Wager Value:50
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by DurianDude » Tue Oct 16, 2012 5:01 am

Throwing all caution to the wind with 5 bets on all arenas. I'm feeling pretty okay in most arenas. Not too sure about some of the main ones though. Fantasy Submitted!
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by bluemage » Tue Oct 16, 2012 11:52 pm

FailShow
Akiyama Mio: 52.0%: UNDER - 5
Aisaka Taiga: 64.0%: UNDER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 63.0%: UNDER - 5
Shana: 52.0%: OVER - 5
Misaki Mei: 53.0%: OVER - 5
Tanigawa Kanna: 36.0%: UNDER - 5
Miniwa Tsumiki: 52.0%: OVER - 5
Chris: 60.0%: OVER - 5
Kuhōin Murasaki: 36.0%: UNDER - 5
Sumeragi Kaguya: 40.0%: OVER - 5

Total Wager: 50
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by YagamiHayate » Wed Oct 17, 2012 9:42 am

Submitted.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by Ikaros452767 » Wed Oct 17, 2012 11:41 am

SpoilerShow
Akiyama Mio :52.0% : OVER - 4
Aisaka Taiga :64.0% : UNDER - 4
Misaka Mikoto :63.0% : UNDER - 3
Shana :52.0% : UNDER - 4
Misaki Mei :53.0% : UNDER - 4
Tanigawa Kanna :36.0% : OVER - 4
Miniwa Tsumiki :52.0% : OVER - 5
Chris :60.0% : OVER - 3
Kuhōin Murasaki :36.0% : UNDER - 3
Sumeragi Kaguya :40.0% : OVER - 3
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by xcrossfacekillahx » Wed Oct 17, 2012 2:29 pm

Fantasy wagers for xcrossfacekillahx have been recorded. Thank you.

I'm gonna fail again this round.
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by Shmion84 » Wed Oct 17, 2012 3:06 pm

Fantasy wagers for Shmion84 have been recorded. Thank you.Show
Akiyama Mio : 52.0% : OVER - 5
Aisaka Taiga : 64.0% : UNDER - 5
Misaka Mikoto : 63.0% : UNDER - 5
Shana : 52.0% : UNDER - 5
Misaki Mei : 53.0% : OVER - 4
Tanigawa Kanna : 36.0% : UNDER - 4
Miniwa Tsumiki : 52.0% : UNDER - 4
Chris : 60.0% : OVER - 4
Kuhōin Murasaki : 36.0% : OVER - 4
Sumeragi Kaguya : 40.0% : OVER - 4
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,6,4)
Total Wager Value:44
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by RegalStar » Thu Oct 18, 2012 4:08 am

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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by Jeffrey-sama » Thu Oct 18, 2012 4:09 am

Aww, I got one wrong. ):
Anyways, less fail than I had anticipated. (:
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by DurianDude » Thu Oct 18, 2012 4:15 am

Only one wrong? Man I'm poopin on fantasy. A 60 point lead is solid. Also weird that I had the exact picks as someone else. Coincidence :)
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by xcrossfacekillahx » Thu Oct 18, 2012 4:19 am

Top 5 is not enough
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by Momento10 » Thu Oct 18, 2012 5:32 am

I failed to even participate ...
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Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 6

Post by bluemage » Fri Oct 19, 2012 5:13 am

Finally got somewhere this round.
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