FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

[Team Rocket Elite]

Rules:

• Only bets submitted via the link below will be accepted.
• You have until the end of the regular voting period to submit your bets.
• I will be able to see your password (it is NOT encrypted), so do not use the same password that you use for this forum, your e-mail, bank account, etc..
• You will predict if each indicated character's percentage of total votes will be over or under a corresponding percentage.
• Everyone starts with 0 points. You can not have fewer than 0 points.
• Along with each prediction, you wager 1 to 5 points.
• A correct prediction will earn you points based on your wager and the total bets on the correct and incorrect answers. A incorrect prediction will result in losing points equal to your wager.
• Points system summary: If you bet right on a match a lot of people get wrong, you get a huge number of points. If you bet right on a match most people get right you gain a small number of points. If you bet wrong, you lose your points.
• Points system details: Pooling system for points. Given O total points bet for OVER, U total points bet for UNDER, and OVER wins, then a player who wagered X points on OVER will win X*(1+U/O) points. The loser who bet Y points will just lose those Y points.
• Abstain has no effect on your points. You will neither gain nor lose points.
• If a character finishes within 0.05 percentage points of the Over/Under percentage it is consider a tie and no points are awarded or taken.
• Use your forum username as your username. Post "I submitted" here, so we know you are playing and not spamming the ballot.
• If you submit under two different usernames from the same IP, then they will not count.
• Your username must be alphanumeric only AND cannot be gibberish, or I will not accept it.
• If you have submitted a Fantasy for this round prior to this thread, you will have to resubmit~

http://www.internationalsaimoe.com/voting/?fantasy

Here are the Over/Under percentages that will be used for Elimination 10:

Over/Under percentagesShow

Arena 1: Eucliwood Hellscythe vs Aisaka Taiga
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0%

Arena 2: Nagato Yuki vs Misaka Mikoto
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0%

Arena 3: Akiyama Mio vs Nakano Azusa
Nakano Azusa: 53.0%

Arena 4: Saber vs Yui
Yui: 51.0%

Arena 5: Shana vs Nakamura Yuri
Shana: 53.0%

Arena 6: Suzumiya Haruhi vs Hasegawa Kobato
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0%

Arena 7: Kashiwazaki Sena vs Kōsaka Kirino
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0%

Arena 8: Chitanda Eru vs Sanka Rea
Sanka Rea: 52.0%

Arena 9: Kuroyukihime vs Miniwa Tsumiki
Kuroyukihime: 60.0%

Arena 10: Akai Ringo vs Oginome Ringo
Akai Ringo: 55.0%

[RegalStar]

I will disregard this if there are 8 or more participantsShow

Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : UNDER - 5
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : UNDER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 5

[maglor]

I will disregard this if there are 8 or more participantsShow

Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : UNDER - 5
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : UNDER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 5

Please don't disregard. I think it is worth giving people a chance for lucky strike by increasing the pool.

thus

my betsShow

Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : UNDER - 5
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : UNDER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : UNDER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 5

[Shmion84]

Hoping for a good endShow

Fantasy wagers for Shmion84 have been recorded. Thank you.
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5 (pred. 53.3%)
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 4 (pred. 55.7%)
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5 (pred. 47.2%)
Yui: 51.0% : : OVER - 5 (pred. 52.9%)
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5 (pred. 54.4%)
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : UNDER - 5 (pred. 50.9%)
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 5 (pred. 53.7%)
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 4
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : OVER - 4
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 4
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,4,6)
Total Wager Value:46

[Chikara Icy]

SpoilerShow

Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 4
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : OVER - 4
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 3
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : UNDER - 2
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 3
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 4
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : OVER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 4
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,1,2,4,3)
Total Wager Value:39

[bluemage]

My BetsShow

Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0%: OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0%: UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0%: UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0%: OVER - 5
Shana: 53.0%: OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0%: OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0%: OVER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0%: UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0%: OVER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0%: UNDER - 5

Total Wager: 50

[Momento10]

I may have done this. I may have not.

[Jeffrey-sama]

All I hope for is to not bomb this round...Show

Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : UNDER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : UNDER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 5
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,0,10)
Total Wager Value:50

[DurianDude]

Just gotta hang in there. Second is fine for my first fantasy ever. Anyways fantasy submitted

[YagamiHayate]

SpoilerShow

Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : OVER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 5
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,0,10)
Total Wager Value:50

[xcrossfacekillahx]

Now or never.

[Shmion84]

I think it is the first time that I chose the same OVER/UNDER predictions as someone else (Chikara Icy). Also the predictions of bluemage and YagamiHayate match each other exactly (even the points).
So four contestants cannot get a lucky strike. maglor may have one chance and Jeffrey-sama may have two chances.

[RegalStar]

[DurianDude]

A fairly good round. It looks like YagamiHayate will take first and I'll take second, saying no last minute craziness happens.

[Jeffrey-sama]

fffuuu... horrible round. ;__;

[Shmion84]

A surprisingly good round. No prediction differed more than 5 percentage points from the actual result.