FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Single-Elimination Tournament and future ISML contests
Locked
User avatar
Team Rocket Elite
Moon princess
Moon princess
Posts: 3211
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2009 2:43 am
Badges:
Image
Worships: Bernkastel
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: dried plums to go with the tea.

FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by Team Rocket Elite » Thu Oct 25, 2012 4:46 am

Rules:
  • Only bets submitted via the link below will be accepted.
  • You have until the end of the regular voting period to submit your bets.
  • I will be able to see your password (it is NOT encrypted), so do not use the same password that you use for this forum, your e-mail, bank account, etc..
  • You will predict if each indicated character's percentage of total votes will be over or under a corresponding percentage.
  • Everyone starts with 0 points. You can not have fewer than 0 points.
  • Along with each prediction, you wager 1 to 5 points.
  • A correct prediction will earn you points based on your wager and the total bets on the correct and incorrect answers. A incorrect prediction will result in losing points equal to your wager.
  • Points system summary: If you bet right on a match a lot of people get wrong, you get a huge number of points. If you bet right on a match most people get right you gain a small number of points. If you bet wrong, you lose your points.
  • Points system details: Pooling system for points. Given O total points bet for OVER, U total points bet for UNDER, and OVER wins, then a player who wagered X points on OVER will win X*(1+U/O) points. The loser who bet Y points will just lose those Y points.
  • Abstain has no effect on your points. You will neither gain nor lose points.
  • If a character finishes within 0.05 percentage points of the Over/Under percentage it is consider a tie and no points are awarded or taken.
  • Use your forum username as your username. Post "I submitted" here, so we know you are playing and not spamming the ballot.
  • If you submit under two different usernames from the same IP, then they will not count.
  • Your username must be alphanumeric only AND cannot be gibberish, or I will not accept it.
  • If you have submitted a Fantasy for this round prior to this thread, you will have to resubmit~
http://www.internationalsaimoe.com/voting/?fantasy

Here are the Over/Under percentages that will be used for Elimination 10:
Over/Under percentagesShow
Arena 1: Eucliwood Hellscythe vs Aisaka Taiga
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0%

Arena 2: Nagato Yuki vs Misaka Mikoto
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0%

Arena 3: Akiyama Mio vs Nakano Azusa
Nakano Azusa: 53.0%

Arena 4: Saber vs Yui
Yui: 51.0%

Arena 5: Shana vs Nakamura Yuri
Shana: 53.0%

Arena 6: Suzumiya Haruhi vs Hasegawa Kobato
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0%

Arena 7: Kashiwazaki Sena vs Kōsaka Kirino
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0%

Arena 8: Chitanda Eru vs Sanka Rea
Sanka Rea: 52.0%

Arena 9: Kuroyukihime vs Miniwa Tsumiki
Kuroyukihime: 60.0%

Arena 10: Akai Ringo vs Oginome Ringo
Akai Ringo: 55.0%
A miracle that you believe in when you know it won't happen......... is hope.
User avatar
RegalStar
[Countryside Loli]
[Countryside Loli]
Posts: 2791
Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 4:31 am
Badges:
ImageImage
Melon Pan: 0
Wish: Miracles

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by RegalStar » Thu Oct 25, 2012 4:52 am

I will disregard this if there are 8 or more participantsShow
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : UNDER - 5
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : UNDER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 5
User avatar
maglor
~Fukou da~
~Fukou da~
Posts: 8954
Joined: Thu Feb 26, 2009 8:57 pm
Badges:
ImageImage
Worships: Abriel Nei Debrusc Borl Paryun Lafiel
Melon Pan: 75
2020 Female Favorite: Holo
2020 Male Favorite: Natsume Takashi
2019 Female Favorite: Akemi Homura
2019 Male Favorite: Arima Kōsei
2018 Female Favorite: Chtholly Nota Seniorious
2018 Male Favorite: Yang Wenli
Wish: More people being open to alternatives and compromises.

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by maglor » Thu Oct 25, 2012 8:45 am

RegalStar wrote:
I will disregard this if there are 8 or more participantsShow
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : UNDER - 5
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : UNDER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 5
Please don't disregard. I think it is worth giving people a chance for lucky strike by increasing the pool.

thus
my betsShow
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : UNDER - 5
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : UNDER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : UNDER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 5
Image
User avatar
Shmion84
Moon princess
Moon princess
Posts: 3383
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 6:33 pm
Badges:
ImageImage
Melon Pan: 95
Wish: ISML still exists next year
Location: Central Europe

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by Shmion84 » Thu Oct 25, 2012 9:07 am

Hoping for a good endShow
Fantasy wagers for Shmion84 have been recorded. Thank you.
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5 (pred. 53.3%)
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 4 (pred. 55.7%)
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5 (pred. 47.2%)
Yui: 51.0% : : OVER - 5 (pred. 52.9%)
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5 (pred. 54.4%)
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : UNDER - 5 (pred. 50.9%)
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 5 (pred. 53.7%)
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 4
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : OVER - 4
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 4
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,4,6)
Total Wager Value:46
Image
Chikara Icy
Mad scientist
Mad scientist
Posts: 1016
Joined: Tue Mar 29, 2011 4:20 pm
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: A better life
Location: Indonesia
Contact:

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by Chikara Icy » Thu Oct 25, 2012 4:45 pm

SpoilerShow
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 4
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : OVER - 4
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 3
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : UNDER - 2
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 3
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 4
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : OVER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 4
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,1,2,4,3)
Total Wager Value:39
User avatar
bluemage
Intelligent device
Intelligent device
Posts: 1355
Joined: Sun Dec 27, 2009 5:32 am
Worships: Reimu Hakurei
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: A happy and peaceful life.
Location: Canada
Contact:

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by bluemage » Thu Oct 25, 2012 7:30 pm

My BetsShow
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0%: OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0%: UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0%: UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0%: OVER - 5
Shana: 53.0%: OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0%: OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0%: OVER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0%: UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0%: OVER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0%: UNDER - 5

Total Wager: 50
ImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImageImage
#1<---------- ISML 2012 Top 8! ---------->#8 ---------- #8<---------- ISML 2012 Bottom 8! ---------->#16
Character Cards & Signature Slivers Made by Marinara, Hikari-chan & melange
Participant from 2008-2012
User avatar
Momento10
Electromaster
Electromaster
Posts: 6202
Joined: Fri May 14, 2010 1:18 am
Badges:
ImageImageImageImage
Worships: Setsumi Sakura
Melon Pan: 88
2020 Female Favorite: Sakurajima Mai
2020 Male Favorite: Ishigami Yū
2019 Female Favorite: Tōma Kazusa
2019 Male Favorite: Ayanokōji Kiyotaka
2018 Female Favorite: Nishimiya Shōko
2018 Male Favorite: Sagara Sōsuke
Wish: My definition of peace and tranquility.

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by Momento10 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 3:33 am

I may have done this. I may have not.
Image
User avatar
Jeffrey-sama
Soul gem
Soul gem
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2011 10:51 pm
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: K-ON! Season 3
Location: AKB48 Theater
Contact:

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by Jeffrey-sama » Fri Oct 26, 2012 3:41 am

All I hope for is to not bomb this round...Show
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : UNDER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : UNDER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 5
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,0,10)
Total Wager Value:50
User avatar
DurianDude
Spirit hunter
Spirit hunter
Posts: 2187
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2012 6:22 am
Worships: Kotomi of course
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: Everyone in the world to realize the greatness of durians
Location: At the Tomato Market
Contact:

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by DurianDude » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:25 am

Just gotta hang in there. Second is fine for my first fantasy ever. Anyways fantasy submitted
Image
Fire Sisters!Show
Image
User avatar
YagamiHayate
Combat butler
Combat butler
Posts: 1030
Joined: Sat May 14, 2011 10:40 am
Badges:
Image
Melon Pan: 50
Contact:

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by YagamiHayate » Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:27 am

SpoilerShow
Eucliwood Hellscythe: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Misaka Mikoto: 56.0% : : UNDER - 5
Nakano Azusa: 53.0% : : UNDER - 5
Yui: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Shana: 53.0% : : OVER - 5
Suzumiya Haruhi: 52.0% : : OVER - 5
Kōsaka Kirino: 51.0% : : OVER - 5
Sanka Rea: 52.0% : : UNDER - 5
Kuroyukihime: 60.0% : : OVER - 5
Akai Ringo: 55.0% : : UNDER - 5
Wager Count (1,2,3,4,5):(0,0,0,0,10)
Total Wager Value:50
xcrossfacekillahx
Incubator
Incubator
Posts: 3613
Joined: Tue Mar 01, 2011 5:42 am
Worships: Rosario Cross
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: A very good tournament and more cookies. Moehood to reign
Location: Planet Saimoe

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by xcrossfacekillahx » Fri Oct 26, 2012 8:10 am

Now or never.
User avatar
Shmion84
Moon princess
Moon princess
Posts: 3383
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 6:33 pm
Badges:
ImageImage
Melon Pan: 95
Wish: ISML still exists next year
Location: Central Europe

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by Shmion84 » Fri Oct 26, 2012 4:23 pm

I think it is the first time that I chose the same OVER/UNDER predictions as someone else (Chikara Icy). Also the predictions of bluemage and YagamiHayate match each other exactly (even the points).
So four contestants cannot get a lucky strike. maglor may have one chance and Jeffrey-sama may have two chances.
Image
User avatar
RegalStar
[Countryside Loli]
[Countryside Loli]
Posts: 2791
Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 4:31 am
Badges:
ImageImage
Melon Pan: 0
Wish: Miracles

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by RegalStar » Sat Oct 27, 2012 4:07 am

Image
User avatar
DurianDude
Spirit hunter
Spirit hunter
Posts: 2187
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2012 6:22 am
Worships: Kotomi of course
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: Everyone in the world to realize the greatness of durians
Location: At the Tomato Market
Contact:

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by DurianDude » Sat Oct 27, 2012 6:37 am

A fairly good round. It looks like YagamiHayate will take first and I'll take second, saying no last minute craziness happens.
Image
Fire Sisters!Show
Image
User avatar
Jeffrey-sama
Soul gem
Soul gem
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2011 10:51 pm
Melon Pan: 50
Wish: K-ON! Season 3
Location: AKB48 Theater
Contact:

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by Jeffrey-sama » Sat Oct 27, 2012 11:27 pm

fffuuu... horrible round. ;__;
User avatar
Shmion84
Moon princess
Moon princess
Posts: 3383
Joined: Mon Apr 02, 2012 6:33 pm
Badges:
ImageImage
Melon Pan: 95
Wish: ISML still exists next year
Location: Central Europe

Re: FANTASY: 2012 Elimination 10

Post by Shmion84 » Sun Oct 28, 2012 7:57 am

A surprisingly good round. No prediction differed more than 5 percentage points from the actual result.
Image
Locked